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We’re Losing Billions—Before We Ever Get to Court

The cultural instinct on the defense side to “hold back” our strongest arguments has become a billion-dollar blind spot for the insurance industry.

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The Costly Strategy Hidden in Plain Sight

Every year, property and casualty carriers leave billions on the table—not because of nuclear verdicts, runaway juries, or third-party litigation funding, but because of something far more subtle and entirely under our control: the way we negotiate.

In an era where 99% of litigated claims settle, the cultural instinct on the defense side to “hold back” our strongest arguments has become a billion-dollar blind spot. We ration key negotiating points, fearing we’ll run out of ammo. We save key arguments to “surprise them at trial.” We frame less, anchor less, and persuade less. Meanwhile, the plaintiff bar is doing the opposite—and it’s working.

This isn’t a legal problem. It’s a strategy problem.

And it gets worse.

Not only do we hold back the arguments that matter—we rely on formats that make persuasion nearly impossible. While plaintiff attorneys lead with structured, written advocacy in the form of demand packages, defense teams default to brief, reactive phone calls that suppress advocacy and concede control.

We’re not just saying less—we’re saying it in the least effective way possible.

Defense Negotiation Is the Real Battleground

We are seeing more and more claim organizations taking fewer than 2% of their litigated cases to trial. Many are under 1%. This means 99 out of 100 cases are resolved through negotiation.

Negotiation isn’t a placeholder—it’s the battlefield. The weapons are advocacy, storytelling, anchoring, and framing. And the defense is losing that ground war.

Plaintiff attorneys are presenting persuasive, data-rich demand packages early. They’re setting narratives. They’re leveraging AI tools like EvenUp Law to benchmark value, build urgency, and preempt our defenses. 

There’s a reason EvenUp raised $235 million in 18 months and reached unicorn status. Good persuasion works, and if personal injury attorneys like the results, they’ll come back for more. They are. Because this approach of not concealing their case works. Compelling packages work. Anchoring works—even when the recipient knows they’re being anchored, according to multiple studies!

Meanwhile, defense teams are often confined to hurried phone calls, where the plaintiff attorney dominates the airtime and the adjuster is expected to recall and deploy key defenses from memory. This dynamic favors narrative over nuance, emotion over evidence. It makes storytelling nearly impossible.

We almost never prepare comprehensive offer letters in a manner similar to plaintiff demand packages. When we do, it’s usually just a number, or a number with some boiler plate denials. We don’t sell our offers they way they try to sell their demands. 

In short, we’re losing the negotiation battle by not showing up with our best weapons—or using them at all.

What the Plaintiff Bar Understands That We Ignore

We’ve been programmed not to show our hand. The question is, by whom? Examples of what we hear every day:

#1 - “I’m Saving It for Trial”

This had logic in the 1980s, when trial was common (or in movies, where a surprise reveal causes the jury to gasp). Today, trials are rare, and saving your best arguments for the courtroom is like saving your best sales pitch for a client who’s already walked out. When we don’t use our strongest defenses in the 99% of cases that settle before trial, we’re leaving value on the table. Worse, we’re letting plaintiffs drive up expectations with no rebuttal narrative in place. We’re not framing, we’re not anchoring, we’re not controlling the narrative. Given the legal system environment, we should be using our strong points to avoid trial (not to win at trial in the one out of 100 times a case may find its way there).

#2 - “I Don’t Want to Show My Hand”

This assumes that showing strength is a liability. In negotiation theory, it’s the opposite. Revealing credible, well-supported defenses early can shift expectations, reshape the perceived case value, and create decision-pressure. It’s not about tipping your hand—it’s about owning the story and framing the narrative. Hiding defenses cedes narrative control.

#3 - “I Need Ammo for Later Offers”

This is backwards. If your strongest arguments can drive resolution now, why wait? 

This is like saying, “I don’t want to use my strongest points to persuade the other side to settle now, because I might need them later if they don’t settle.” The plaintiff bar doesn’t hold back information with this goal in mind; we don’t need to, either. Sometimes, the absurdity of holding back becomes clear through analogy. Think about salary negotiation. Imagine asking for $150,000 but saying, “I’ll explain why I deserve it in a few weeks.”  

#4 – “Plaintiff counsel won’t engage early”

This is an argument commonly cited on both sides of the fence. Imagine what plaintiff counsel says after they’ve submitted an extensive demand package, only to get a non-response or simply a counter-number in return. Both sides feel this way. Yet, plaintiff counsel are rational actors. Whether fully engaged or not, persuasion affects their perception of the case. 

#5 – “I’d prefer to negotiate orally rather than in writing”

There is a reason plaintiff attorneys produce written demand packages, rather than just calling the claim professional to run through elements of the demand orally. Put simply, written persuasion in this context is more effective. Precision and documentation matter. Substantive evidence builds credibility. Written persuasion has reference value. And, powerfully, a written offer letter (in most jurisdictions) might just make it to the underlying claimant.

Distracted by Threats We Can’t Control While Overlooking Those we Can

The defense community spends enormous energy discussing external threats: nuclear verdicts, litigation financing, venue shopping, social inflation. These are real—but they’re also out of our control. They don’t require us to change. They allow us to feel victimized.

By contrast, how we choose to advocate is entirely within our control. And right now we’re choosing to hold back key arguments. We’re also choosing to not to write things down, believing it won’t influence the plaintiff attorney or their client—which is exactly how they want us to think.  

Our Call to Action

Today’s plaintiff attorneys are no longer winging it. They’re investing early. They build narratives and leverage data. They’re using AI to strengthen their demand packages, augment them with verdict data and aggregated settlement value intelligence. They target every relevant stakeholder: the adjuster, defense counsel, and even the insured (via hammer letters) And they apply pressure with time-limited demands, designed to trigger urgency and fear of bad faith exposure. 

We must do the same! 

  • Develop structured offer packages that counter the persuasive impact of demand packages.
  • Don’t hold back key arguments—use them early, when they have a chance to shift the case trajectory.
  • Leverage written formats to clarify and reinforce the defense position—don’t rely on bits and pieces raised in phone conversations.
  • Stop waiting for mediation to present a persuasive case for settlement—get out in front of it.

Not doing these things is costing our industry billions. We can win this battle. We have the smarts, the tools and the experience. We can be powerful advocates, persuasive negotiators, and we can do better to anchor, frame, and own the narratives of our cases.


John Burge

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John Burge

John Burge is an engineer/attorney-turned-entrepreneur and operating executive at SigmaSight.

For the last 25 years he has led technology startups and turnarounds in the medical, insurance and litigation verticals, including managing a $400 million portfolio of medical malpractice runoff. Prior to becoming an entrepreneur, he was a product liability litigator and served in engineering roles with Upjohn and Eastman Kodak.

New Metrics Reshape State Credit Rankings

New climate risk and cost-of-living metrics transform state credit quality rankings as federal support recedes.

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Conning recently released its annual State of the States report, which ranks the credit quality of each U.S. state according to 13 key metrics based on balance sheet strength, economic conditions, and socioeconomic trends that determine states' financial standing. This year, important considerations for insurers like climate risk, insurance market stability, and cost of living played a significant role in the analysis.

Conning maintains its "stable" outlook for state credit quality in 2025 even though, five years post-COVID, states are again facing uncertainties, this time in the form of federal-level changes that will require prudent budget management.

This year's "stable" view is consistent with Conning's 2024 State of the States outlook and has been the general trend for the last five years. The view in 2020 was "negative" due to the threat of COVID-19, and in 2023 it was "declining" in anticipation of a weakening economy, higher inflation and tapering federal aid.

Figure of the whole U.S. in shades of blue indicating state rankings looking at state credit quality

In 2025, states face a period of significant transition as federal policies shift toward increased state responsibility, particularly in infrastructure, education and healthcare, where federal funding is expected to decrease from pandemic-era spending levels. Although states generally began fiscal year 2025 with stable budgets and robust rainy-day funds, some are experiencing shortfalls amid increasing costs and declining tax revenues. Some of these shortfalls are self-inflicted: 10 states reduced income tax rates or implemented automatic tax cuts in recent years, hampering their ability to withstand these new challenges. The fiscal outlook is further complicated by emerging challenges ranging from immigration and high-impact weather events to housing affordability (which remains a concern across regions) and insurance market stability.

Nevertheless, Conning's "stable" outlook is based on the belief that states have demonstrated sufficient fiscal resilience to navigate this combination of known challenges and unpredictable developments, although they differ significantly in balance-sheet strength, governance, socioeconomic conditions and the ability to leverage an improved economic environment. Several states have implemented governance mechanisms to trigger special legislative sessions if federal actions substantially affect their budgets. Others have set aside funds to counter federal funding cuts or have created special committees to monitor and respond to federal actions affecting state finances.

Methodology Changes

Developments of the last five years have led to methodology refinements for this year's State of the States analysis, including strategic adjustments to enhance the predictive nature of the state rankings. Specifically, Conning introduced "Catastrophe Losses per Capita" and "Cost of Living Index" metrics to capture economic pressures and disaster impacts that directly affect state finances.

Measuring Catastrophe Losses per Capita recognizes that climate risk has emerged as a critical factor in state credit quality analysis. States face mounting pressure from recurring disasters that will likely have long-term effects on their finances. Climate-related infrastructure damage creates substantial financial demands on state governments, both in repair costs and preventative investments, and adds to potential revenue challenges as tax bases get reduced during and after high-impact weather events. States experiencing frequent catastrophic events, such as Louisiana, which during the past five years averaged $1.48 a year per capita in catastrophe losses (compared with Nevada, where the average was $0.01 per capita), often see population outflows, further eroding the tax base. Climate vulnerability assessments and adaptation planning offer a path forward, and measuring a state's exposure to these risks provides essential insight into its long-term fiscal outlook.

Cost of Living Index, also a new metric, addresses another crucial determinant of state credit quality. Population changes are correlated to the cost of living and significantly affect credit quality because when people leave a state, they effectively transfer their share of public liabilities to the remaining population base, a potentially greater challenge for states with high fixed costs. This can drive remaining residents to seek affordable alternatives elsewhere, perpetuating a cycle of declining population. A shrinking population can substantially reduce state tax revenue unless there are corresponding tax rate increases. Conversely, states with positive population trends can maintain lower tax rates, enhancing their competitiveness.

Together, these metrics offer a holistic view of state economic sustainability, revealing how catastrophes create a feedback loop: driving up insurance costs, raising the overall cost of living, harming population retention, affecting property values, and ultimately determining a state's fiscal capacity to maintain services and manage debt obligations.

Movement Across Rankings

This year's rankings show significant movement across the board, reflecting both the refined methodology and changing economic conditions. Idaho claimed first place with an impressive 11-position climb. Northeastern states like Connecticut (9), New York (21), Delaware (25) and Massachusetts (15) also showed remarkable improvement, jumping 30, 23, 20 and 18 positions, respectively, partly due to their resilience against catastrophic losses.

Among the top five states, Utah (2), North Carolina (3), Nevada (4), and Virginia (5) all showed notable improvements based on their overall economic strength. At the other end of the spectrum, Louisiana fell two places to 50, preceded by Oregon (49), Illinois (48), West Virginia (47), and New Mexico (46), with Kansas experiencing the steepest decline of 28 positions to 44, as a result of various economic challenges.


Karel Citroen

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Karel Citroen

Karel Citroen is a managing director of municipal research at Conning and currently serves on the Governmental Accounting Standards Advisory Council (GASAC), where he represents the insurance investment community. 

Prior to joining Conning in 2015, he was in municipal portfolio surveillance with MBIA and previously was a banking and securities lawyer for financial institutions in the Netherlands. 

Citroen earned a law degree from the University of Amsterdam, an MBA from Yale University, and an LL.M. in governance, compliance and risk management from the University of Connecticut. He is a member of the National Federation of Municipal Analysts.

Hazardous Misconceptions on Electrical Fires

Common misconceptions about electrical fires leave policyholders vulnerable despite modern detection technologies and safety advances.

Close-up image of yellow-orange glowing fire sparks against a stark black background

Electrical fires remain one of the most significant hazards to homes and businesses, causing approximately 51,000 fires annually in the U.S. and resulting in over $1.3 billion in property damage. Despite the frequency and severity of these incidents, many policyholders misunderstand how these fires start and what puts them at risk. These misconceptions can leave homes and lives exposed, making it crucial for insurance professionals to provide accurate information and resources.

Myth #1: "GFCIs and circuit breakers catch all electrical problems."

While circuit breakers and GFCIs are critical for home safety, they are not infallible. Most homes are equipped with GFCIs, AFCIs, and conventional breakers, but very few electrical fires would occur if these devices truly caught every fire hazard. Unfortunately, these devices are primarily designed to detect sudden surges and short circuits, not the slower, hidden electrical faults that often spark fires.

Data from the U.S. Fire Administration shows that electrical fires are increasing in frequency, underscoring the limitations of these safety devices. These fires often originate from micro-arcing, aging connections, and other low-level faults that do not trigger GFCIs, AFCIs, or breakers. Many of these hazards quietly build up behind walls and within appliances, making them even more insidious.

Key Takeaway:

Educate policyholders about the limits of their safety devices. Stress that GFCIs and circuit breakers are only part of a complete safety strategy. They are not a substitute for regular inspections and safe usage.

Myth #2: "New homes don't have electrical fire risks."

Many homeowners believe electrical fires are an issue only in older buildings with aging infrastructure. In reality, newer homes face electrical fire hazards, too—often due to improperly installed wiring, manufacturing defects in modern appliances, or the surge in electrical loads from today's technology.

Ting data reveals that 30% of electrical fire hazards originate in devices and appliances within the home itself, regardless of the building's age. Further, 30% of these hazards are caused by dangerous power conditions from the electric utility company, which are also largely independent of home age. This underscores that even newly built homes aren't immune to these threats.

Key Takeaway:

Policyholders need to understand that no matter how new their home is, proper inspections and safe practices are essential. Encourage them to schedule professional electrical evaluations and avoid overloading circuits.

Myth #3: "I'll see or smell signs of an electrical problem before a fire starts."

It's true that some electrical fire hazards may be accompanied by flickering lights, electrical burning odors, or even audible arcing sounds. Homeowners should always take these warning signs seriously, as they could indicate a dangerous condition that might be caught early.

If homeowners sense these warning signs, they should take immediate action to de-energize the affected circuits and call a qualified electrician to address the problem. However, these signs are often hard to detect, especially when electrical faults are developing behind walls or inside appliances. Because these early clues are so subtle or hidden, many electrical fires occur without any obvious warnings. Homeowners can't rely on these signs alone to keep their families and property safe.

Key Takeaway:

Help policyholders understand that waiting for visible signs is a dangerous gamble. Early detection tools, like smart sensors and professional monitoring, can catch these hidden hazards before they escalate. For instance, the Ting sensor and service detect the vast majority of electrical fire hazards and prevent over 80% of electrical fires that would otherwise occur. This advanced technology provides an additional layer of protection that homeowners can trust, significantly reducing risk and providing peace of mind for both policyholders and insurers.

Final Thoughts

Electrical fires pose a continuing threat, but by debunking these three misconceptions and emphasizing detection tools, insurers can help policyholders reduce risk, prevent costly claims, and create safer homes.


Robert Marshall

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Robert Marshall

Robert Marshall is the founder and CEO of Whisker Labs. Whisker Labs, a spinout of Earth Networks, delivers next-generation home energy intelligence technology to realize the full potential of the connected home. 

In 1992, Marshall co-founded AWS Convergence Technologies, the company that would become Earth Networks, by pioneering the networking of weather sensors and cameras using the internet. By developing groundbreaking technology to find "signals" — valuable, meaningful intelligence — in big-data "noise," Marshall improves people's lives and protects their livelihoods.

He has appeared on CNN, BBC World News and ABC Nightly News and has been quoted in major news outlets that include the New York Times, the Washington Post, Nature and Scientific American.

May I Rant for a Moment?

I need to get something off my chest about weak writing in business, including in our favorite industry.

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Right before I started on the copy desk of the Wall Street Journal as a young pup, a veteran at the Washington Post wrote a column in which he joked that his job was "to change 'that' to 'which' and 'which' to 'that' every time they appear in copy." I soon learned that that's pretty much how reporters view copy editors, and I've always tried not to be pedantic.  

But little things add up, and as we all try to innovate and drive progress in our crucial industry, I think we'd benefit by being more precise with our language. I griped last summer about how seemingly every company claims to be transforming itself and disrupting the industry. Here, I'll lament a smaller point: that so many issues are treated as white-knucklers or otherwise hyped through modifiers that are somewhere between redundant and meaningless.

Today, for instance, I received an article that said the industry was at a "critical moment of truth." "Moment of truth" wasn't strong enough. We're at a "critical" moment of truth, as though there's some other kind.

Our messages about the importance of what's happening in insurance will be stronger if we come across as less breathless and more careful.

Here is some of the most common offending language to watch for. 

Joseph Heller mocked the word "major" with his character Major Major Major Major in "Catch-22," but it's everywhere in business writing. We don't have a disaster, we have a "major" disaster. We don't have a catastrophe, we have a "major" catastrophe. Every crisis is "major," as is every milestone. Is there even such a thing as a minor disaster, a minor catastrophe, a minor crisis or a minor milestone? 

In Ecclesiastes, the wise King Solomon writes that there is nothing new under the sun. But in business writing, including in insurance, seemingly everything is new under the sun. 

We set "new" records, create "new" products and generate "new" insights, as though it's possible to set an old record or create an old product, or as though anyone would want to generate an old insight. We even brag about "new" innovations, somehow not noting that the word "innovation" literally means new. (The root, novus, is  Latin for new.)

"Proactively" is another one that can almost always go. It works fine if you're talking about being proactive rather than reactive, but it is sprinkled into writing like fairy dust, without any of the magic. 

It gets misused in two ways. One, it's used redundantly. Someone will write about "proactively" warning someone or "proactively" preventing a loss -- but warnings, actions that prevent loss, etc., have to be done ahead of time. You can't reactively warn someone or prevent a loss that's happened. Two, "proactively" gets tossed in as emphasis, A company doesn't just send a communication to policyholders; it "proactively" sends that communication. 

(My theory is that "proactively" came about through a sort of language creep. People want to underscore what they're doing, so they don't just, say, search; they "actively" search. But "actively" wasn't enough for some, so they threw a prefix onto it to tell readers that they're actively, actively taking some action.)

Speaking of meaningless emphasis, why have people started writing about doing things with "intentionality"? All that says is that you did something on purpose -- and I hope you aren't doing things by accident. For good measure, "intentionality" is a bastardized word. The root noun is "intent." Turning that into an adjective gives us "intentional." But there's no reason to add a suffix to "intentional" to come up with a new noun form. "Intent" works just great.

There are plenty of others: the "proven" track record, even though the whole point of a track record is that it can be inspected; all the "successful" launches and ventures, even though no one would write about them if they hadn't succeeded; and so on.

To zoom out, away from what may feel like pedantry, I'm arguing for less redundancy and, in the process, less hype. Not everything is "major" or "new" or "proactive" or whatever. There's plenty of important stuff going on in insurance, and we'll come across as more authoritative if we write about it more sparely and accurately.

Cheers,

Paul

June 2025 ITL FOCUS: Health

ITL FOCUS is a monthly initiative featuring topics related to innovation in risk management and insurance.

health itl focus

 

Healthcare is bursting with promise these days. Gene editing holds out the prospect of curing, not just managing, crippling diseases such as sickle cell anemia. Breakthroughs in understanding how proteins fold let researchers speed drug development. And AI, of course, accelerates all the progress – at an ever-accelerating pace.

Insurers will be required to cover many of these breakthrough treatments – as they should, given the remarkable benefits that are becoming possible. Insurers thus need accurate estimates of how many people will undergo the new treatments, as well as what they will cost. And that’s a truly hard problem.

Curing sickle-cell anemia in a single person, for instance, currently costs millions of dollars. But the treatment is so new and experimental that relatively few are considered to be eligible. The cost should diminish as doctors move up the learning curve – but the number of eligible patients will likely surge. Oh, and there’s little or no historical data available.

Good luck figuring out how these new treatments and drugs should boost the premium for a group health plan – knowing that if you’re off even a little, these big-ticket treatments could hit your economics hard.

This is the sort of issue that’s cropping up in just about every line of insurance these days, as innovations reshape costs in ways that go beyond where historical data can help much.

So how do you tackle this tough problem?

The short answer is: Be really smart.

The longer answer is that you can probably find analogs that shed some light on the cost and frequency of claims even in uncharted territory. You should also set up a feedback loop, so you’re constantly testing your assumptions, learning where you’re wrong, and finetuning your understanding and pricing.

In this month’s interview, Colin Condie, senior healthcare actuary at Verikai, explains how he helps insurers quantify their exposure. I think you’ll find that interesting in its own right, as he goes through many of the dazzling treatments that are becoming available. Even if you don’t operate in the health field, I think the discipline he lays out can be applied broadly to telematics, the Internet of Things and so many of the other innovations that insurers are introducing.

Enjoy.

Paul  

 

 
 
An Interview with condie

Health Insurance Enters Uncharted Waters

Paul Carroll

How much does AI reduce turnaround time in underwriting while maintaining actuarial integrity?

Colin Condie

The concept of automated underwriting and quick turnaround times has been a focus in the industry. The predictive modeling uses AI-based algorithms to generate risk scores that represent the predicted health status or morbidity of the members of a group. Along with other variables, the risk scores help determine expected future claims costs, creating a data-driven foundation for underwriting decisions that optimizes efficiency and accuracy.

With the predictive models, underwriting decisions can be automated for groups that are determined to be very low risk or very high risk based on the risk score that is generated. The predictive model results can also be used as an indicator when underwriter review is necessary. For example, the predictive model can flag cases where underwriter review is necessary, such as for a group that has one high-risk member driving the prediction while the other members of the group have low risk. 

read the full interview >
 

MORE ON HEALTH

Telemedicine and Remote Monitoring

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ERISA Lawsuits Surge Refocuses Risk Management

ERISA lawsuits surge 183% in 2024, forcing plan sponsors to reevaluate fiduciary risk management strategies.
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AI Document Processing Transforms Medical Reviews

As a look at Medicare Set-Asides shows, AI can create huge efficiencies but also brings new risks.
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Businesses Turn to Captives for Health Insurance

As healthcare costs soar in 2025, captive insurance emerges as a strategic solution for employers seeking affordable benefits.
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Behavioral Science Transforms Mental Health Underwriting

New behavioral science findings reveal how insurers can better assess mental health risks while reducing the stigma for applicants.
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AI Revolutionizes Long-Term Care Planning

AI emerges as a game-changing solution for the complex challenges of long-term care planning.
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FEATURED THOUGHT LEADERS

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Richard Clarke
Colleen O’Hara
Tycho Speekenbrink
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Peter Hovard
 
 
Lily Vittayarukskul
Lily Vittayarukskul
 

 

 


Insurance Thought Leadership

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Insurance Thought Leadership

Insurance Thought Leadership (ITL) delivers engaging, informative articles from our global network of thought leaders and decision makers. Their insights are transforming the insurance and risk management marketplace through knowledge sharing, big ideas on a wide variety of topics, and lessons learned through real-life applications of innovative technology.

We also connect our network of authors and readers in ways that help them uncover opportunities and that lead to innovation and strategic advantage.

How Insurance Agents Can Champion Niches 

Strategic niche development requires deep industry knowledge and full commitment. Here are three keys.

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A diversified book of business can help agents build more resilient, prosperous operations, especially as they trend toward leveraging niches and competition intensifies. For as many agents who are entering into niches, few are doing it effectively. Niche markets are not about agents filling a gap; they must understand where their agency can drive growth, build credibility and prove value to clients.

What are the trends?

Too often, agents jump into a new market without completely committing and lacking a clear plan. Though competition is rising, those agents who dedicate themselves to being a student of their niche and seeking the people and resources needed to help them develop their offerings will be better positioned for success.

Technology can help agents get up to speed on a particular niche, but it is important they remain careful about information they receive and put into artificial intelligence (AI) tools like Google Gemini or OpenAI's ChatGPT. All information received from these large language models (LLM) should be fact-checked as AI can misinterpret information or output false information. Agents must also remember that any information they put into such tools, including client information, can be used by the tool's development company to improve them. They could inadvertently violate a client's privacy or put their own agency's data at risk by adding it to an LLM tool.

While there is no such thing as a perfect starter niche for agents, they should be aware of emerging niches such as cyber, special events, sustainable or green markets and technology companies. Opportunities in emerging markets continue to grow as consumers become more aware of their risks and needs.

Make a choice and follow through

Not every niche will be the right fit for an agency. Agents need to take the time to identify the best choice for their agency, including resources, and then plan to invest in and grow their niches. Consider the following:

  • Find the best fit: Agents should start by finding a niche that interests them or connects to a passion. Doing so will help agents commit to developing the niche. They should then ensure there is enough opportunity within their chosen niche. For example, if an agent is passionate about boating but operates hundreds of miles from the nearest marina, it may not be a viable option.
  • Do the homework: Succeeding in a niche goes far beyond understanding basic coverages. Agents should work to understand the industry they are getting into, how it operates, related regulations, the client base, challenges, risk factors and more. Having this initial knowledge of a niche will give agents a great jumping off point to provide value to clients, while still learning along the way.
  • Build a community: To champion a niche, agents will have to dive into the niche's community and build a network of colleagues and clients. This requires more than simply joining associations and industry groups. Agents need to get involved. Whether in the form of serving on committees, attending meetings, speaking at events or sponsoring relevant initiatives, agents can build credibility by being visible and active. Beyond credibility, industry organizations like SIAA can connect agents to carrier partners who understand and have the ability to support agents' needs within a niche through knowledgeable underwriters. A group like SIAA also provides access to local growth coaches for additional assistance.
A strategy in practice

An agency needs to be prepared to give the time and resources necessary to develop a niche. Agents should have a strategy for how they will implement the niche into their operations, create a team of employees with defined roles who will work on it and communicate a clear plan including how it will be marketed, communicated and benchmarked. It can take anywhere from three to six months for agencies to fully implement a new niche. Agents should take their time through the process, accumulate the necessary background knowledge, invest in their networks and develop a plan to feasibly service and grow a new market.

Niche markets could be an agent's key to developing their agency and maintaining strength in an increasingly competitive market. But those agents who go beyond the surface and become trusted advisors in their niches will benefit from stronger relationships, happier clients and more resilient businesses.

Gaining Line of Sight From Investments to Outcomes

Observability transforms data and AI investments from opaque expenses into measurable drivers of business value.

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Observability transforms investments from opaque expenses into measurable value drivers in the enterprise. Beyond monitoring, it provides transparency into system behavior and business impact. Leaders who implement comprehensive observability across data, models, LLMs and agents gain competitive advantage through improved outcomes and demonstrable ROI.

In today's dynamic business environment, organizations are making unprecedented investments in data, AI and machine learning capabilities. Yet leaders face a common challenge – What is the business value of my data and AI investments? How do I measure its impact and ROI? 

This scenario plays out repeatedly across many organizations. It is not just about implementing technology, but creating transparency and mechanisms for measuring impact and ensuring systems are perpetually adaptable to changing business needs. This is where observability comes into play.

What Is Observability, and Why Is It Important?

Observability isn't just about monitoring technical performance – it's about creating a direct line of sight between data and AI investments and business outcomes. This transparency is crucial for building trust and demonstrating value. While monitoring tells you when something is not working, observability helps you understand why it broke and how to fix it.

Key components of observability are:

  • Data Observability – It focuses on data quality, lineage and metadata management. This includes monitoring data freshness, schema changes, distribution shifts, etc. that affect business. For instance, augmented data quality empowers organizations to prevent data quality problems at the point of ingestion (reducing data down time). It takes data quality to the next level by helping organizations understand data health and performance. Tools in this space include Acceldata, Monte Carlo, and Datadog.
  • Model Observability – It tracks model performance metrics, drift patterns and explainability factors. This ensures AI models maintain accuracy and reliability over time, while providing explanations for decisions. Tools in this space include WhyLabs and Arize AI.
  • LLM Observability – It tracks prompt effectiveness, response quality, hallucination rates and token usage of large language models. This is critical for managing both performance and costs. Tools in this space include LangSmith and helicone.
  • Agent Observability – It extends observability to autonomous AI agents, monitoring their decision-making processes, actions taken and overall effectiveness in completing complex tasks with minimal human intervention. Tools in this space include LangSmith, helicone and AgentOps.ai.
  • Infrastructure Observability – It ensures that the technical foundation supports data and that AI systems remain resilient, scalable and cost-effective. Tools in this space include Datadog, New Relic and Dynatrace.
Applications in Insurance and Healthcare

Organizations driving business outcomes aligned to changing customer needs map observability metrics to specific value streams. Below are some of the uses in insurance and healthcare.

Claims – It is a critical function in insurance value chain and has direct bearing on customer experience, operational efficiency and regulatory compliance. It provides the ability to track intake (first notice of loss, or FNOL) accuracy (structured vs unstructured data), natural language processing (NLP) sentiment analysis confidence scores on customer interactions, model confidence scores such as fraud and subrogation across claim categories, along with explainability for decision making and its overall impact in operations. This specifically tracks how NLP confidence scores correlate with customer satisfaction metrics, allowing for continuous refinement. Insurers with mature observability at the FNOL stage, will see an overall reduction in claim cycle time.

Underwriting – Consider a scenario where a broker renews or adds commercial properties to a portfolio and looks for a competitive quote from an underwriter. As part of the process, large sets of information (e.g.: schedule of values) get exchanged and risk assessment is carried out to understand the property characteristics and its exposure to CAT risks, to determine the risk profile, and to arrive at premium. If there is a change or anomaly in property characteristics such as roof condition via roof confidence score, mis-classification due to difference in primary modifiers such as ISO construction class, etc., observability will enable tracking the data drifts in risk factors, CAT model accuracy/performance characteristics etc. that affect the underwriting decision and improve overall broker and underwriting experience.

Clinical Diagnostics/Decision – AI agents alleviate the complexity of this data-intensive process by leveraging LLMs to extract context-specific clinical entities from medical records, summarizing medical conditions, invoking tools such as recommendation engines/agents for treatment options based on patients' medical history and guidelines, etc. In the absence of observability, there will be limited visibility on whether models are hallucinating or adhering to the clinical guidelines, on accuracy or consistency, on the rationale for recommended treatment plans. Overall, AI intervention without observability may become a liability. Hence, observability becomes a cornerstone to transform clinical decisions and improve patient outcomes while saving physician time.

The Way forward

For a chief data and analytics officer, chief data officer or business executive, the business case for comprehensive observability has never been clearer. Below are some best practices and next steps, as leaders are envisioning how to leverage the technology to transform their business.

  • Ensure your D&A strategy encompasses an audit of your current observability maturity across data, models and infrastructure. Most organizations discover significant gaps that create business risks and limit benefits. Align your observability investments directly to business outcomes rather than technical metrics alone.
  • Build observability into your data architecture from the beginning, rather than retrofitting later. This approach typically reduces implementation costs and builds trust with business.
  • Develop an observability-driven culture. That enables teams to leverage insights and helps to address issues at the onset, before affecting business operations. This fundamental shift transforms data teams to value drivers.
  • Don't make a one-time investment. Develop a continuing capability that adapts along with your data, AI and business initiatives.

In a nutshell, organizations gaining competitive advantage aren't those with huge AI investments but the ones with visibility into how their data and AI systems create business value. By implementing comprehensive observability, you transform data and AI investments into measurable, adaptable capability for sustainable innovation.


Prathap Gokul

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Prathap Gokul

Prathap Gokul is head of insurance data and analytics with the data and analytics group in TCS’s banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI) business unit.

He has over 25 years of industry experience in commercial and personal insurance, life and retirement, and corporate functions.

The Rise of E-Bike Accidents

E-bike accidents are surging nationwide as popularity soars, presenting new safety and liability challenges for riders and motorists.

Green E-Bike at French Train Station

Electric bicycles, or e-bikes, have become a common sight these days in just about every urban environment all over the world. They're fast, efficient, and eco-friendly, making them a popular alternative to traditional transportation. But their rise in popularity is accompanied by a surge in serious accidents and injuries, especially in dense metropolitan areas. As e-bike accidents become more frequent and more severe, the question isn't whether we should embrace this mode of transport– it's already a fact of life– but how we can do it safely.

Bike injuries, especially those between electric bicycles and motor vehicles, can have serious consequences. If you've been injured while riding, know your rights, and where to turn for legal support.

The Surge in E-Bike Popularity

More than 1.1 million e-bikes were sold in the U.S. in 2022 alone, a nearly fourfold increase since 2019.

This growth is driven by multiple factors:

  • Rising fuel prices and eco-consciousness
  • The desire to avoid crowded public transit
  • Advancements in battery and motor technology
  • Local rebate and micromobility incentive programs

E-bikes are also capable of higher speeds than traditional bikes, often reaching 28 mph. Many newer models include throttle-only features, removing the need for pedaling entirely. Unfortunately, many riders are unaware of the risks these features present, especially in areas lacking proper bike lanes or municipalities not designating areas for their use, or having no infrastructure designed to support micromobility.

As adoption continues to rise, so do accidents. Emergency departments are reporting a steady increase in micromobility injuries, many involving e-bikes. 

E-Bike Accidents on the Rise

The increase in accidents involving e-bikes has raised serious concerns for public safety officials and healthcare providers. According to the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), injuries increased by 21% between 2021 and 2022 alone. Even more alarming, e-bike crashes tend to result in more severe injuries compared with traditional bicycles.

The reasons? Higher speeds, heavier frames, automated riding features, and lithium-ion battery hazards. Unsafe speeds and rider inexperience are among the leading causes of e-bike crashes, especially in busy urban environments.

Between 2017 and 2022, emergency departments across the U.S. saw a sharp uptick in e-bike-related visits, from just 751 cases to more than 23,000 annually. In New York City, 23 of the 30 bicycle deaths in 2023 involved e-bikes. And in California, the number of e-bike incidents rose more than 18 times over five years.

Children and adolescents are among the most affected. Riders under 18 years of age now represent over one-third of all e-bike injuries, with many suffering from head trauma, lower extremity fractures, and internal injuries. Some experts link this trend to underregulated sales, lack of age restrictions, and the appeal of throttle-based models that require no pedaling or skill development.

Not all e-bike injuries stem from collisions. A growing number are tied to mechanical issues and battery fires. Cheap, unregulated lithium-ion batteries have been linked to hundreds of fire incidents nationwide, resulting in property damage, serious burns, and even fatalities. Improper charging and poor quality components put every e-bike owner at risk, even when the bike isn't in motion.

Who Is At Fault in an E-Bike Accident?

Determining fault in an e-bike accident isn't always clear-cut. Unlike traditional bicycles, e-bikes fall into a legal gray area, somewhere between bicycles and motor vehicles. This ambiguity complicates insurance claims, police reports, and legal accountability, especially in urban areas. The most common e-bike accidents involve collisions with other vehicles, particularly at intersections where drivers may misjudge an e-bike's speed.

As an experienced bicycle accident attorney will tell you, liability often depends on how the e-bike was being used, what class of e-bike was involved, and whether traffic laws were followed. The faster the e-bike, and the more motor-reliant, the more likely it is to be treated like a motor vehicle in the eyes of the law.

Here are a few common at-fault scenarios:

  • Motor vehicle drivers: Cars failing to yield in intersections, opening doors into bike lanes, or turning without signaling are frequent culprits. These incidents often happen because drivers underestimate the speed of e-bikes.
  • The bike rider: Inexperienced riders may travel too fast for conditions, misjudge braking distances, or make sudden movements in traffic. Speeding and improper turns are two of the top cited violations in e-bike crashes.
  • Manufacturers: If a crash is caused by faulty brakes, a stuck throttle, or a battery fire, the bike manufacturer may be held accountable under product liability laws.
  • Local governments: Poorly maintained bike lanes, lack of designated areas, or missing signage can shift liability to the municipality responsible for safe infrastructure.
Essential Safety Tips for E-Bike Riders

As e-bikes continue to grow in popularity, staying safe on the road is more important than ever, and a few steps can greatly reduce your chances of being involved in an accident or suffering serious bike injuries.

1. Always Wear a Helmet

It may seem obvious, but helmet use remains one of the most effective ways to prevent common injuries, particularly traumatic head injuries. This is especially important for riders of Class 3 bikes, which can reach speeds of 28 mph.

2. Follow Traffic Laws and Ride Predictably

E-bikes may look like traditional bicycles, but in many ways, they behave more like mopeds. Stick to designated bike lanes whenever possible, signal your turns, obey traffic signals, and avoid weaving through cars. Remember: motorists often misjudge an e-bike's speed, especially at intersections and roundabouts.

3. Perform Regular Maintenance

Check your brakes, tires, chain, and battery before every ride. A stuck throttle, brake failure, or battery defect can turn a simple ride into a dangerous situation. Only use manufacturer-approved components, and never attempt to bypass the bike's speed limiter.

4. Handle Your Battery With Care

Improper charging and cheap aftermarket batteries are the top causes of e-bike fires. Always charge in a cool, dry area, away from flammable materials, and never leave a battery unattended overnight. The CPSC has urged riders to report defective batteries and only purchase certified models that meet national safety standards.

5. Ride Defensively in Urban Environments

Drivers may not see you, especially in their blind spots. Make eye contact with motorists at intersections, avoid riding too close to parked cars (door zones), and be extra cautious around large trucks and buses.

Beyond protecting your physical safety, these tips can also strengthen your legal position if a crash happens. A well-documented history of safe riding habits can make a big difference in your case, should you need to work with a bicycle accident attorney after a crash.

When to Speak With an E-Bike Attorney

Even when you do everything right, accidents still happen. And when they do, the consequences can be life-altering. Beyond simple inconvenience and physical pain, a crash involving an e-bike can disrupt your world completely. Victims may experience debilitating fractures and spinal injuries and may encounter lost wages due to recovery time, along with mounting medical bills.

It can be hard to know what to do in the immediate aftermath of a crash, so the best way to be prepared is to know your rights and the legal options available to you. No matter the cause of your e-bike-related personal injury, a skilled bicycle accident attorney can help hold the right parties accountable and pursue the compensation you deserve.

How Agencies Can Thrive in an Automated World

AI integration promises to restore relationships at the heart of independent insurance agencies amid industry disruption.

Mini model of a city with buildings in a digital world atop a glowing blue circle against a dark blue background with digital icons atop buildings

The independent agency channel is approaching a crossroads. Half of all insurance agents are expected to retire within the next decade. Fewer than a quarter of today's insurance professionals are under 35. Meanwhile, consolidation driven by private equity often prioritizes short-term efficiency over long-term innovation, and direct-to-consumer models continue to chip away at the personal relationships that have long defined this industry.

This moment of disruption feels daunting, but it's also an opportunity to reimagine what's possible.

Redefining the future of insurance

Having spent my career building companies in relationship-driven sectors, I've seen how technology, when applied carefully, can elevate rather than replace human connection. The same potential exists in insurance—if we focus not on automating the agent out of the process but on empowering them to do more of what they do best.

After hundreds of conversations with agency owners across the country, I hear the same theme:

"I got into this business to help people, but most of my day is spent on admin work."

The challenge isn't a lack of tools; it's that the tools don't work together. Agencies today face a fragmented tech landscape where systems don't talk to each other, and humans are forced to bridge the gaps.

That's not a sustainable path forward. But there's a better one.

Where AI fits in: clearing the path, not replacing the people

Much of the discourse around AI in insurance focuses on splashy use cases: chatbots, robo-underwriting, algorithmic pricing. But the most transformative opportunities are often the least visible.

The real promise of AI lies in the back office—in removing the repetitive, manual work that prevents agents from spending time with clients. It's not about replacing humans; it's about clearing the way for them to do more of what matters.

This starts with solving the real technology problem facing agencies: connectivity.

Consider just a few high-impact applications of AI:

  • System integration: Seamlessly connecting CRMs, AMSs, carrier portals, and quoting tools to eliminate manual data entry.
  • Document processing: Extracting structured data from unstructured files like PDFs, emails, and ACORD forms.
  • Renewal automation: Orchestrating renewal workflows to ensure timeliness and reduce follow-up fatigue.
  • Data validation: Comparing inputs across systems to catch discrepancies before they create downstream issues.

And the great news is, there are a number of VC-backed solutions already solving some aspect of this broader agency solution.

Why it matters: Relationships drive results

The financial benefits of automation are undeniable. Many traditional independent agencies are stuck operating at sub-20% EBITDA margins, largely due to the inefficiencies of a disconnected system. While this affects profitability, the greater impact is on the client experience and the relationships that truly drive this industry forward.

Instead of reinvesting hard-earned commissions into fostering and growing these relationships, agencies often find those resources drained by tedious, repetitive tasks. This leaves agents reactive rather than proactive, limiting their ability to build trust, offer meaningful advice, and deepen connections with clients.

Technology doesn't have to undermine the human element of this work. When implemented thoughtfully, it enhances it, allowing agents to step away from the paperwork and focus on what really matters: creating and strengthening personal connections in an increasingly impersonal world.

Done right, automation doesn't replace humanity. It gives people the time and space to truly be human.

A road map for agencies ready to begin

For independent agencies looking to take the first step, I recommend a measured, practical approach:

  1. Audit your workflows: Track where your team spends time over a week. Identify high-frequency, low-value tasks.
  2. Evaluate your systems: Map out your tech stack and highlight where manual handoffs occur.
  3. Start small: Automate one process first. Document handling is often a low-risk, high-reward place to begin.
  4. Focus on outcomes: Don't pursue AI for the sake of AI. Define success as time reclaimed for relationship-building.
  5. Choose your partners carefully: Whether you build, buy, or partner, connectivity should be the priority, not just shiny features.
The balance of success

My fundamental belief about the future of insurance is that success will come from equal parts innovation and relationships, technology and tradition.

The agencies that thrive will not be the ones that resist technology, nor the ones that abandon the human touch. They will be the ones that use automation to enhance what makes them unique, removing friction so relationships can grow without unnecessary barriers.

In a world that often feels divided between high-tech efficiency and high-touch service, the most resilient path is not choosing one over the other. It is finding a way to bring both together in a way that strengthens each.

The independent agency model has endured for generations because of the value of trusted, personal advice. With the right approach to AI, that model will not only survive the digital transformation. It will help define the future of the industry.


Mike Witte

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Mike Witte

Mike Witte is the co-founder and CEO of EqualParts, a company building AI-native tools for independent agencies. 

A serial entrepreneur with experience in both the energy services and insurance sectors, Witte focuses on how technology can elevate human connection in relationship-driven industries.

How NLP-Based Systems Combat Fraud

Policy admin systems enhanced with natural language processing detect linguistic fraud patterns that traditional rule-based algorithms miss.

A Woman Holding a Contract

Behind every false claim is a carefully crafted narrative to deceive insurance companies. Fabricated accidents, exaggerated injuries, and staged losses are all framed within seemingly real paperwork. Not only is this an issue for insurers, but policyholders equally bear the brunt of paying for the losses through higher premiums.

An estimated 20% of insurance claims are fraudulent. Even more surprising is that an estimated $308.6 billion is lost to insurance fraud annually in the U.S. alone, costing an estimated $900 per policyholder. Imagine the losses insurers and policyholders bear in the rest of the world. The figure will certainly be jaw-dropping!

But what leads to such a high rate of insurance fraud? Scammers take advantage of the fundamental limitations of traditional fraud detection systems, which is their inability to understand human language. Thus, this has become the new focus in insurance fraud prevention, where the line between genuine and false claims often lies in the subtle details of written text.

There's an urgent need for insurance policy administration systems augmented with natural language processing (NLP) capabilities. These advanced systems can analyze huge amounts of unstructured data quickly and accurately. The result? More effective fraud detection and prevention without compromising the legitimate customer experience.

Before diving into the powerful capabilities and benefits of NLP-powered policy administration systems, it is important to understand why traditional systems fail today. So, let's get started.

Why Traditional Policy Administration Systems Fall Short

Traditional fraud detection systems have rule-based, static algorithms that struggle to detect advanced fraud strategies today. These outdated systems create significant vulnerabilities within insurance operations, leading to serious compliance issues and substantial financial losses. Take a closer look at the limitations of traditional systems:

1. Limited Fraud Detection Abilities

The legacy policy administration system in insurance has limited fraud detection capabilities and struggles to identify subtle patterns that might indicate fraudulent behavior. Moreover, the manual review process creates unnecessary bottlenecks and delays claim settlements. When suspicious activities trigger alerts, investigators often have to dig through documents, slowing the entire claims process for all policyholders.

2. Inability to Process Unstructured Data

Important information often lies in unstructured formats, such as adjuster notes, medical reports, and customer communication. Traditional solutions can't interpret these descriptions, given their inability to extract and process unstructured data. This creates significant blind spots in fraud detection efforts, as important red flags remain hidden within claim details, medical notes, and policyholder communication.

3. Reactive Rather Than Proactive

Legacy policy administration systems identify fraud during post-payment audits. More concerning is that these systems aren't connected to data sources; thus, they fail to capture valuable context that could reveal suspicious patterns. This reactive approach drains substantial funds way before fraud is even detected. Besides, recovery efforts prove costly and often unsuccessful compared to prevention strategies.

4. Inflexible Rules and Parameters

Traditional policy administration solutions require manual reprogramming to adapt to modern fraud techniques. Insurers require technical expertise for this process, which creates operational delays and downtime. Fraudsters know how to exploit the static thresholds built into traditional systems.

Not only this, but fixed threshold parameters trigger excessive false alarms that drain investigative resources, failing to identify advanced fraud attempts that circumvent predefined rules. The rigidity of these systems prevents the continuous improvement necessary to fight evolving fraud strategies.

As is evident, insurers direly need advanced and innovative solutions to combat fraud. Integrating NLP in insurance policy administration systems precisely solves the problem. This combination creates a powerful tool that effectively addresses the shortcomings of traditional insurance fraud detection systems. So, let's explore in detail how NLP-augmented policy administration solutions empower insurers to fight fraud.

Role of NLP in Combatting Fraud

Natural language processing lets algorithms understand and interpret natural language as humans do. Thus, it's no wonder that the NLP market size is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 25%. Now imagine adding these capabilities to traditional policy administration systems! These transform fraud detection through advanced linguistic analysis capabilities. Here's what all NLP can help with:

Enhanced Data Extraction and Analysis

Unlike traditional methods, an NLP-powered policy administration system in insurance can extract information from previously inaccessible unstructured data such as claim descriptions, medical reports, adjuster comments, etc. These systems identify inconsistencies between claim narratives and other documentation, revealing fraudsters' attempts at misrepresentation.

For instance, NLP tools can detect when injury details in claim forms contradict accompanying medical reports. These minute but significant contradictions often indicate fraud that might otherwise go unnoticed.

Sentiment and Linguistic Pattern Recognition

Sentiment analysis helps detect emotional clues that might point to fraud. For instance, signs like unusual language patterns, excessive details, overuse of qualifying statements, and passive voice trigger automatic alerts for further investigation. Additionally, emotional distancing language and unnecessary explanations in claim documentation also suggest fraudulent intent. Sentiment analysis is the best way to distinguish legitimate submissions from false ones.

NLP-based policy administration software can identify specific words and phrases often linked to fake claims. These language markers generally appear in multiple fraud attempts in similar situations. The advanced systems analyze semantic patterns that correlate with proven fraud cases. This builds an ever-growing knowledge base of linguistic signs associated with deceptive practices.

Entity and Relationship Mapping

There are instances when insurance fraud is coordinated and organized by multiple entities. Individual claim analysis might not be able to identify such a relationship network across seemingly unrelated claims. Thanks to the advanced capabilities of NLP-based systems, insurers can easily identify and verify relationships among claimants, witnesses, medical providers, and repair facilities.

Additionally, NLP systems excel at the temporal analysis of claim stories. They can detect when the order of events doesn't make sense or when timelines seem unlikely in descriptions of claimed incidents. These timing anomalies often reveal fake scenarios created to support false claims. The system identifies when described sequences have impossible logic or timing contradictions that human reviewers might miss.

Multilingual Processing and Risk Classification

In the context of international scams that usually breed from language barriers, NLP-enhanced insurance policy administration software stands out as an armored knight. It can effectively process multilingual communications with consistent accuracy, ensuring that detection capabilities remain effective, regardless of the document language. Additionally, claims receive risk scores based on comprehensive linguistic analysis. Thus, insurers can prioritize the most doubtful submissions and better focus investigative resources on high-risk cases.

Continuous Learning and Adaptation

What differentiates NLP-powered insurance policy administration solutions from traditional rule-based methods is their ability to learn and evolve. They have cross-referencing capabilities for automatic comparison between current claims and historical data. The system identifies patterns across seemingly unrelated claims that share suspicious characteristics. This comparative analysis reveals subtle similarities that might indicate coordinated fraud attempts or repeated tactics from known offenders.

The systems continuously learn from adjuster decisions and outcomes and improve through exposure to adjudicated cases. This creates increasingly accurate fraud detection models without requiring manual rule updates, thus ensuring detection capabilities remain current against evolving fraud techniques.

Final Thoughts

As insurance fraud rises, adding NLP to insurance policy administration software is not a fancy move but a smarter way to combat scams. In addition to identifying fraud, these advanced systems help boost efficiency and improve customer experiences while preventing financial losses and reputational damage. Even though shifting from traditional systems to new ones is challenging, the ROI quickly materializes through significant drops in fraud.