Insurtech and the Law of Large Numbers
A NewCo is charging 80% less. If the technology is that great, everyone else should just pack up and quit now. But....
A NewCo is charging 80% less. If the technology is that great, everyone else should just pack up and quit now. But....
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Chris Burand is president and owner of Burand & Associates, a management consulting firm specializing in the property-casualty insurance industry.
Consumers still don't seem to understand how to manage healthcare and its costs -- but, increasingly, there's an app for that.
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Silicon Valley got a free pass on ethics when computers were for nerds and hobbyists. Now, technology is the underpinning of economic growth.
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Vivek Wadhwa is a fellow at Arthur and Toni Rembe Rock Center for Corporate Governance, Stanford University; director of research at the Center for Entrepreneurship and Research Commercialization at the Pratt School of Engineering, Duke University; and distinguished fellow at Singularity University.
Travel insurance and wedding insurance....something that revolutionary certainly deserves an $8 million infusion of cash.
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William C. Wilson, Jr., CPCU, ARM, AIM, AAM is the founder of Insurance Commentary.com. He retired in December 2016 from the Independent Insurance Agents & Brokers of America, where he served as associate vice president of education and research.
There are potentially significant benefits for consumers who allow access to data on their lifestyle, activity, medical history and genetic makeup.
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Ross Campbell is chief underwriter, research and development, based in Gen Re’s London office.
Often called out for being slow to change, the insurance industry is beginning to catch up quickly on cognitive technologies.
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Mike de Waal is senior vice president of sales at Majesco.
This month's list of 6 Innovators to Watch, for instance, is mostly full of data plays and focused on life and health, not P&C (with a decidely non-U.S. profile).
While much of the coverage of the insurtech world focuses on innovations in the distribution part of the process and in the P&C arena, the 1,400 insurtechs that we monitor as part of our Innovator's Edge service are showing plenty of sharp thinking in other areas, too. This month's list of 6 Innovators to Watch, for instance, is mostly full of data plays and focused on life and health, not P&C (with a decidely non-U.S. profile). There seems to be plenty of innovation to go around.
The June 6 Innovators to Watch honorees are:
Atidot aims to help life insurance companies make better decisions by unlocking the power of customer data in existing books of business. Based in Tel Aviv, Israel, the company combines life insurance expertise with data science, delivering greater efficiency and accuracy. Using machine learning, the company can structure data from a variety of sources in a client company and analyze it to find signals that it says leads to new customer insights, predictive models and faster go-to-market strategies for products. Atidot is currently serving a South African life insurer and has several pilots under way with other life insurers. To learn more about Atidot, click here.
GeneYouIn offers a product called Pillcheck designed to deliver personalized medicine by ensuring a better match between a person's prescription medicine and his or her genetic profile. The Toronto-based company uses a saliva sample to develop a full genetic profile of a person's suitability for more than 100 medications. Matching drugs to a person's DNA can avoid harmful side effects, improve the efficacy of treatment and avoid the standard trial-and-error process of finding the right medication and dosage. GeneYouIn, currently working with the Canadian military, also targets benefit management companies and disability management companies. To learn more about GeneYouIn, click here.
Jornaya provides insurance companies with an in-depth view of where a customer lead is along the consumer buying journey to more effectively convert leads to customers. Jornaya technology places code on more than 30,000 websites, such as insurance company web sites and quote comparison sites, letting it view consumer activity and score leads according to age, behavior and other metrics. The technology also spots fraud and provides users with records to ensure compliance with consumer protection laws. Insurance is one of Jornaya's fastest-growing verticals, and it currently is working with personal lines insurers in the property/casualty, life and health sectors. Learn more about Jornaya, click here.
Lapetus Solutions provides an innovative way for life insurers to quickly conduct a health risk assessment. Using a mobile device selfie and a brief questionnaire, Lapetus not only can estimate a person's longevity but also identify key health markers, such as age, smoking status and certain disease markers. The Lapetus solution aims to give life insurers access to information as reliable as blood chemistry but in a way that is less invasive, costs less and delivers results more quickly. Wilmington, N.C.-based Lapetus was created by a public health researcher with a focus on longevity and an academic specialist in facial analytics, and is working on several pilots with insurance and reinsurance companies. To learn more about Lapetus, click here.
Safe Beyond offers what it calls the first "emotional life insurance" platform, designed to let its customers deliver important information and personal messages to designated beneficiaries after death. Customers can store important information in a digital safe—such as documents, passwords and more—as well as record video messages to be delivered at designated times or upon the occurrence of certain events in the future after their death, such as the marriage of a child or graduation of a grandchild. The Tel Aviv-based company has identified life insurance and financial advisers as markets that would use the product as a new way to engage with their customers. To learn more about Safe Beyond, click here.
Vericred wants to be the utility company that powers your innovative health plan data and analytics products and services. The New York-based company currently focuses on three main data sets: health plan design and rate data; provider network data; and formulary data. The goal is to make it easier for small group health insurers and innovative tech companies to build tools for searching providers, selling benefit plans, quoting coverage and enrolling policyholders, among other things. Several innovators within Innovator's Edge are customers for Vericred's data as a service, the company says. To learn more about Vericred, click here.
The June honorees are drawn from among the nearly 1,400 insurtech companies that are featured in Innovator’s Edge, a technology platform created by ITL to drive strategic connections between insurance providers and insurtech innovators. From this pool, only those companies that have completed their Market Maturity Review—a series of modules designed to help insurers conduct baseline due diligence on the innovator and make a more informed connection—are eligible to be considered for Innovators to Watch.
For information on previous honorees, click here: May, April and March.
Cheers,
Paul Carroll,
Editor-in-Chief
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Paul Carroll is the editor-in-chief of Insurance Thought Leadership.
He is also co-author of A Brief History of a Perfect Future: Inventing the Future We Can Proudly Leave Our Kids by 2050 and Billion Dollar Lessons: What You Can Learn From the Most Inexcusable Business Failures of the Last 25 Years and the author of a best-seller on IBM, published in 1993.
Carroll spent 17 years at the Wall Street Journal as an editor and reporter; he was nominated twice for the Pulitzer Prize. He later was a finalist for a National Magazine Award.
Insurtech is like the Tour de France. What’s good enough for now will likely be the equivalent of a 40-pound bike in five years.
See also: 10 Trends at Heart of Insurtech Revolution
Right now, insurers are faced with an epic climb: insurtech. A new breed of insurance technology has changed the game and disrupted an industry that’s been largely status quo. A very large bump (actually, more like a mountain) has appeared in the road — making it more critical than ever to “see over the horizon,” according to Jon Bidwell, former Chubb chief innovation officer and now SVP and underwriting transformation leader at QBE North America. However, to see beyond the horizon, you first must climb to the top.
“When we look back at today, the winners and losers will be defined by those that did and did not embrace an insurtech digital implementation strategy.” —Insurance Thought Leadership, “Death of Core Systems.”
The only way to compete is with technology that evens the playing field.
Over the past 110-plus years, the Tour de France has gone from 40-pound, fixed-gear road bikes (and no helmets!), to sub-15-pound, carbon bikes and electronic drive trains. Innovation, technology and engineering have played a role in the evolution of the sport of cycling. Think about it: If the 22 teams that compete in the Tour didn’t progress with some equality in the equipment they employ, there would be a very large gap on the field. It would be abundantly clear who’s still pedaling 40-pound bikes up Alpe d’Huez.
Insurtech is a game changer. What worked in the past will not work in the future. Insurance technology and innovation is undoubtedly moving at race pace. And, what’s “good enough” for now will likely be a 40-pound bike in five years.
See also: Why AI Will Transform Insurance
From the Internet of Things (IOT) to vehicle telematics and, especially, advanced data and analytics — which is fast becoming a key competitive differentiator — insurtech presents the opportunity to evolve and compete.
But if we don’t get on the bike and climb, there’s no possibility of winning, no possibility of moving the industry forward. With the right partner, or, in true Tour de France fashion, “domestique,” insurers can create a slipstream that accelerates the insurtech climb.
It won’t be long before we start seeing players screaming down the backside — trying to catch the next horizon.
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Bret Stone is president at SpatialKey. He’s passionate about solving insurers' analytic challenges and driving innovation to market through well-designed analytics, workflow and expert content. Before joining SpatialKey in 2012, he held analytic and product management roles at RMS, Willis Re and Allstate.
In the current environment, the sales cycle for onboarding at an insurer averages 12 months. That is an awfully long time for a startup.
Those laws mean that change happens so fast that, if you miss the boat, there will be no way of catching up….
The cost of sitting on the sidelines and not embracing insurtech could mean the death of your business.
See also: 10 Reasons to Innovate — NOW!
We hope you enjoy these insights, and we look forward to collaborating with you as we create a new insurance future.
The next article in the series, “Trend #8: Simple 'Grow or Go,’” will showcase how decisions of the last decade will be sub-optimal as the dust settles in insurtech and how degrees of freedom will be the key.
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Sam Evans is founder and general partner of Eos Venture Partners. Evans founded Eos in 2016. Prior to that, he was head of KPMG’s Global Deal Advisory Business for Insurance. He has lived in Sydney, Hong Kong, Zurich and London, working with the world’s largest insurers and reinsurers.
A new reinsurance facility powered by transparent distributed ledger technology is diffusing the impact of adverse events.
To accommodate that efficient transfer of credit risks and the supporting cash flows among investors, Quantem will commoditize those risks/flows within a new form of digital default compensation receipt (DCR) securities that provide:
The risk-mitigating utility of Quantem results in DCR spreads well below the cost of comparable CDS protection and low purchase prices for CROs. The enduring benefit of that lower cost of purchase is economically evidenced in the considerable post-claim yields payable to CRO investors. For example, an assumed annual loss ratio of 4.0% (which is more than twice the aggregate mean default rate of all U.S. corporate bonds since 1981), would produce the following post-claim CRO yields:
Market-Based Underwriting
The fixed risk concentration of each new DCR added to the ledger is determined at origination by the clearing premium/spread resulting from the competitive interaction of participants in the transparent DelphX market. That risk-concentration thus reflects the market’s then-current equilibrium of supply and demand for protection relating to the risk of the subject CUSIP/ID.
That transparent interaction among symmetrically informed market participants facilitates the efficient market-based underwriting and selection of new risks - avoiding adverse selection and subjective/uninformed assessments of risk concentration. While the current DCR pricing for each referenced CUSIP/ID will increase and decrease on the DelphX market, the ledger’s design facilitates the aggregate behavior of pooled DCRs to gradually converge onto a normal (Gaussian) distribution.
As the market’s current risk assessment of each CUSIP/ID increases and decreases, the MTM collateral requirements of holders of the related DCRs will correspondingly increase and decrease in response to those changing market prices. Consistent with the law of large numbers, however, as risks of some DCRs are increasing others will be decreasing – resulting in an increasingly predictable mean exposure within the ledger.
As exhibited by the historical behavior of participants in the single-name CDS market, demand for DCR protection (and speculation) for a given CUSIP/ID is expected to increase in proportion to the collective assessment of participants of the likelihood of a loss involving that security. If the risk assessment increases, the pricing and volume of DCR purchases for the subject issue will correspondingly increase.
As those new, freshly priced DCRs are ceded, their higher price/risk concentration will cause the aggregate concentration of risk for the subject CUSIP/ID in the ledger to correspondingly increase. Thus the collateral sourced by those higher risks will proportionately increase the ledger’s aggregate collateral available for MTM adjustments and minimize the impact of a related loss on all other DCR risks.
See also: Transparent Reinsurance for Health
Market-Based Adjudication
Quantem will also employ its diffusion protocol to distribute the cost of claims among risk holders based on the net size and concentration of each holder’s ceded risk at the time of adjudication of each claim. That adjudication process is transparently accomplished through anonymous single-price auctions conducted within DelphX.
Upon the reporting of a credit event meeting the definition and conditions specified in the DCR documentation, a single-price auction is scheduled within DelphX to facilitate the sale of the collective offerings of the referenced CUSIP/ID by its holders. The clearing price of that auction is then subtracted from the par value of the referenced security, with the remainder determining the compensation payable to holders of DCR(s) referencing the sold issue.
Next Series Installment - Digital Risk Speculation
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Larry Fondren is a veteran of the insurance and securities industries, where he has worked to develop and promote fair and electronic markets. He has served in capacities ranging from agent to senior officer and shareholder of domestic and international insurance and reinsurance companies.