An Open Letter to the Trump Administration
It is my strong belief that any successful remake of healthcare will need to build from the success of President Obama’s signature legislation.
It is my strong belief that any successful remake of healthcare will need to build from the success of President Obama’s signature legislation.
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Craig Hasday is President of <a href="http://frenkelbenefits.com/">Frenkel Benefits</a> and Senior Executive Vice President of Frenkel and Company. Frenkel Benefits is one of the largest privately held independent employee benefits brokers in the United States. He is a nationally recognized healthcare leader, who has sat on the national advisory boards of Aetna, UnitedHealthcare and WellPoint, as well as the regional advisory boards of most major carriers.
Denial of service attack showed there are new forms of systemic risks that could threaten the solvency of major insurers.
We are entering a new era for global insurers, one where business interruption claims are no longer confined to a limited geography but can simultaneously have an impact on seemingly disconnected insureds globally. This creates new forms of systemic risks that could threaten the solvency of major insurers if they do not understand the silent and affirmative cyber risks inherent in their portfolios.
On Friday, Oct. 21, a distributed denial of service attack (DDoS) rendered a large number of the world’s most popular websites — including Twitter, Amazon, Netflix and GitHub — inaccessible to many users. The internet outage conscripted vulnerable Internet of Things (IoT) devices such as routers, DVRs and CCTV cameras to overwhelm DNS provider Dyn, effectively hampering internet users' ability to access websites across Europe and North America. The attack was carried out using an IoT botnet called Mirai, which works by continuously scanning for IoT devices with factory default user names and passwords.
The Dyn attack highlights three fundamental developments that have changed the nature of aggregated business interruption for the commercial insurance industry:
1. The proliferation of systemically important vendors
The emergence of systemically important vendors can cause simultaneous business interruption to large portions of the global economy.
The insurance industry is aware about the potential aggregation risk in cloud computing services, such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure. Cloud computing providers create potential for aggregation risk; however, given the layers of security, redundancy and the 38 global availability zones built into AWS, it is not necessarily the easiest target for adversaries to cause a catastrophic event for insurers.
See also: Who Will Make the IoT Safe?
There are potentially several hundred systemically important vendors that could be susceptible to concurrent and substantial business interruption. This includes at least eight DNS providers that service over 50,000 websites — and some of these vendors may not have the kind of security that exists within providers like AWS.
2. Insecurity in the Internet of Things (IoT) built into all aspects of the global economy
The emergence of IoT with applications as diverse as consumer devices, manufacturing sensors, health monitoring and connected vehicles is another key development. Estimates state that anywhere from 20 to 200 billion everyday objects will be connected to the internet by 2020. Security is often not being built into the design of these products with the rush to get them to market.
Symantec’s research on IoT security has shown the state of IoT security is poor:
The Dyn attack compromised less than 1% of IoT devices. By some accounts, millions of vulnerable IoT devices were used in a market with approximately 10 billion devices. XiongMai Technologies, the Chinese electronics firm behind many of the webcams compromised in the attack, has issued a recall for many of its devices.
Outages like these are just the beginning.
Shankar Somasundaram, senior director, Internet of Things at Symantec, expects more of these attacks in the near future.
3. Catastrophic losses because of cyber risks are not independent, unlike natural catastrophes
A core tenant of natural catastrophe modeling is that the aggregation events are largely independent. An earthquake in Japan does not increase the likelihood of an earthquake in California.
In the cyber world consisting of active adversaries, this does not hold true for two reasons (which require an understanding of threat actors).
First, an attack on an organization like Dyn will often lead to copycat attacks from disparate non-state groups. Symantec maintains a network of honeypots, which collects IoT malware samples. A distribution of attacks is below:
Groups such as New World Hacking often replicate attacks. Understanding where they are targeting their time and attention and whether there are attempts to replicate attacks is important for an insurer to respond to a one-off event.
See also: Why More Attacks Via IoT Are Inevitable
A key aspect to consider in cyber modeling is intelligence about state-based threat actors. It is important to understand both the capabilities and the motivations of threat actors when assessing the frequency of catastrophic scenarios. Scenarios where we see a greater propensity for catastrophic cyber attacks are also scenarios where those state actors are likely attempting multiple attacks. Although insurers may wish to seek refuge in the act of war definitions that exist in other insurance lines, cyber attack attribution to state-based actors is difficult — and, in some cases, not possible.
What does this mean for global insurers?
The Dyn attack illustrates that insurers need to pursue new approaches to understanding and modeling cyber risk. Recommendations for insurers are below:
Symantec is partnering globally with leading insurers to develop probabilistic, scenario-based modeling to help understand cyber risks inherent in standalone cyber policies, as well as cyber as a peril across all lines of insurance. The Internet of Things opens up tremendous new opportunities for consumers and businesses, but understanding the financial risks inherent in this development will require deep collaboration between the cyber security and cyber insurance industries.
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Pascal Millaire is the CEO of CyberCube, a Symantec Ventures company dedicated to providing data-driven cyber underwriting and aggregation management analytics to the global insurance industry.
One misconception among buyers is exposure. For example, who bears the liability if a third party, such as a payroll service, causes the breach?
“Companies should know first where their data is residing, what type of data they are holding, and the security around their network and their employees,” Marciano says.
Some of the main categories of cyber insurance coverage are:
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Byron Acohido is a business journalist who has been writing about cybersecurity and privacy since 2004, and currently blogs at LastWatchdog.com.
We service professionals all too often tend to define our business model in terms of products and services offered rather than clients served.
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Mike Manes was branded by Jack Burke as a “Cajun Philosopher.” He self-defines as a storyteller – “a guy with some brain tissue and much more scar tissue.” His organizational and life mantra is Carpe Mañana.
No matter how we motivate people, and no matter how organized we are, our change efforts will suffer if we don’t accept human emotion.
Understanding these concepts will allow leaders to operate and speak from a position of knowledge when they frame examples of the driving forces of change within the organization.
Leadership should lead the change.
“Change starts at the top,” is a phrase so common that it is cliché.
But what does that really mean? Does it mean that the leadership accepts that change needs to happen and then delegates the work of change out to the various stakeholders? Certainly some delegation will occur, but, in our experience, the best change happens through the well-articulated, well-planned hard work of the leadership. Instead of “Change starts at the top,” perhaps we should say, “The work of change begins at the top. The oversight of change stays at the top,” and, “Leaders should be just as engaged on Day 51 and Day 201 as they were on Day 1.” In fact, it isn’t leadership if leaders aren’t engaged.
Leaders must establish the driving force for change. The foundation you are building is important enough to clearly provide explanation around why the organization is going through transformation. When asked “Why are we changing?”, it is important and easy to be clear in this regard. Possible responses include:
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William Freitag is executive vice president and leads the consulting business at Majesco. Prior to joining Majesco, Freitag was chief executive officer and managing partner of Agile Technologies (acquired by Majesco in 2015). He founded the company in 1997.
Over and over again, we’ve seen companies focus on the optics of innovation, not the hard work that achieves real innovation.
Design strategy is the skill set of how to put your challenge into the right frame and describe it in a new context. This capability is different from business strategy. (Photo: Thinkstock)
See also: The Questions That Aren’t Being Asked
Five Competencies You Need
I must confess that when our firm went back across all the lessons learned over the last several years and connected the dots, it was like a Eureka moment for me. So what are those competencies?
If you ask 10 people in the organization where your innovation opportunity space is, would they all give you the same answer? (Photo: Thinkstock)
Five Questions To Ask Yourself
If you are not sure how your organization stacks up against these five capabilities, ask yourself these questions:
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Maria Ferrante-Schepis is the managing principal of insurance and financial services innovation at Maddock Douglas.
"I’m sure my Amazon and Netflix recommendations are very different from yours. Yet, we treat insurance customers as nearly identical."
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Shwetank Verma is the co-founder of Leo Capital, an early stage fund and an open innovation consultant. Previously, he led open innovation at MetLife Asia.
The C-suite believes in the need for data analytics but will not invest in initiatives they cannot measure, manage and understand.
While most carriers collectively understand that predictive analytics is necessary to remain competitive with other data-driven and VC-backed companies, progress isn’t as fast as it should be. Some are still not using analytics at all despite knowing its importance, while many others limit use to one area of the business. One main obstacle is a disconnect between the C-suite and analytics staff.
The C-suite will not invest in initiatives they cannot measure, manage and understand. Therefore, how a business handles the implementation of analytics is just as important as the predictive models themselves. This is why applied analytics programs are needed to push the insurance industry into the future.
Applied analytics recognizes the value of data in specific business processes and basing key decisions off the insights. Carriers must define their strategy and goals around the initiative, decide on an implementation approach and convey it successfully to the rest of the organization to ensure buy-in and adoption. Executing this can be difficult, often a result of balancing sound technical decisions against each individual organization's company culture.
Strategy and Goals
The first step a carrier should take when applying predictive analytics is building the strategy and selecting the goals. Beginning with smaller projects is often an excellent way to build confidence for future implementations across different areas of the business. In this phase, carriers decide which specific challenges they hope to tackle using predictive analytics. For example, a carrier’s main goal may be to improve risk selection and pricing, and a secondary goal would be to achieve underwriting consistency as the carrier grows its existing business in new states. By defining what the organization hopes to gain from a particular initiative, it avoids misunderstanding and confusion during the implementation and duration of the project.
See also: 3 Key Steps for Predictive Analytics
Next, the carrier must choose their success metrics. Using the same example, if the target for a predictive analytics initiative is improving risk selection and pricing, loss ratio improvement is often the best measurement. If business growth is the primary concern, profitability and aligning price-to-risk is an important metric to use. The C-suite is results oriented and this step sets the foundation for the implementation that follows.
Implementation Plan
Once a project has been selected, its goals determined and success metrics defined, an implementation plan should be created to strategize the role governance will play within the corporate culture. The way a carrier must address this step largely depends on the type of predictive analytics initiative in place. If a commercial auto carrier uses analytics to improve pricing with its long-haul trucking business, it’s key to find the balance between the model score and your underwriters’ expertise. Don’t leave it to chance, carriers should develop clear rules for how to use the predictive model that matches each company’s weaknesses and strengths.
By using the predictive model, policies are scored individually and assigned to a specific risk “bin”.
As one example, a carrier may decide that the best performing risks for smaller policies (bins 1-3) are approved for straight through processing, the average risks (bins 4-7) must always be reviewed by underwriters, and the poorer performing segments (bins 8-10) should be avoided altogether. A common and more granular form of implementation is determining how much credit or debit can be added to each policy depending on the model score, before needing management approval. By implementing rules of engagement that correctly fit a specific organization, it will not only boost the effect of the predictive analytics project but make it easier to manage and make necessary adjustments long-term.
Organization Adoption
Even if a carrier has an excellent strategy and model, it means nothing if those who will be using it on a daily basis fail to do so correctly. During the implementation process, all members of the organization must be aligned with project goals and comprehend its importance for the company. This means undergoing training and support by those involved closely with the initiative -- whether the model is being built in-house, through a third party vendor or a consultant. There should be complete transparency throughout the process, and room for adjustment based on feedback from the staff. Predictive analytics is an imperative tool in its own right, but just like any tool, it requires a skilled individual to obtain the best results. In fact, Valen research shows the best results are found when combining human judgement and predictive analytics.
The graph shows the lift of a predictive model. The greater the lift, the more effective the model is for the carrier. The blue line represents the loss ratio improvement based on a combination of the underwriter and the model when making decisions on pricing policies. There is clearly a more significant lift here when compared to both the underwriter (green) and predictive model alone (red).
See also: An Opportunity in Resilience Analytics?
In order to sustain long-term plans and goals, the predictive analytics strategy must converge with the overall corporate strategy. That can’t happen for any real length of time without executives confidently making important decisions using the insights that come from predictive modeling. Only when a carrier and all of its members fully understand those insights and trust in data are they able to become a data-driven organization.
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Dax Craig is the co-founder, president and CEO of Valen Analytics. Based in Denver, Valen is a provider of proprietary data, analytics and predictive modeling to help all insurance carriers manage and drive underwriting profitability.
Insurers will need to truly understand what the customer wants or values -- but collecting that information is very hard.
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Donna Galer is a consultant, author and lecturer.
She has written three books on ERM: Enterprise Risk Management – Straight To The Point, Enterprise Risk Management – Straight To The Value and Enterprise Risk Management – Straight Talk For Nonprofits, with co-author Al Decker. She is an active contributor to the Insurance Thought Leadership website and other industry publications. In addition, she has given presentations at RIMS, CPCU, PCI (now APCIA) and university events.
Currently, she is an independent consultant on ERM, ESG and strategic planning. She was recently a senior adviser at Hanover Stone Solutions. She served as the chairwoman of the Spencer Educational Foundation from 2006-2010. From 1989 to 2006, she was with Zurich Insurance Group, where she held many positions both in the U.S. and in Switzerland, including: EVP corporate development, global head of investor relations, EVP compliance and governance and regional manager for North America. Her last position at Zurich was executive vice president and chief administrative officer for Zurich’s world-wide general insurance business ($36 Billion GWP), with responsibility for strategic planning and other areas. She began her insurance career at Crum & Forster Insurance.
She has served on numerous industry and academic boards. Among these are: NC State’s Poole School of Business’ Enterprise Risk Management’s Advisory Board, Illinois State University’s Katie School of Insurance, Spencer Educational Foundation. She won “The Editor’s Choice Award” from the Society of Financial Examiners in 2017 for her co-written articles on KRIs/KPIs and related subjects. She was named among the “Top 100 Insurance Women” by Business Insurance in 2000.
Creating a team atmosphere can be very difficult with virtual staff, whether employees or contractors -- and 37% are now telecommuting.
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Mike de Waal is senior vice president of sales at Majesco.