Debunking 'Opt-Out' Myths (Part 3)
Too much of the discussion to date has been devoid of any spirit of inquiry, as "opt-out" opponents attempt to promote class warfare.
Too much of the discussion to date has been devoid of any spirit of inquiry, as "opt-out" opponents attempt to promote class warfare.
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Bill Minick is the president of PartnerSource, a consulting firm that has helped deliver better benefits and improved outcomes for tens of thousands of injured workers and billions of dollars in economic development through "options" to workers' compensation over the past 20 years.
At the tipping point, here is a look at the five factors -- social, technological, environmental, economic and political -- that matter most.
Environmental: Reshaping Catastrophe Risks and Insured Values
Catastrophe losses have soared since the 1970s. While 2014 had the largest number of events over the course of the past 30 years, losses and fatalities were actually below average. Globally, the use of technology, availability of data and ability to locate and respond to disaster in near real-time is helping to manage losses and save lives, though there are predictions that potential economic losses will be 160% higher in 2030 than they were in 1980.
Shifts in global production and supply are leading to a sharp rise in value at risk (VaR) in under-insured territories; the $12 billion of losses from the Thai floods of 2011 exemplify this. A 2013 report by the UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR) and PwC concluded that multinationals’ dependencies on unstable international supply chains now pose a systemic risk to "business as usual."
Environmental measures to mitigate risk
Moves to mitigate catastrophe risks
and control losses are increasing. Organizations, governments and UN bodies are working more closely to share information on the impact of disaster risk. Examples include R!SE, a joint UN-PwC initiative, which looks at how to embed disaster risk management into corporate strategy and investment decisions.
Governments also are starting to develop plans and policies for addressing climatic instability, though for the most part policy actions remain unpredictable, inconsistent and reactive.
Developments in risk modeling
A new generation of catastrophe models is ushering in a transformational expansion in both geographical
breadth and underwriting applications. Until recently, cat models primarily concentrated on developed market peak zones (such as Florida windstorm). As the unexpectedly high insurance losses from the 2010 Chilean earthquake and the 2011 Thai floods highlight, this narrow focus has failed to take account of the surge in production and asset values in fast-growth SAAAME markets (South America, Africa, Asia and the Middle East). The new models cover many of these previously non-modeled zones.
The other big difference for insurers is their newfound ability to plug different analytics into a single platform. This offers the advantages of being able to understand where there may be pockets of untapped capacity or, conversely, hazardous concentrations. The result is much more closely targeted risk selection and pricing.
The challenge is how to build these models into the running of the business. Cat modeling has traditionally been the preserve of a small, specialized team. The new capabilities are supposed to be easier to use and hence open to a much wider array of business, IT and analytical teams. It’s important to determine the kind of talent needed
to make best use of these systems, as well as how they will change the way underwriting decisions are made.
Emerging developments include new monitoring and detection systems, which draw
on multiple fixed and drone sensors.
Challenges for evaluating and pricing risk
Beyond catastrophe risks are disruptions to asset/insured values resulting from constraints on water, land and other previously under-evaluated risk factors. There are already examples of industrial plants that have had to close because of limited access to water.
Economic: Adapting to a Multipolar World
Struggling to sustain margins
The challenging economic climate has
held back discretionary spending on life, annuities and pensions, with the impact being compounded by low interest rates and the resulting difficulties in sustaining competitive returns for policyholders. The keys to sustaining margins are likely to be simple, low-cost, digitally distributed products for the mass market and use of the latest risk analytics to help offer guarantees at competitive prices.
The challenges facing P&C insurers center on low investment returns and a softening market. Opportunities to seek out new customers and boost revenues include strategic alliances. Examples could include affinity groups, manufacturers or major retailers. A further possibility is that one of the telecoms or Internet giants will want a tie-up with an insurer to help it move into the market.
More than 30% of insurance CEOs
now see alliances as an opportunity to strengthen innovation. Examples include the partnership between a leading global reinsurer and software group, which aims to provide more advanced cyber risk protection for corporations.
Surprisingly, only 10% of insurance CEOs are looking to partner with start- ups, even though such alliances could provide valuable access to the new ideas and technologies they need.
SAAAME growth
Growth in SAAAME insurance markets will continue to vary. Slowing growth
in some major markets, notably Brazil, could hold back expansion. In others, notably India, we are actually seeing a decline in life, annuity and pension take-up as a result of the curbs on commissions for unit-linked insurance plans (ULIP). Further development in capital markets will be necessary to encourage savers to switch their deposits to insurance products.
As the reliance on agency channels adds to costs, there are valuable opportunities to offer cost- effective digital distribution. Successful models of inclusion include an Indian national health insurance program, which is aimed at poorer households and operates through a public/private partnership. More than 30 million households have taken up the smart cards that provide them with access to hospital treatment.
The already strong growth (10% a year) in micro-insurance is also set to increase, drawing on models developed within micro-credit. The challenge for insurers is the need to make products that are sufficiently affordable and comprehensible to consumers who have little or no familiarity with the concept of insurance.
Rather than waiting for a market-wide alignment of data and pricing, some insurers have moved people onto the ground to build up the necessary data sets, often working in partnership with governments, regional and local development authorities and banks and local business groups.
Urbanization
The urban/rural divide may actually be more relevant to growth opportunities ahead than the emerging/developed market divide. In 1800, barely one in 50 people lived in cities. By 2009, urban dwellers had become a majority of the global population for the first time. Now, every week, 1.5 million people are added to the urban population, the bulk of them in SAAAME markets.
Cities are the main engines of the global economy, with 50% of global GDP generated in the world’s 300 largest metropolitan areas. The result is more wealth to protect. Infrastructure development alone will generate an estimated $68 billion in premium income between now and 2030. Urban citizens will be more likely to be exposed to insurance products and have access to them. Urbanization is also likely to increase purchases of life, annuities and pensions’ products, as people migrating into cities have to make individual provision for the future rather than relying on extended family support.
Yet as the size and number of mega-metropolises grow, so does the concentration of risk. Key areas of exposure go beyond property and catastrophe coverage to include the impact of air pollution and poor water quality and sanitation on health.
Tackling under-insurance
A Lloyd’s report comparing the level
of insurance penetration and natural catastrophe losses in countries around the world found that 17 fast-growth markets had an annualized insurance deficit of $168 billion, creating threats to sustained economic growth and the ability to recover from disasters.
Political: Harmonization, Standardization and Globalization of the Insurance Market
Government in the tent
At a time when all financial services businesses face considerable scrutiny, strengthening the social mandate through closer alignment with government goals could give insurers greater freedom. Insurers also could be in a stronger position to attract quality talent at a time when many of the brightest candidates are looking for more meaning from their chosen careers.
Government and insurers can join forces in the development of effective retirement and healthcare solutions (although there are risks). Further opportunities include a risk partnership approach to managing exposures that neither insurers nor governments have either the depth of data or financial resources to cover on their own, notably cyber, terrorism and catastrophe risks.
Impact of regulation
Insurers have never had to deal with an all-encompassing set of global prudential regulations comparable to the Basel Accords governing banks. But this is what the Financial Stability Board (FSB) and its sponsors in the G20 now want to see as the baseline requirements for not just the global insurers designated as systemically risky, but also a tier of internationally active insurance groups.
The G20’s focus on insurance regulation highlights the heightened politicization of financial services. Governments want to make sure that taxpayers no longer have to bail out failing financial institutions. The result
is an overhaul of capital requirements
in many parts of the world and a new basic capital requirement for G-SIIs. The other game-changing development is the emergence of a new breed of cross-state/cross-border regulator, which has been set up to strengthen co-ordination of supervision, crisis management and other key topics. These include the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) and the Federal Insurance Office (FIO) in the U.S.
Dealing with these developments requires a mechanism capable of looking beyond basic operational compliance at how new regulation will affect the strategy and structure of the organization and using this assessment to develop a clear and coherent company-wide response.
Technology will allow risk to be analyzed in real time, and predictive models would enable supervisors to identify and home in on areas in need
of intervention. Regulators would also be able to tap into the surge in data and analysis within supervised organizations, creating the foundations for machine-to-machine regulation.
A more unstable world
From the crisis in Ukraine to the rise of ISIS, instability is a fact of life. Pressure on land and water, as well as oil and minerals, is intensifying competition for strategic resources and potentially bringing states into conflict. The ways these disputes are playing out is also impinging on corporations to an ever-greater extent, be this trade sanctions or state-directed cyber-attacks.
Businesses, governments and individuals also need to understand the potential causes of conflict and their ramifications and develop appropriate contingency planning and response. At the very least, insurers should seek to model these threats and bring them into their overall risk evaluations. For some, this will be an important element of their growing role as risk advisers and mitigators. Investment firms are beginning to hire ex-intelligence and military figures as advisers or calling in dedicated political consultancies as part of their strategic planning. More insurers are likely to follow suit.
The final article in this series will look at scenarios that could play out for insurers and will lay out a way to formulate an effective strategy. If you want a copy of the report from which these articles are excerpted, click here.
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Jamie Yoder is president and general manager, North America, for Sapiens.
Previously, he was president of Snapsheet, Before Snapsheet, he led the insurance advisory practice at PwC.
Anand Rao is a principal in PwC’s advisory practice. He leads the insurance analytics practice, is the innovation lead for the U.S. firm’s analytics group and is the co-lead for the Global Project Blue, Future of Insurance research. Before joining PwC, Rao was with Mitchell Madison Group in London.
The stigma of mental health issues keeps millions from seeking treatment, hurting themselves, their families and their employers.
The role of stigma for people who are in need of mental health treatment is both profound and devastating. According to a 2011 study by the Association for Psychological Science, only 60% of people diagnosed with mental health problems reported receiving treatment. That means 40% of the millions of people in the U.S. who need professional help are getting no treatment whatsoever. Social stigma, myths and stereotypes play a huge role in limiting both access to care and discouraging people from pursuing mental health treatment. The problem is multifaceted and complex and has a wide-reaching effects on people's education, employment, health, well-being and relationships.
There are many forms of stigma and stereotypes. First, there is a widespread public perception that people with mental illness are dangerous, unpredictable and responsible for their own illness and not deserving of compassion and care. As a result, people in need of help are excluded from jobs, education and much-needed social interaction.
This problem also plays out in the professional medical setting, where negative stereotypes often lead medical providers to be less likely to focus on the patient rather than the disease and to not place the needed focus on recovery and referral for needed consultation and care.
Stigma in society and lack of awareness among medical providers also contributes to what is known as self-stigma. That is: People in need of help believe these stereotypes themselves and develop low self-esteem, which results in denial, attempts to hide problems, alcohol and drug abuse and a sense of hopelessness -- they feel they are unable to recover, so why try? These are the people who make up the 40% not seeking treatment and consultation.
Stigma results in a double problem for many people. They have real underlying symptoms, which lead to an actual disability, while myths and misconceptions lead to stereotypes and prejudice. Too often, people turn against themselves. Depression, for example, has been referred to by mental health professionals as "rage turned inward." This can lead to fear of rejection, isolation and hostile behavior. The result often is that the needed health care system is replaced by the criminal justice system.
How many people incarcerated today have an underlying untreated mental health condition? My guess is most, if not all. These are the people who did not pursue potential life opportunities for themselves but rather pursued illegal drugs or crime out of a sense of low-self-esteem and hopelessness. The overall result is both devastating to them and society as a whole.
Underlying mental health issues also have a huge impact on both healthcare and disability costs for private and public employers, health and disability insurers and both Medicare and Medicaid and the Social Security disability system (SSDI). How many people collecting private or public disability have an underlying, undiagnosed mental health problem? Nobody really knows, but many disability experts believe the number is staggering. The resulting costs to employers, insurers and taxpayers of untreated or undiagnosed mental health issues is in the billions of dollars.
In 2003, I helped conduct an unpublished study for a major U.S. corporation regarding its active employees out of work on full disability with a primary diagnosis of depression. The analysis cross-referenced these employees' disability claim data with their health insurance data base. It was found that 80% of the primary treating providers in the healthcare benefit side had no mention whatsoever of a primary or secondary diagnosis of depression. This means that their primary treating provider or "family doctor" was either unaware of the underlying mental health issues or failed to acknowledge or consider the possibility.
What was not able to be studied in this research was how many workers out on disability or workers compensation for a "bad back" really had an underlying mental health issue. The study did determine the No. 1 and 2 co-morbidities for employees out on disability for depression was musculoskeletal conditions and gastrointestinal conditions. The overwhelming number of medical providers treating and submitting claims for these co-morbidities (80%) had no mention of an underlying mental health issue despite the fact that their patient was out of work on full disability with a primary diagnosis of depression. The healthcare and disability costs of these employees out on full disability with a primary diagnosis of depression was staggering and in the millions just to this U.S. corporation. Because this large employer was self-insured for healthcare, disability and workers' compensation these costs go directly to its bottom line. These costs are then indirectly passed on to corporate customers and the general public purchasing the company's products and needed services.
What needs to be done to address underlying and untreated mental health conditions?
I do not believe any new federal legislation is required at this time. The Affordable Care Act (ACA), the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) and the Mental Health Parity Act are all in place to help people receive needed mental healthcare access. There is no reason people should not seek professional help that they need.
As in most complex public health issues, the answer lies in awareness, education, outreach and research dollars. Educating the public is a very difficult task. As we have learned the hard way with overall prejudices, urban myths and misinformation in society, in general educating people can take generations. Medical authorities in leading medical schools and institutions have also stated that documented research and best practices based on evidence-based medicine can take 20 years to filter down to local medical practices, if ever.
People suffering with underlying mental health issues don’t have 20 years to wait for proper referral and treatment. Medical professionals on the front line need to be educated today to ask the right questions with their patients about potential underlying mental health issues and help reassure people that the overwhelming majority of mental health issues can be diagnosed and successfully treated.
As a society we can no longer allow people to hurt themselves or others when treatment is readily available for people who need help because of genetic and other environmental causes that are no fault of their own. How many of our major problems such prejudice and gun violence have a root cause in untreated mental health issues? Maybe all of them.
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Dan is Director of Strategic Partnerships at First Managed Care Option (FMCO) in Morris Plains, NJ.
It is getting harder to captivate customers -- or even to please them -- because Amazon, Google, et al. have set the bar for service so high.
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Bhuvan Thakur is a vice president within the Enterprise Cloud Services business for Capgemini in North America, UK and Asia-Pacific. Thakur has more than 18 years of consulting experience, primarily in the customer relationship management (CRM) and customer experience domain.
Jeff To is the insurance leader for Salesforce. He has led strategic innovation projects in insurance as part of Salesforce's Ignite program. Before that, To was a Lean Six Sigma black belt leading process transformation and software projects for IBM and PwC's financial services vertical.
Independent agents have been declared moribund for decades but are prospering. Why change now? Because of that "freckle"....
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Mike Manes was branded by Jack Burke as a “Cajun Philosopher.” He self-defines as a storyteller – “a guy with some brain tissue and much more scar tissue.” His organizational and life mantra is Carpe Mañana.
ID protection must help victims recover from their losses, regain their reputation and rest assured about any future attacks.
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Brad Barron founded CLC in 1986 as a manufacturer of various types of legal and financial benefit programs. CLC's programs have become the legal, identity-protection and financial assistance component for approximately 150 employee-assistance programs and their more than 15,000 employer groups.
Preventing "fact-cidents" in workers' comp -- "accidents" devoid of factual backing -- is time-consuming but not that complicated.
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Barry Thompson is a 35-year-plus industry veteran. He founded Risk Acuity in 2002 as an independent consultancy focused on workers’ compensation. His expert perspective transcends status quo to build highly effective employer-centered programs.
There are four key (and remarkably simple) constructs to guide digital transformation. No. 1: All insurance products are the same.
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Brian Harrigan, CEO of InsurIQ, a provider of insurance technology solutions, has spent over 40 years in the insurance industry, helping agents and carriers manage the purchasing of insurance and personal protection products.
Many companies evaluate wellness programs using employee surveys, but they are notoriously unreliable. There is a better way.
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Tom Emerick is president of Emerick Consulting and cofounder of EdisonHealth and Thera Advisors. Emerick’s years with Wal-Mart Stores, Burger King, British Petroleum and American Fidelity Assurance have provided him with an excellent blend of experience and contacts.
Nurse case management has been underappreciated in workers' comp but should be integrated into the process in a significant role.
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Karen Wolfe is founder, president and CEO of MedMetrics. She has been working in software design, development, data management and analysis specifically for the workers' compensation industry for nearly 25 years. Wolfe's background in healthcare, combined with her business and technology acumen, has resulted in unique expertise.