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5 Ways Data Allows for Value-Based Care

Advanced analytics can help healthcare organizations understand what might happen in the future and what actions they should consider.

As the healthcare industry moves toward value- based care, reimbursement will be tied to quality outcomes achieved. While the concept is simple enough, operating under this model brings some complications. Advanced analytics can help healthcare organizations understand their current situation, what might happen in the future and what actions they should consider. Below are five ways that healthcare organizations could accelerate their success with their value-based initiatives by leveraging advanced analytics:
#1: Get the full picture with a 360-degree view. When attempting to understand patient/member behaviors, trends, habits and actions, it is critical to bring together a variety of data sets to create a complete, 360-degree view of each member/patient and provider. By accessing data such as medical claims, pharmacy claims, enrollment, health risk assessment (HRA) and survey, lab and biometric, EMR/EHR, socioeconomic, etc., healthcare providers can make sound decisions based on facts to improve patient/member outcomes.
#2: Understand populations. Knowing the makeup of the population served is critical to the success of value-based initiatives. An organization must understand the clinical and financial risks that exist across their populations to implement programs to manage that risk. Analytics can help to categorize various patient populations as high, medium or low risk. Once an organization has identified where the risk rests today, they can use predictive analytics to predict where it is likely to surface in the future. With this knowledge, healthcare organizations can make more targeted interventions. See also: Strategies to Master Massively Big Data  
#3: Allocate resources. All healthcare organizations are managing their business with limited financial and human resources. By leveraging advanced analytics, those resources can be focused on areas that promise to produce the greatest return on their investment. For example, by assessing impactability (Impactability is predicting and identifying prioritized opportunities that have the greatest clinical or financial outcomes), healthcare organizations can determine how likely it is to reduce emergency department visits or in-patient utilization if care gaps are closed with specific patients/members.
#4: Avoid costly procedures and services. As healthcare organizations strive to deliver next-level quality care, they will begin to pivot to precision-level, personalized care management opportunities. One such method to raise the stakes is identifying the best care choices when working with conditions that lend themselves to preference-sensitive treatment options. This occurs when patients present with conditions or ailments where there are no definitive clinical guidelines and a variety of potential treatment options exist. For example, when patients present with knee or hip pain, surgery is not the only option. Indeed, providers, in some instances, could treat the pain just as, or even more, effectively with other less invasive options. Quality, cost and satisfaction can all be improved by providing the patient with education regarding more effective, less invasive treatment options with conditions such as uterine fibroids and endometriosis, bariatric conditions and low back pain. By understanding who is at high risk for these types of potentially avoidable procedures and knowing the total episode cost as well as the remaining time to use a less invasive option, care providers have the opportunity to reduce the number of invasive, costly procedures.
#5: Deliver personalized care. In most cases, healthcare providers find that delivering personalized care results in more effective care. But nearly all care management programs strive for personalized, effective care. So, what is the answer? The answer may lie in developing consumer types across populations. Consumer types is a method of categorizing patients/members based on like attributes such as age, gender, education, income, etc. By knowing the various consumer types and their attitudes that make up a population, healthcare organizations can develop, evaluate and market care management programs to the most effective patients/members. For example, if a diabetic patient lives in a food desert, it would be difficult to get them to comply with a healthy eating plan. Or, access to transportation may be a barrier to adhering to a medication plan, as patients might be required to trek to the post office just to pick up their prescription drugs. See also: 10 Trends on Big Data, Advanced Analytics  
At the end of the day, care givers seek to gain insight into not only what has happened, but what will happen and then what should I do about it. With so many competing priorities, it can be extremely difficult and overwhelming to know where to begin. By using advanced predictive and prescriptive analytics within daily workflow, healthcare organizations are able to confidently allocate resources to focus on high-value opportunities that will improve both clinical and financial outcomes. Interested in taking a deeper dive? Check out our webinar titled 5 Ways to Use Data for Advanced Analysis.

Eileen Cianciolo

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Eileen Cianciolo

Eileen Cianciolo is chief product officer at SCIO Health Analytics. She has 25 years of experience in the healthcare industry, including leadership roles in product management, product development and operations.

Digital Playbooks for Insurers (Part 1)

Digital playbooks are already in use. Does your company have a strategy to embrace the digital age and shift to Digital Insurance 2.0 to drive growth?

Football, in its infancy, had no plays. In the late 1870s, the visiting team would travel to the home team, where both teams would agree upon the set of rules for that game. The home team would supply officials, causing occasional controversy, and the game would be off and running. There was no quarterback, no set of downs and very few rules regarding possession of the ball. It wasn’t until Walter Camp, a former Yale player, introduced the concept of a quarterback and a limited time of possession, that “plays” became important. Camp wished to provide more of a strategic element to game play. This resulted in more practice, more play calling and much more interest in the game. Play calling and playbooks have increasing value and tremendous application for insurers as we rapidly shift from Insurance 1.0 to Digital Insurance 2.0. A playbook is meant to provide strategic direction that fits with current or projected circumstances. When business strategists read the industry, the different market segments and demographic trends, they can apply their plays more effectively to capture market share. Those without playbooks and plays will find themselves scrambling from priority to priority, instead of confidently executing their strategies to earn the win. Majesco is helping insurers build their unique digital playbooks with our strategic business platform solutions and market research-based, thought-leadership reports. In two of our recent reports, we provided both generational consumer playbooks and generational small-medium business (SMB) playbooks that give insurers valuable insights into digital capabilities enabled by technology’s potential that will energize insurance plays. In my next four blogs, we will draw on both reports to look at both Pregame Analysis and Ideal Offerings that insurers can use to target consumers and SMBs. Consumer generational playbooks — Pregame analysis Scouting the opposing team is the basis for creating and applying plays from the playbook to win. You’ll find an excellent scouting report of consumers (broken out by generational demographics) in Majesco’s recent thought-leadership reportThe New Insurance Customer — Digging Deeper: New Expectations, Innovations and Competition. At a high level, the report highlights the demographic trends that are pointing to a different future for insurance, which we call Digital Insurance 2.0, recognizing that customer expectations, product needs, engagement and more are vastly different than the last 30-plus years.  New experiences and technologies are becoming “the new norm” across all generations but are more intensely and rapidly changing to the next generation of insurance buyers, Gen Z and millennials. See also: Does Your Structure Fit Your Strategy?   Throughout time, the youngest members of society have traditionally been the early adopters of new technology. Millennials and Gen Z are the early adopters of our current, digital age. Both generations are digital natives. Millennials grew up digital in a world connected by the internet, and Gen Z was “born digital” in a world dominated by mobile. In our Changing Insurance for the Digital Age report, we highlight that the U.S. millennial market alone could exceed $7.2 trillion by 2025 and is the driving force behind increasingly personalized capabilities based on unique customer journeys involving engagement and real-time personalized product delivery. However, nearly 69% of millennials remain either actively disengaged or indifferent with their insurance carriers. Adding to this shift and momentum is the fast-emerging Gen Z market, which is poised to surpass the size of the millennial market. Simply put, for these digital generations, the traditional products, the business models that support them and the customer experience do not align with their growing market dominance. We found that millennials and Gen Z demand much more in personalized products and experience, putting innovative products and competitors at an advantage. The scouting report highlights new consumer behaviors and expectations Driving that point home, Majesco conducted consumer research in 2017 to determine the acceleration in changing digital behaviors across a number of technology and business indicators — the factors that are reshaping insurance. To capture the next generation of buyers, let alone retain current customers, insurers must begin to use playbooks that are aligned to the generational consumer needs and expectations, personalizing insurance, and place their companies firmly into the realm of Digital Insurance 2.0. We found that all generations share the top three most-performed “new” activities that we used as consumer trend indicators. There are substantial numbers of people who have now:
  • Paid for something with a company’s app (e.g. Amazon, Starbucks)
  • Paid for transportation through a ride-sharing service like Uber or Lyft
  • Used a fitness tracker like Fitbit, Garmin, etc.
The Gen Z and millennial generations are at about 45% to 60% in usage of the top three, indicating a critical mass of interest. And while Gen X and Boomers are in the 30%-40% range, given the growth in usage we expect this to continue in an upward trend, as their comfort level with digital technologies increases. Customers across all generations have come to expect the convenience of researching, buying and paying for products, services and information on demand – any time and any place – via any device (phone, tablet, wearables) … and that includes insurance. The on-demand context of these behaviors, based on location, time and activity, lend themselves well to insurance applications, as risks are influenced heavily by where a person (or thing) is, what they are doing and when and how long they are doing it. Interestingly, and counter to perceptions of older generations, there is strong on-demand interest by Gen Xers and pre-retirement Boomers … emphasizing why digital engagement needs to be personalized to be effective. The report categorized analysis of the activities into seven key areas: gig economy, sharing economy, connected devices, payment methods, products, channels and other emerging technologies. Here are some of the highlights:
  • The 2016 Upwork and the Freelancers Union’s annual survey estimated that 55 million people, or 35% of the U.S. workforce, chose freelancing as their means of work. Our survey results confirm that participation in gig economy activities across all generations is similar to the Upwork survey. However, a smaller percentage have “side hustles” via ridesharing or renting their rooms/houses or cars.
  • Consumption of ridesharing services is a dominant behavior across all generations. Home/roomsharing services are used about half as much, yet still have a strong and growing appeal.
  • Connected device use is seeing tremendous gains. Fitness trackers are the most popular type of connected device across all generations. The nearly 33% of Gen Z and 25% of millennials using connected home devices could also rapidly help intensify these new needs and expectations.
  • Use of ApplePay and SamsungPay saw strong year-on-year growth, with more than a third of Gen Z and millennials and a quarter of Gen X now using them regularly. The increased use of digital payment capabilities is raising the bar of expectations across all generations for all types of purchases, including insurance.
  • Across all generations, 22% to 38% purchased insurance from a website, with Gen Z and millennials clearly leading the use of this channel. This suggests the increased ease and desire of the younger generation to buy online.
  • On-demand insurance was surprisingly strong, with 25% to nearly 30% purchasing it for a specific item or event, such as the kind of insurance that Trov offers. On-demand and subscription-based models are rapidly gaining acceptance in a shorter time, as compared with website purchases, which have been around for nearly 20 years.
  • Not surprisingly, Gen Z and millennials lead the older generations in their use of drones and 3D printers (or items produced by one). These are two rapidly growing technologies that present significant risk implications for the insurance industry.
What this conveys to insurers doing their own analysis is that “new” is increasingly “normal,” more quickly. Using research responses, we extrapolated valuable “plays” that insurers may pull for use in their own playbooks. See also: Stretching the Bounds of Digital Insurance   The game has already started…your team better join soon   Many new business models and new products emerging in the market are focused directly on exploiting these new behaviors and expectations. These Digital Insurance 2.0 teams are intent on challenging the traditional products, services and processes of traditional Insurance 1.0 teams. And while customers and the market will ultimately determine their success, we tested five of them and learned they stand a good chance of succeeding, especially among the younger generations who are the new generation of insurance customers. Furthermore, we decomposed these new products and new business models into 30 distinct attributes and tested them with customers to determine their interest in buying and potential to switch to them. And the interest to buy and switch is strong. Existing insurers need to seriously begin to understand, plan and develop new offerings and capabilities aligned to these … which represent Digital Insurance 2.0. In my next blog, we’ll look at customer reactions to those business models, assess their viability for use in insurer playbooks and discuss how the 30 attributes can be used to create some Ideal Offerings for different customer segments. For a preview, be sure to readThe New Insurance Customer — Digging Deeper: New Expectations, Innovations and Competition. Digital playbooks are already in use. Does your company have a strategy to embrace the digital age and shift to Digital Insurance 2.0 to drive growth? The time for developing and using the digital playbook is at hand.

Denise Garth

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Denise Garth

Denise Garth is senior vice president, strategic marketing, responsible for leading marketing, industry relations and innovation in support of Majesco's client-centric strategy.

11 Ways Amazon Could Transform Care

Once newspapers lost classified ads, their business model fell apart. Amazon-Berkshire-JPMorgan could do the same to healthcare.

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"Your margin is my opportunity.” - Jeff Bezos Amazon has proven again and again that Bezos and team can bring fundamental change to multiple industries. Adding one of the world’s most respected and trusted business figures in Warren Buffett and the leader of one of the largest financial institutions who pulled it through the 2008 financial crisis in Jamie Dimon, and healthcare’s long overdue overhaul may be upon us. Not since I wrote Health Insurance's Bunker Buster nearly eight years ago have I seen anything that has the potential to bring a brighter future for all Americans. In this article, I refer to my book, The CEO’s Guide to Restoring the American Dream. You can get it on Amazon or download it for free here. For simplicity, I’ll refer to the Amazon-Berkshire Hathaway-JP Morgan Chase as “ABC.” The slide below is a very rough breakdown of where each dollar in the U.S. healthcare system goes. Shockingly little makes its way to the value-creators—primarily nurses, doctors and other clinicians. As I laid out earlier in 10 Mistakes Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway and J.P. Morgan Must Avoid to Make a Dent in Healthcare, conventional employer-led efforts have failed to change healthcare. Few would call Bezos, Buffett or Dimon conventional thinkers, and they collectively bring more weight than most of the world’s developed economies. Given that the U.S. healthcare industry would be tied with Germany as the 4th largest economy in the world, the potential of their influence becomes clear. The benefits from tackling the extraordinary fraud, waste and abuse in our healthcare system is why employers can and are doing it. More importantly, the collective successes have already created a guiding framework for all healthcare purchasers—private or public. We call this framework the Health Rosetta, but we’re just aggregating these successes. Baked into virtually every U.S. healthcare industry business model is that employers are what healthcare pundit and author Matthew Holt calls “dumb price takers.” Most readily pay 2X-10x more than market-clearing prices. Chapter 6, PPO Networks Deliver Value—and Other Flawed Assumptions Crushing Your Bottom Line, spells out how this happens. I will spell out below how ABC could tackle the healthcare tapeworm (Warren Buffett’s term for the negative impact of healthcare on the U.S. economy). See also: Whiff of Market-Based Healthcare Change? Three key facts potentially differentiate the ABC health initiative from past employer-led efforts:
  1. The strategic focus and attention of three of the most successful CEOs in America.
  2. Warren Buffett’s moral authority and trust, which will give the initiative a bully pulpit that can reach the general public.
  3. Amazon and J.P. Morgan Chase’s technology, financial structuring, and data prowess, which can be applied to root out fraud, waste and abuse, create new care pathways and produce new revenue and financing models.
The following points riff off the line from The CEO’s Guide that people tell me most resonates with them—You’re in the healthcare business whether you like it or not. Here’s how to make it thrive. In other words, when ABC applies the same discipline to healthcare that they apply to every other area, modeling the path for other employers, everything will change. Below are 11 ways the ABC initiative could forever change the U.S. healthcare system, followed by a summary treatment of each point.
  1. New industry norms for benefits-purchasing transparency and conflicts disclosure will emerge
  2. Cybercrime fraud rates will drop dramatically
  3. Fraud awareness enabled by healthcare industry will trigger landscape-changing litigation
  4. Healthcare will stop stealing from retirement savings
  5. Healthcare will stop stealing millennials' future
  6. Market clarity will show that employers are the real “insurance” companies
  7. A spotlight will shine on high rates of overtreatment and misdiagnosis
  8. Open source will come to healthcare
  9. Massive new capital restructuring opportunities will appear
  10. Primary care will experience a rebirth
  11. There will be a focus on going local to go national
Now that you know where we’re going, let’s dive into each point. 1. New industry norms for benefits purchasing transparency and conflicts disclosure will emerge The ABC leaders each have deep financial services expertise where meaningful disclosure of compensation and conflicts of interest is deeply embedded both legally and culturally. As they dig in, I would expect them to conclude that new norms are needed in this space, such as what we’ve developed for the Health Rosetta plan sponsor bill of rightsbenefits adviser code of conduct and disclosure standards. These are “motherhood and apple pie” concepts that are a 180-degree change from current industry norms, where benefits brokers often sit on both sides of a transactions with significant undisclosed conflicts. 2. Cybercrime fraud rates will drop dramatically The same sort of algorithms that identify fraud in credit cards can be applied to healthcare, but haven’t been. Simple-to-detect fraud like a single claim being paid 25 times to cybercriminals (a real and all-too-common occurrence that modern payment integrity services find) will be the low-hanging fruit, but these have not been broadly applied. ABC will also see that this blatant fraud is just the tip of the fraud, waste and abuse iceberg. As a bonus, a leader in payment integrity is one of the earliest adopters of Amazon’s AWS cloud service. 3. Fraud awareness enabled by healthcare industry will trigger landscape-changing litigation Even though cybercrime is only the tip of the iceberg on fraud, waste and abuse, it is so blatant that it is already spurring legal activity. In Chapter 19 of my book, I quote a Big Four risk management practice leader who said, “ERISA fiduciary risk is the largest undisclosed risk I’ve seen in my career.” There are two areas of legal jeopardy that are snapping CEOs to attention as they get awakened to the risk. Chapter 7, Criminal Fraud is Much Bigger Than You Think, is just the basics on ERISA fiduciary risk, but it is so blatant that there are dozens of cases in the works. An additional thread of fiduciary legal front is emerging—activist shareholders are realizing how straightforward it is to improve earnings by slaying the healthcare cost beast. The Health Rosetta website has a simple estimator that translates removal of healthcare waste into EBITDA impact. Here is just one example of the impact. A multinational manufacturer implemented a proper musculoskeletal management program by having physical therapists working with employees and workplace ergonomics. The savings (if applied directly to EBITDA) from this alone create a positive $2 billion of market cap impact (calculate savings x price-earnings multiple). 4. Healthcare will stop stealing from retirement savings Healthcare has crushed the average boomer’s retirement savings by $1 million. Even if this estimate is off by 10x (unlikely), it’s still $7.6 trillion that could have been under management by financial firms such as JP Morgan. My senior level contacts in the 401k/retirement segment surprised me when they said that government de-privatizing of retirement (due to low savings levels) is on the worry list of folks like Jamie Dimon. If true, it is another reason organizations like JPMorgan Chase would want to redirect money being squandered in healthcare to retirement accounts. 5. Healthcare will stop stealing millennials' future David Goldhill’s outstanding Catastrophic Care book gave an “optimistic” view of how healthcare is on track to consume half of a typical millennial’s lifetime earnings. He assumed that healthcare costs grew at half the rate of regular inflation (extremely rare—more typically, it’s 5% to 10%). As the largest generation in history, millennials are the most important generation for all of the ABC organizations. Smart employers find they are natural early adopters of Health Rosetta-type benefits programs. [See Chapter 4, Millennials Will Revolutionize Health Benefits] 6. Market clarity will show that employers are the real “insurance” companies This is the health plan industry’s worst nightmare. There is a growing realization that because less than a third of the claims that insurance companies process actually put the insurance companies’ money at risk, “insurance” companies are more appropriately described as commoditize-able claims processors. It is self-evident that paying a third party to manage risk when they benefit from rising costs hasn’t worked out well. The smart BUCAs already understand this, which is why you see some aggressively diversifying out of the insurance business. They are happy to milk the insurance business until it goes away, but their corporate development actions clearly signal the future. For example, I heard Aetna CEO Mark Bertolini say at a Health 2.0 conference that they increasingly see themselves as a technology company with insurance on the side. [See Chapter 3, What You Don't Know About the Pressures and Constraints Facing Insurance Executives Costs You Dearly] 7. A spotlight will fall on high rates of overtreatment and misdiagnosis ABC’s leadership will see past studies such as the Starbucks/Virginia Mason study that found that 90% of spinal procedures did not help at all. They will also be shocked to find extraordinary rates of misdiagnosis across healthcare, like what I outline in Chapter 12, Centers of Excellence: a Golden Opportunity. They will want to ensure their employees get the best possible care, which also saves tremendous money. It’s commonly known that ~50% of what we do to people in healthcare does not make them better and could make them worse. One of the foremost experts in employer benefits, Brian Klepper, estimates that 2% of the entire U.S. economy is tied up in non-evidence-based, non-value-added musculoskeletal procedures. 8. Open source will come to healthcare As much as companies such as Amazon keep some information and code proprietary, they also actively benefit from open source. Open source software underpins major parts of Amazon’s business. Some problems are too big to tackle on your own. As big as ABC are, they aren’t big enough to tackle all of healthcare, and they don’t have dominant market share in any single geography. Because adoption happens so slowly in healthcare, Health Rosetta is catalyzing the creation of a Wikipedia-like resource for the next 100 years of health (a group of visionary doctors call their vision Health 3.0) to dramatically accelerate the rate of adoption for successful approaches. Those insights will benefit ABC. In the other direction, ABC should be motivated to share what they are doing with other local employers to more rapidly change norms in a given healthcare market. While the Fair Trade-like model for healthcare transactions we’re working on is non-controversial outside of healthcare, ABC can add heft and use their bully pulpit to normalize more appropriate behavior in this area. For example, legitimate, known pricing (link to a petition by a former hospital CEO) versus the arguably predatory and arbitrary pricing today would still let healthcare providers set their prices (i.e., not government-set), but pricing would be consistent and known across all payers. One Health Rosetta component—Transparent Open Networks—already enables this. In other words, healthcare transactions could operate like every other part of the economy. Single pricing is a subtle, but critical, part of making healthcare functional. Not tackling this would be one of the biggest mistakes ABC could make. 9. Massive new capital restructuring opportunities will appear This item could be an entire white paper, but I’ll touch on just two opportunities stemming from the above items. Hundreds of billions of dollars (if not more) have been and are being tied up in fraud, waste and abuse. As large purchasers and others begin to account for this, a subset of it can be treated as bad debt and turned into instruments that are sold to opportunistic, sophisticated investors. The subsequent collection efforts by these purchasers would be dramatic to any person or organization enabling the fraud. Second, it is well known that we have at least 40% overcapacity of hospital beds, fueled by a massive revenue bond bubble. The orderly disposition and restructuring of these assets is another massive opportunity that can be accelerated by the work of ABC and others. Outside of rural settings that have few overcapacity issues, evidence shows that hospital closings have no impact on outcomes. Freakonomics did a segment on how health outcomes actually improved when hospital cardiologists were away at a conference. This horrific story about a typical overtreatment scenario leading to bad outcomes is another example of why this would be the case. 10. Primary care will experience a rebirth I detailed the critical reasons why ABC must have a strong primary care foundation in my open letter to Jeff Bezos, Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon. Just based on the number of employees ABC has, it makes economic sense to fund ~1,500 value-based primary care clinics. They can derisk this investment by making the clinics available to ABC partners and customers. I wasn’t surprised that ABC recently hired my parents' primary care physician, who has deep experience in a vanguard value-based primary care organization. [See Chapter 14 for more on value-based primary care] 11. There will be a focus on going local to go national From Facebook to Uber and Lyft, the best way to go national with something game-changing is to start with a hyperlocal focus. This lets you prove unit economics in a controllable environment. Despite conventional wisdom, the future health ecosystem will be local, open and independent, which provides anti-fragility versus easy-to-destroy monoliths. I often draw an analogy between the Health Rosetta and LEED for many reasons. One is that certain locales were early adopters of LEED. Likewise, certain geographies will abandon the current, silly medical facility arms race. For example, Portland, OR, is an early adopter of LEED, and it has grown a cluster of sustainable industries by attracting talent and businesses to the area. Over the last year, I have been gathering feedback on creating a competition like Google Fiber or Amazon HQ2 competitions to identify communities where the new health ecosystem forms. See also: Media Coverage on Amazon Misses Point   Beyond the obvious benefits of defining and pioneering the next century of health, solving the opioid crisis is a profound imperative. As I pointed out in Chapter 20: The Opioid Crisis: Employers Have the Antidote, the largest public health crisis in 100 years has major employer/economic implications and is simply impossible to solve without active employer involvement. The sad fact is that every addict needs an enabler, and employers have been the biggest (unwitting) enabler in 11 of the 12 major drivers of the crisis. The silver lining is that solving the opioid crisis takes you a long way toward solving broader healthcare dysfunction. Employers implementing Health Rosetta-type benefits have much lower rates of opioid overuse disorders due to the upstream “antidotes” to the crisis. In short, ABC has the power to demonstrate that employer health benefits are the newspaper classifieds of transforming the healthcare business Healthcare has many analogies with another industry that has been dominated by regional monopolies/oligopolies—newspapers. Like employer health benefits, the classifieds business was very easy to overlook. However, in both cases, they drove a significant majority of profits for newspapers. Once the classifieds business was undermined, the newspaper industry was never the same. If the ABC initiative plays its cards right, they can catalyze restoring the American Dream for millions of Americans by fixing healthcare. The great news is that there are many microcosms in America where the best healthcare system in the world exists — far more affordable and effective than we’re used to. ABC has the opportunity to help America leapfrog the rest of the world and finally have a truly superior and efficient healthcare system. You can always count on Americans to do the right thing - after they've tried everything else.” - Winston Churchill

Dave Chase

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Dave Chase

Dave has a unique blend of HealthIT and consumer Internet leadership experience that is well suited to the bridging the gap between Health IT systems and individuals receiving care. Besides his role as CEO of Avado, he is a regular contributor to Reuters, TechCrunch, Forbes, Huffington Post, Washington Post, KevinMD and others.

Why Big Pharma Lawsuits Don't Work

The priorities of regulation seem to have strayed from their original purpose, letting drugs reach market without being fully vetted.

Truth-stretching claims made by companies about their products are nothing new -- we need only think back to old-school infomercials for some prime examples. When the products in question are prescription drugs, however, the repercussions of product misrepresentation become much more complicated. Because there are a number of regulatory departments designed to root out potentially dangerous substances well before they make their way into patient hands, it seems reasonable to assume that the drugs prescribed to us are safe for their intended uses. Over the last few decades, the FDA has developed a number of programs designed to speed the drug approval process and more quickly deliver promising new medications to suffering patients. The 1997 Food and Drug Administration Modernization Act included a “fast track” program that allowed qualifying drugs to cut approximately a year off the median development timeline. From one point of view, cutting down the time it takes for new medications to make their way to patients in need of treatment has clear benefits. From another, shortening the review and approval process can lead to less rigorous trials with less time to observe potential side effects and interactions. Faster approval time also means that pharmaceutical companies can start to profit from their innovations more quickly, which provides another motivator for promoting a more streamlined approval process. In some cases, however, an expedited approval process can lead to complications. Pradaxa, sold without a reversal agent for its blood-thinning effects for at least five years, has contributed to severe bleeding incidents and hundreds of deaths. The drug’s manufacturer, Boehringer Ingelheim, has faced thousands of lawsuits due to the internal bleeding side effects and reached a $650 million settlement in 2014 to resolve roughly 4,000 claims. See also: The True Face of Opioid Addiction   There are cases to be made both for and against streamlining the FDA drug approval process, but as the aphorism “first, do no harm” urges, safely treating patients should always be at the core of any system. In the first quarter of 2017 alone, the pharmaceutical and health products industry spent a total of $78 million in lobbying, a $10 million increase from the same period in 2016. This massive spending has allowed large pharmaceutical companies to influence policies and laws, and the leverage that Big Pharma gains through lobbying accounts for one of the pathways allowing drugs with potentially life-threatening side effects to reach the market before they’re fully tested. In 2001, Pfizer, one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, brought a drug called Bextra to market. Bextra belonged to a new class of painkillers called Cox-2 inhibitors -- purportedly safer than generics but with a much higher price tag. The FDA approved the drug to treat arthritis or menstrual cramps but rejected the drug for acute surgical pain (which would require a much higher dosage). Pfizer and its marketing partner Pharmacia pitched Bextra to surgeons and anesthesiologists anyway, and at doses up to twice what the FDA had approved as safe. Promoting a drug for off-label use is in direct contradiction to the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FDCA) designed to protect the public by ensuring that pharmaceutical drugs are safe and effective for their intended uses. Unlawfully promoting drugs for unapproved uses constitutes healthcare fraud, which in turn excludes pharmaceutical companies from Medicare/Medicaid. The penalty of Medicare/Medicaid exclusion would result in the disruption of necessary prescriptions to patients, loss of jobs and stock losses for shareholders, while virtually guaranteeing financial collapse. Instead of charging Pfizer with the crime, federal prosecutors charged one of Pfizer’s subsidiaries, Pharmacia & Upjohn Co. Inc. The resolution ensured that workers at Pfizer who hadn’t engaged in illegal activity wouldn’t be affected, but it also reduced the penalty to Pfizer from federal charges to a criminal fine -- Pfizer is effectively still able to sell products through federal programs. The size of the fine (nearly $1.2 billion) pales in comparison to Pfizer’s annual revenue, and Mike Loucks, the federal prosecutor who oversaw the Pfizer investigation, worries that the penalty wasn’t steep enough to deter similar behavior in the future. Contributing to the current situation are four FDA policies that have created accelerated pathways to approval for new, breakthrough pharmaceutical drugs. For example, the 21st Century Cures Act allows companies, under certain conditions, to provide data summaries and "real world evidence" (such as observational studies, insurance claims data, patient input and anecdotal data) rather than full clinical trial results. The policy prioritizes innovation and expedited approval over public safety, resulting in an overcrowded market of nearly identical drugs backed by less comprehensive research. See also: Big Opioid Pharma = Big Tobacco?   The importance of research into new solutions to a growing list of healthcare concerns can’t be discounted, but the priorities of current systems seem to have strayed from their original purpose. With the focus behind many pharmaceuticals developed and marketed today being profitability over safety and efficacy, it’s clear that regulations need to change. The industry requires a greater focus on transparency around quality testing and legislation, as well as the elimination of exploitable policies that allow larger companies to stymie generation of quality, affordable generics. Such a shift has the potential to both reverse rising healthcare costs and improve the quality and accessibility of medication to the public.

Nick Johns

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Nick Johns

Nick Johns is a writer from New York who combines an easily piqued sense of curiosity with a passion for research. Johns has covered a number of topics, with a focus on healthcare and consumer security.

Work Comp Mediation in a #MeToo World

Privacy is a key issue for claims of sexual aggression, and mediation is the most private way to resolve them.

In the #MeToo and #TimesUp era, employees may be more ready to assert sexual aggression claims than in the past. These situations could lead to a workers compensation claim, a civil suit or even criminal proceedings. Privacy is an issue in each setting, but only in comp is the claims professional engaged in the victim's medical treatment. Privacy issues merit consideration throughout the life of the claim, including at time of resolution. (The applicability of SB 863 and Labor Code §4660.1(c) regarding the compensability of psych claims is outside the scope of this post.) Who is the adjuster? Advocacy-based claims handling emphasizes empathy with the injured worker. Adjusting a claim for physical injury from rape, actual or attempted, or a psych claim arising from sexual aggression may call for special attention to who will see the injured worker’s records. A female adjuster may be best-suited to handle a woman’s claim. But reports of Kevin Spacey’s and others’ behavior remind us this problem is not limited to aggression against women. An important concern with #MeToo claims is to avoid a string of claims personnel who have access to the injured workers' medical records as they make treatment authorization decisions. Some companies have procedures to limit access to sensitive records. However, the longer a case is pending, the more likely it is that multiple people will need to see these records, possibly causing additional stress for the injured worker. See also: ‘Slice’ Your Way to Mediation Success     Confidential Resolution As with all other workers' compensation claims, early resolution is best. Mediation is the most private place to resolve sexual aggression claims. Unlike with an informal meeting, mediation confidentiality is mandated by law. A WCAB hearing may create additional psychological issues for someone who has had these experiences. Assure that person or their representative that participants are barred from disclosing what happens in a mediation in other forums. Additionally, caucusing enhances a claimant’s privacy. Once I have separated the parties into separate spaces, they can talk to me without fear that anything will be communicated to those in the other room without their permission. As the mediator, I can reframe the injured worker’s concerns to maximize privacy. This environment facilitates case settlement.

Teddy Snyder

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Teddy Snyder

Teddy Snyder mediates workers' compensation cases throughout California through WCMediator.com. An attorney since 1977, she has concentrated on claim settlement for more than 19 years. Her motto is, "Stop fooling around and just settle the case."

5 Trends for Employers to Watch in 2018

Compounding of global risk and policy shifts are two of the areas to watch in risk management and employee benefits this year.

Advanced planning and preparation, strategic global thinking, shifts in legislative landscapes and sound technology investments are on the minds of most industry leaders as we move into 2018. As an extension of its own thought leadership program, Sedgwick has identified key trends that are likely to affect risk management and benefit decisions in the coming year. To stay on top of issues that may affect our clients and industry partners throughout the year, we took a close look at internal research and colleague observations, external exploration and employer discussions and in-depth market monitoring of current and emerging risks. We will continue to watch and offer our projections on these potentially defining movements, classified into five categories:
  • Compounding global risks
  • Shifting tide of policy
  • Bridging the gaps
  • Leveraging interdisciplinary care
  • Improving experience through technology
Compounding global risks. An unusually high number of natural disasters in 2017 underscored the need for organizations to have a strong disaster recovery plan in place. Establishing strategic partnerships that can support an effective business continuity plan is critical. Preparation and action must occur before, during and after a catastrophe if an organization is going to recover and resume operations in a timely manner. Additionally, the continuing threat and prevalence of emerging risks are expected to push the boundaries of organizational resources and resiliency. Cyber threats like data intrusion and ransomware are evolving and multiplying as the global economy becomes increasingly connected. As we continue to see terrorism, both international and domestic, in the headlines, it underscores the need to prepare and protect our people and property. During these turbulent times, society’s reliance on first responders as a line of defense against risks of all types becomes even more critical. Caring for first responders’ overall physical and mental health is one way communities and businesses can increase preparedness for debilitating crises. Several states have taken up legislation aimed at increasing coverage for first responders. Organizations can anticipate that, as coverage grows, so will the need for specialized claims, managed care and disability services. See also: Industry Trends for 2017   Shifting tide of policy. Businesses can look for leave programs to expand in response to demand from their own employee populations, faced with the need to care for their own health and the welfare of their families. Parental leave, caregiver leave and other paid leave programs are on the rise; several states have already introduced new family-friendly paid leave bills, and others are clarifying and expanding regulations for leave benefits. This trend is expected to continue as the population shifts. More than ever, vigilance is needed for employers to maintain compliance with continuing changes in the Americans with Disabilities Act, Family and Medical Leave Act and other connected federal, state and municipal laws. Throughout 2018, organizations can expect regulatory complexity to increase and fines and litigation to be a looming threat for non-compliance. Many organizations are facing policy changes and compliance demands with a renewed willingness to collaborate across disability, leave of absence and workers’ compensation teams. It is impossible for organizations not to feel the impact of the prescription drug crisis on their workforces. The costs – personally and financially – of the misuse and abuse of opioids place undue burdens on society. Governmental agencies, pharmacy retailers and employers continue to look for ways to take back control through such means as legislation, drug formularies and first-fill limitations. Bridging the gaps. Throughout 2018, organizations will seek new ways to bridge gaps in knowledge and services based on evolving needs and preferences of consumers. Organizations are joining in the race toward on-demand, self-service innovation to provide immediate resources to those in need. The infusion of machine learning and artificial intelligence is advancing many capabilities by automatically sifting through mountains of data, allowing service providers to detect patterns faster and formulate valuable insights to improve the quality of the customer experience. Organizations are also seeking new ways to bridge diversity gaps. Different generations and populations have different needs when considering health concerns, technology, communication preferences and resources. We must address changing demographics within the workforce and determine how to better adapt practices to accommodate and support differences. Focusing on the claims industry specifically, insurance carriers, third party administrators and self-administered employers must broaden the knowledge and capabilities of today’s claims professional. As seasoned professionals begin to retire, bridging the talent gap becomes increasingly important. Training of claims professionals must expand beyond the traditional claims process. Claims organizations must look holistically at how examiners are addressing the needs of their clients and consumers and how their part in the process affects the bigger picture. Leveraging interdisciplinary care. The movement toward a whole health approach increases trust and engagement and places less influence on individual providers in favor of a more holistic, consensus view of treatments and interventions. As more employers embrace principles of advocacy, empathy and responsiveness, they are using centralized support to link teams and resources with a common focus on quality care. With this shift, organizations look forward to continued improvement in the consumer experience and stronger physical, emotional and financial health for employees. We are seeing more businesses embrace integrated programs as a means to address the shared challenges of healthcare, return to work and compliance. In addition, the importance of data connectivity within organizations and across providers will grow as organizations work to avoid information gaps, optimize care and avoid potential dangers. Interdisciplinary cooperation is also important as a means for exploring alternatives for pain management. Organizations can anticipate more collaboration between employers, physicians, claims specialists and patients as they move away from long-term drug prescriptions, looking instead toward alternative therapies and weaning techniques to help injured workers regain their health and productivity without the risk of addiction. See also: 3 Technology Trends Worth Watching   Improving experience through technology. Technology helps employers engage workers throughout their recovery, maintaining a stronger connection while they are away from work and making the process easier for them to understand. Better communication and improved access to on-demand care can help improve the claims experience, and increased consumer satisfaction is leading to accelerated outcomes and better overall health. Telemedicine and other remote access offerings are still on the rise and evolving as other “tele” services are added to the mix. Eliminating some of the barriers of distance and time, these resources are connecting patients with the right providers for initial and follow-up treatments for minor injuries and illnesses, as well as support resources throughout the claims process. Chatbots and avatars are becoming more prevalent as support and service options for all lines of business. The industry is even seeing potential for these tools as virtual health coaches for workers’ compensation, disability and wellness programs. Employers can also expect to see the claims industry reach the next level of decision optimization and use technology to deploy intervention strategies in real time. Analytics will influence next-generation methods for addressing all types of claims and be used to predict those that will become complex or incur large liability losses, anticipating care and pharmacy needs, prescribing appropriate steps toward resolution and facilitating return to work. While the year ahead may bring challenges, it also brings a renewed sense of hope and excitement. As these and other trends materialize and develop, those who have anticipated and planned ahead will be in a position to capitalize on opportunities as they arise. Sedgwick will continue to guide our clients and the broader industry by tracking topics and trends like these that may affect employees, customers and businesses. To read more, visit Sedgwick’s Navigating 2018 webpage.

Kathryn Tazic

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Kathryn Tazic

Kathryn Tazic is a managing director of client services for Sedgwick. In her current role, Tazic is resonsible for program results and service execution across the customer base. This includes both technical execution as well as ensuring that results are always improving.

Improving chances of overcoming startup hurdles

sixthings

The bankruptcy filing of an insurtech startup has drawn some recent attention, so here is our two cents:

In the world of startups, the fact that Human Condition Safety filed for bankruptcy in March 2017 would generate a headline something like: "Venture-backed startup filed the first bankruptcy of the day," or perhaps "the first bankruptcy of the week." Ho hum. 

In an era of accelerated development times, rapid testing and iteration of products, thousands of very smart people launch with solid practices, just as Human Condition Safety did in 2014, when its founders thought they could use artificial intelligence and wearables to simulate work environments and help employees learn to be safer. These startups often find a name client, as the company did with Bechtel, and attract real money, as Human Condition Safety did when it raised $18 million at a valuation as high as $90 million. Then the founders discover that reality is much different from theory. 

This isn't a negative. All sorts of studies have found that more than 90% of startups fail. The failures are a feature, not a bug, for the innovation ecosystem. The failures don't show that the founders are stupid, bad people, etc. They just show that people are being appropriately ambitious about important problems with potentially huge payoffs.

The failure rate for startups does raise a question that is worth some attention: What do best practices tell us about picking viable early-stage companies? In other words, can we do better than the standard failure rate?

Stats and research completed through our Innovator’s Edge platform strongly suggest the answer is yes.

Innovator's Edge is populated by more than 40,000 early-stage firms in 175 countries, with 7% of the firms qualifying as insurtech. (The remaining 93% are entrepreneurs with the potential to redefine risks we take as a given today.) Among all startups in the platform, 2017 funding transactions totaled nearly $345 billion. Research on the platform shows that insurers don’t limit involvement to investing. Participation includes mentoring, adopting, promoting and buying, as has happened with WeGoLook, Snapsheet, AppBus, Pypestream, RiskBlock, RiskGenius, Jamii, etc. Any additional involvement by insurers improves success rates.

The platform also shows that insurance-based venture investors appear to place more faith in the founding teams longer, and therefore tend to avoid replacing founders. Nor are they investing in teams that are looking for a quick exit. Changing out founding teams with executives selected by investors is a tactic of last resort, which fits with research we’ve done that found that 70% to 90% of a decision to support an early-stage company should be based on the team. Early-stage firms tend to lack experience at scale, but that’s what insurance companies do well–allowing for the sort of partnership that can produce great success. 

Let this story of a bankruptcy that took place nearly a year ago serve as a reminder on the risk/reward equation at work with insurtechs. The risks are high, so firms will fail. Get comfortable with that reality. However, when a startup with a solid team and a decent idea finds a good fit with an insurance investor that has clarity about the job to be done, the rewards are spectacular. 

Have a great week.

Paul Carroll
Editor-in-Chief


Paul Carroll

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Paul Carroll

Paul Carroll is the editor-in-chief of Insurance Thought Leadership.

He is also co-author of A Brief History of a Perfect Future: Inventing the Future We Can Proudly Leave Our Kids by 2050 and Billion Dollar Lessons: What You Can Learn From the Most Inexcusable Business Failures of the Last 25 Years and the author of a best-seller on IBM, published in 1993.

Carroll spent 17 years at the Wall Street Journal as an editor and reporter; he was nominated twice for the Pulitzer Prize. He later was a finalist for a National Magazine Award.

How Amazon Could Disrupt Care (Part 1)

Although Berkshire and JPMorgan also bring lots of employees to the alliance, Amazon is key to thinking big, starting small and learning fast.

“The ballooning cost of healthcare acts as a hungry tapeworm on the American economy.” That’s how Warren Buffett framed the context as he, Jeff Bezos and Jamie Dimon announced the alliance of their firms, Berkshire Hathaway, Amazon and JPMorgan Chase, to address healthcare.

The problem is serious. Healthcare costs in the U.S. have been growing faster than inflation for more than three decades. There is little relief in sight. A Willis Towers Watson study found that U.S. employers expect their healthcare costs to increase by 5.5% in 2018, up from a 4.6% increase in 2017. The study projects an average national cost per employee of $12,850.

The three companies have a combined workforce of 1.2 million. Based on the Willis Towers Watson estimate, they could spend more than $15 billion on employee healthcare this year. But, what can the alliance do about it?

On that, Buffett was less clear: “Our group does not come to this problem with answers. But, we also do not accept it is inevitable."

The challenge is formidable. As the New York Times noted, employers have banded together before to address healthcare costs and failed to make much of a dent in spending. How will this effort be different?

See also: 10 Mistakes Amazon Must Avoid in Health  

If this alliance as simply another employer purchasing cooperative, it will probably have little effect. Neither 1.2 million employees nor $15 billion in spending is all that significant in a 300 million-person, $3.2 trillion U.S. healthcare market. The alliance might nudge the healthcare industry toward incrementally faster, better and cheaper innovations—but not much more.

If, however, the alliance thinks big and structures itself as a test bed for potentially transformative ideas, innovations and businesses, it could have a disruptive effect.

Amazon is the critical ingredient in this latter approach. Although all three companies bring employees and resources (both critical), only Amazon brings particularly relevant technological prowess and disruptive innovation experience. Amazon could think big by simply applying the standard operating principles and capabilities that it has perfected for retail—comprehensive data, personalization, price and quality transparency, operational excellence, consumer focus and high satisfaction—to healthcare.

It also has differentiated technologies like Alexa, mobile devices, cloud (AWS) and AI expertise. It could leverage its recent years of healthcare-specific exploration, such as those in cardiovascular healthdiabetes managementpharmaciespharmacy benefit managementdigital health and other healthcare research. It could use Whole Foods as a physical point of presence.

Amazon could then start small and learn fast. It could crunch the numbers and come up with large enough interesting employee segments for experimentation. For example, it might focus on improving quality and satisfaction for the sickest 1% to 2% of employees. It might focus on those with hypertension or diabetes. It might focus on helping those undergoing specific treatments, such as orthopedics or cancer. It might focus on preventing the rise of chronic diseases in those at most risk, such as those with prediabetes or uncontrolled hypertension. It might focus on narrow but high-impact issues, like price transparency or prescription adherence. Issues in privacy would have be addressed, but there are many opportunities to address well-known but as-yet-unsolved problems in healthcare.

By first focusing on the quality, satisfaction and cost for the alliance’s employees, Amazon could justify its efforts through increased employee productivity and satisfaction and reduced cost. Indeed, the alliance emphasized that it its effort was “free from profit-making incentives and constraints.”

See also: Whiff of Market-Based Healthcare Change? 

That doesn’t mean, however, that profits are not possible in the future. Amazon built its AWS cloud computing business by first solving an internal problem in a plug-compatible, low-cost and scalable manner, and then bringing it to the market.

That business-building approach would provide an additional incentive that goes beyond cost-cutting: a new business platform for Amazon, an enormous investment opportunity for Berkshire and (despite short-term consternation to existing clients) investment banking opportunities for JPMorgan.

In Parts 2 and 3 of this series, I will explore what an Amazon inspired transformation in health care might look like and how Amazon is well-positioned to make it happen.

Is Big Data a Sort of Voodoo Economics?

Some predictive models are “Rube Goldberg” constructs; the worst resemble “a bunch of monkeys heading up the Manhattan Project.”

Is charging consumers more for their insurance because they use a Hotmail email account or have a "non-English-sounding" name a valid application of predictive modeling, or does it constitute presumptive modeling and unfair discrimination? Does it matter if "big data" is riddled with bad data and bogus information as long as it improves insurer expense ratios? Is this the insurance industry's version of voodoo economics? It’s no secret that I’ve written things about the Holy Crusade known as insurtech that are critical or at least suggest caution in climbing aboard the hype and hyperbole bandwagon. Insurtech has been touted as the philosopher's stone with its ability to turn "lead" data into golden predictions. One component of this “movement” is big data, the miracle cure for perceived stagnant industry profits known as data analytics and predictive modeling. There is nothing new about the importance and value of data and its wiser big brother, information. Predictability, in the aggregate, is the cornerstone of industry stability and profitability. It’s the foundation of actuarial science. But, to be of value, the data must be credible, and the models that use it must be predictive by more than mere correlation. And, to be usable, the data and models must meet legal requirements by being risk-based and nondiscriminatory. That’s where one of my concerns lies. Just how valid and relevant is the data, and how is it being used? What prompted this article was a blurb in Shefi Ben-Hutta’s Coverager newsletter [emphasis added]: “Certain domain names are associated with more accidents than others. We use a variety of pieces of information to accurately produce a competitive price for our customers.” – Admiral Group in response to research by The Sun that found the insurer could charge users…extra on their car insurance, simply for using a Hotmail email account instead of a Gmail one.” This revelation came just days after The Sun ran an article accusing the U.K. insurer of charging drivers with non-English-sounding names as much as £900 extra for their insurance. I don’t know enough about insurance in the U.K. to opine about the potential discriminatory nature of jacking premiums on people whose names don’t sound “English,” but my guess is that U.S. state insurance departments likely would not look favorably on this as a rating factor. See also: Strategies to Master Massively Big Data   Historically in the U.S., P&C insurance rates have been largely based on factors that are easily ascertained and confirmed. For example, the “COPE” acronym (construction, occupancy, protection and exposure) incorporates most of the factors used in determining a property insurance rate. From the standpoint of the fire peril, frame construction is riskier than fire-resistive construction. A woodworker is riskier than an office. Having a fire hydrant 2,000 feet away from a building is riskier than one 200 feet away. It makes sense. It’s understandable. It’s provable. The risk inherent in these factors is demonstrable. The factors are understandable by consumers and business owners. It’s easy to identify what insureds can do to improve their risk profile and reduce their premiums. Advice can be given on how to construct a building, install protective systems, etc. to reduce risk and insurance costs. Traditional actuarial models are proven commodities, and state insurance regulators have the expertise and ability to evaluate the efficacy of rate changes. What these factors are not, in many cases, is inexpensive. Confirming this information may require a physical inspection. Some state laws require or compel such inspections. In my state, our valued policy law says that buildings must be inspected within 60 days of policy inception or the law is triggered and a carrier may have to pay policy face value for a total fire loss. Are the insurtech startups selling homeowners insurance even aware of this? It is understandable that insurers want to reduce any unnecessary underwriting expenses if there are acceptable alternatives. Doing so may improve profitability or make them more competitive by enabling premium reductions. This is where insurtech and technology in general can play a valuable role. Using reliable data on construction and size of buildings, building code inspection reports, satellite mapping for hydrant location and so forth can have an almost immediate impact on the carrier expense side and potentially the loss component. To a large extent, this is actually being done, but the search for something more (or less, if we’re talking about expenses) continues. Enter “big data” and predictive modeling, along with a horde of people who know absolutely nothing about the insurance industry but a lot about deluding gullible people with hip press releases. They tout the salvation of phone apps, AI bots and “black box” rating algorithms with 600 variables and factors. Factors such as whether someone, according to their Facebook page or other online source, bowls in a Wednesday night mixed league where (speaking from personal experience) the focus is more on beer consumption than bowling and how that might affect the risk of an auto accident. The $64,000 question is how reliable are these predictive model algorithms and how credible is the data they use? The author of an article titled “How Trustworthy Is Big Data?” claims that there is typically a lot less control and governance built into big data systems compared with traditional architectures: “Most organizations base their business decision-making on some form of data warehouse that contains carefully curated data. But big data systems typically involve raw, unprocessed data in some form of a data lake, where different data reduction, scrubbing and processing techniques are then applied as needed.” In other words, there may be little up-front vetting of the information because that takes time and costs money and, when acquired, there is no certainty that the data will ever be used. So, the approach may be to vet the data only when used, and, as the article suggests, that can be problematic. The article also addresses the ethics of acquiring information on individuals for what may be perceived as nefarious reasons (e.g., price optimization): “Just because something is now feasible doesn’t mean that it’s a good idea. If your customers would find it creepy to discover just how much you know about their activities, it’s probably a good indication that you shouldn’t be doing it.” Going back to The Sun’s Admiral reports, what impression would it make on Admiral’s customers if the insurer advertised, “Pay less if you have an English-sounding name!” Would any insurer advertise something they’re allegedly doing behind closed doors? It’s like the ethical decision criteria of, what would your mother think if she knew what you were about to do? The right to do something doesn’t mean that doing it is right. Does black-box algorithmic rating enable and potentially protect this practice? I mentioned at the outset of this article that the Admiral report prompted the article. What compelled the article was a recent personal experience when I received a $592 auto insurance invoice a little more than two months into my policy. The invoice attachments never really said why the carrier wanted additional premium, but a quick review indicated the reason. Our son moved out of the house three years ago, and we removed him from our insurance program, including his vehicle. He still uses the same agency (different insurer) that I’ve used since 1973 to insure his auto, condo and personal umbrella. Our insurer learned that his vehicle registration notice is still mailed to our address. With that information, they (i.e., their underwriting model) unilaterally concluded that he still must live here, so they added him back to our insurance program and made him the primary driver of one of our three autos (the most expensive one, of course). I’m not sure what they thought happened to his vehicle. But, of course, no one “thought” about anything. An algorithmic decision tree spit out a boiler-plated invoice. I’ve been with this carrier now for four years, loss-free, and paid them somewhere in the neighborhood of $20,000 in premiums, yet they could not invest 10 minutes of a clerical person’s time to make a phone call and confirm my son’s residency. Neither we nor our agent received any notice or inquiry prior to the invoice, but my agency CSR (who, I'm happy to report, is still an empathetic human) was able to quickly fix the problem. I have written about my personal experiences with a prior insurer involving credit scores. My homeowners premium was increased by $1,000 and, by law, I was advised that it was due to credit scoring. As it turned out, the credit reports of a Wilson couple in Colorado were used. Two years later, my homeowners premium was bumped $700 based on three “reason codes,” which I was able to prove were bogus, and the carrier rescinded the invoice. Now I’m being told that my current insurer’s information source tells them that my son has moved back home. I realize that these tales are anecdotal, but three instances in five years? How pervasive is this misinformation? Is this what “big data” brings to the table? Big, BAD data and voodoo presumptive (not predictive) modeling? Who really benefits from this? Anyone? One of the insurtech buzz words going around is “transparency.” What’s transparent about “black box” underwriting and rating? At a convention last year, I spoke at length to a data scientist who was formerly with IBM and is now an insurance industry consultant. Without naming names, he characterized some of the predictive models he has examined as “Rube Goldberg” constructs, with the worst ones resembling “a bunch of monkeys heading up the Manhattan Project.” See also: Big Data? How About Quality Data?   Another consultant expressed his concern about some data companies. An NAIC presentation he attended listed some parameters relative to data points being used by carriers. The presenter expressed confidence that carriers were disclosing all of their data points. He is convinced, however, that carriers are using 25% to 50% more data points than the NAIC seems to be aware of. He has written about the abuse of data that lacks an actuarial grounding in risk assessment, again, a requirement of some state laws. Among the many problems with “black box” rating is the fact that no one may be able to explain how a particular premium was derived. No one may be able to tell someone how to reduce their premium. Perhaps most important, regulators may be unable to determine if the methodology results in rates that are unfairly discriminatory or otherwise violate state laws that require that rates be risk-based. Presumably, future rate filings will simply be a giant electronic file stamped “Trust Me.” "Big data" might be beneficial to insurers from a cost, profitability and competitive standpoint, but it's not clear how or even if it will affect consumers in a positive way. All the benefits being touted by the data vendors and consultants accrue to insurers, not their customers. In at least one case, if you have a “non-English-sounding” name, the impact is adverse. The counter argument from the apostles of big data is that the majority of people will benefit. Of course, that was arguably the logic used when schools were segregated, but that doesn’t justify the practice. In the book “Technically Wrong: Sexist Apps, Biased Algorithms, and Other Threats of Toxic Tech,” the author points to an investigation of a correctional facility system that used proprietary algorithms to help decide bail terms, prison sentences and parole eligibility using various factors, some alleged to be discriminatory (e.g., arrest records of neighbors where the person lived). A Wall Street Journal article, “Google Has Chosen an Answer For You – It’s Often Wrong,” demonstrated how searches often indicated a bias or manipulation by whomever constructed the algorithms being used or by how the search parameters were entered by users. Errors in building replacement cost valuations are often blamed on incompetent or untrained data harvesters and users….Even when the data is presumed to be accurate, it can be used incorrectly. In 2016, I wrote an article for Independent Agent magazine titled, “The Six Worst Things to Happen to Insurance in the Past 50 Years.” No. 3 on my list was the growing obsession with data vs. people. When I write about these things, I know I run the risk of being characterized as the old man on his front porch yelling at the “disrupter” kids to get out of his yard, but I don’t think I’m a Luddite. I love and embrace technology. I had a PC before IBM did. I still have the first iPod model. My phone is full of nifty apps. My son is a data scientist in the healthcare industry. I get it. But technology is a tool, not a religion. Far too many people treat technological innovation as sacrosanct and infallible, and anyone who questions or challenges its legitimacy and righteousness is committing heresy. What’s next, a SnapChat invitation from an AI bot that says, “Welcome to the Insurance Matrix, Mr. Anderson”? Not yet, I hope.

Bill Wilson

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Bill Wilson

William C. Wilson, Jr., CPCU, ARM, AIM, AAM is the founder of Insurance Commentary.com. He retired in December 2016 from the Independent Insurance Agents & Brokers of America, where he served as associate vice president of education and research.

Top 10 Claims Trends That Will Affect 2018

Here are the top 10 reasons why 2017 should be considered the kickoff year for digital transformation in insurance claims.

2017 will be remembered as the landmark year for digital transformation of claims processing within the property/casualty insurance industry. After all, it was the year we saw the use of drones for home roof inspections, auto appraisals via photos, customer video chat and bots used in claims processing. While many of these solutions have been topics of discussion in the industry for quite some time, insurers began to implement them in earnest through new technology during 2017. Here’s a deeper look at what we think are the top 10 reasons why 2017 should be considered the kickoff year for digital transformation in insurance claims. Big data made a big splash While big data has been widely used within insurance underwriting for several years, in 2017 we saw multiple and varied big data claims applications emerge. For example, LexisNexis Risk Solutions rolled out Claims DataFill to a number of insurers that were seeking actionable data at first notice of loss (FNOL) to expedite the first report and collect critical data needed for claims adjudication. This solution accelerates the claims handling process. You can find many other examples of innovative big data applications within the insurance sector in this 2017 recap blog post, written by LexisNexis Risk Solutions CEO Bill Madison. The “touchless claims” vision became real As digital capabilities become more robust and customers increasingly demand digital in every aspect of their lives, fully automated claims processing is evolving into a strategic imperative. In a recap of our Future of Claims Study, you’ll see that the compelling vision of the “touchless” claim is turning into a reality. Insurers are accelerating their movement along the automated claims processing continuum to drive greater efficiency, increase profitability and, most importantly, deliver a better customer experience. Photo-based appraisal displaced in-person auto appraising Speaking of touchless claims, insurer Allstate demonstrated its commitment to a more virtual claims handling approach through the closure of its drive-in appraisal centers in favor of photo-based appraising, made possible through its QuickFoto mobile app claims option. The company also made additional investments in other digital technologies that support photo-based appraising, including their Virtual Assist solution for auto body shops. These investments are already reaping benefits for Allstate in terms of faster customer service and greater process efficiencies. See also: Disruptive Trends in Claims Cycle (Part 1) Drones became the new “insurance inspector” With four hurricanes striking the U.S. in 2017, drones were quickly put to work to allow insurers to accelerate roof and exterior inspections. A drone could also travel into flooded areas to give adjusters access even before the waters subsided. There were several media spots highlighting the use of drones in claims, including NBC’s Today show, where executives Glenn Shapiro of Allstate and Patrick Gee of Travelers were interviewed about the benefits of drones for expediting home claims. In 2017, we learned that using drones can shave several days off claims processing time, free human resources for more valuable and strategic tasks and save insurers money. Interactive features strengthened relationships with customers The digital world offers a plethora of tools that can help insurers improve every aspect of the claims process, from FNOL through closure. A very important element in the entire process is the customer experience. Features such as video chatbots that can interact with customers on simple processes, voice analytics that sense customer mood and behavioral analytics that predict customer needs not only increase efficiency but also create a stronger connection between insurers and their customers. Chatbots became sociable Consumers spend a lot of time on social media, so Progressive Insurance is meeting up with them online. In October 2017, the company announced the launch of its artificial intelligence chatbot on Facebook Messenger. Prospective and current customers can access the chatbot through the company’s Flo’s Facebook fan page, thereby extending Progressive’s reach to upward of 1.4 billion active Messenger users. Including these types of AI features in customer outreach capabilities is likely to become standard practice, as insurers continue to digitally transform their businesses to remain competitive and better serve their customers. Claims apps became integral to the claims processing digital transformation While undergoing a digital transformation is, in some aspects, unique to each insurer, a simple three-step strategy serves as a useful common template. Step three in this strategy is embracing the right tools to meet business needs. Insurers now have a broad suite of options and applications available to help them digitally transform their organizations for the best outcomes. Options include mobile capture, process intelligence, customer communications management, robotic process automation and case management. Telematics entered its next phase Telematics has proven itself as a foundation for usage-based insurance, providing valuable information to the insurer while helping customers become safer drivers and reduce their premiums. But the technology is far short of maturity in terms of the broader value it can offer both customers and insurers. This forward-thinking LexisNexis Insurance Insights blog post explains the telematics opportunities that lie ahead in the areas of customer care, process improvements and better data to drive stronger decision making. For example, telematics shows great promise for driving more efficient claims management as well as helping to prevent fraud through real-time alerts and an expedited claims cycle. See also: Global Trend Map No. 6: Digital Innovation   Accessing police records became easier and more accurate than ever Police reports have long been an integral part of claims processing. However, accessing the reports and rekeying important information from them is time-consuming, can result in inaccuracies and doesn’t take into account the future value of the data. Automated police record retrieval has changed all that. Claims adjusters can now instantly order and retrieve police report data in real time, then automatically integrate that data and its data elements not only into an existing claim but also into the claims system for future retrieval. These capabilities create greater efficiencies and also enable insights that can drive future decision making. Automated police record retrieval promises to be a game-changer for the industry. AI transformed the customer experience Often associated with a negative event (like an auto accident or a personal property loss), contacting an insurance agent is typically not top on the list of things customers want to do. AI is changing all that. 2017 marked the year that AI came into its own within the insurance industry in a number of ways, including providing a much more compelling and satisfying customer experience. For example, the insurance industry is exploring multiple ways to leverage AI in claims to enhance the customer experience and shave days off claims processing time. Additionally, AI enables personalization that enhances the customer relationship without any human interaction required. Clearly, 2017 was the year of innovation implementation for claims. With so many promising new technologies and capabilities gaining traction and establishing a solid foothold within the industry, the future looks very bright. We expect to see acceleration in claims automation during 2018 as companies build on the technology advances of the 2017.