Which are the main factors driving the possibility that a company and its board of directors may be sued by investors or other stakeholder groups in 2023? A poor financial performance or even insolvency amid economic uncertainty and the prospect of a global recession, a lack of robust cyber security and governance processes or an inadequate or non-compliant response to environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues are among the key risk trends in the Directors and Officers (D&O) insurance space, according to Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS). Despite a downward trend in new filings, U.S. class action securities litigation remains a key concern, particularly around mergers, while cryptocurrency companies and exchanges are subject to increasing activity, the insurer’s annual D&O report also notes.
The recent decline in the number of filed securities and class actions in the U.S., coupled with an influx of new entrants, has created a more favorable market for corporate buyers of D&O insurance after double-digit percentage premium increases across key markets in 2021. However, there is still a lot of risk facing insurers as macroeconomic issues and a potential slowdown loom, conditions that typically lead to an uptick in D&O claims. Inflation is likely to influence future claims through larger settlements. Cyber risk remains at an elevated level and is now seen as a core duty of D&Os, with increasing scrutiny on how they respond. Meanwhile, ESG-related liabilities – whether it is inadequate action on climate change or diversity and inclusion issues – can potentially become significant exposures for D&O insurance, as well.
For many countries, the economic outlook for 2023 is doom-laden, with recession risk rising. Plunging growth rates, surging inflation, the energy crisis, continuing stock market volatility and continuing supply chain issues are monitored closely by D&O underwriters, as they could cause liquidity and profitability squeezes in many sectors and fuel rising insolvencies.
Half of the countries analyzed by Allianz Research recorded double-digit increases in business insolvencies during the first half of 2022, with the SME sectors in the U.K,. France, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium and Switzerland accounting for two-thirds of the rise. Overall, insolvencies are expected to increase 19% in 2023 globally, and an economic downturn typically brings a higher risk of D&O claims. A study by broker Marsh found that between 2005 and 2007 the firm received an average of 200 to 300 D&O claims in the U.K. With the onset of the financial crisis, claims notifications rose by 75% to around 500 in 2008, peaking at in excess of 1,600 in 2012. In the U.S., filings and enforcement actions – a proxy for claims frequency – doubled to over 2,000 at their 2011 peak, compared with around 1,000 in 2006, according to Advisen.
Cyber risk management as a board responsibility and ESG exposures
Issues such as data security and information protection are now core areas to watch for directors. Investors increasingly view cyber security risk management as a critical component of a company’s board risk oversight responsibilities. As fiduciaries, board members are expected to develop and maintain accountabilities for IT security before, during and after any cyber incident. Alleged failures can be seen as a breach of duty.
Regulatory action or litigation risks due to ESG-related issues are another major concern for boards, driven by increasing reporting and disclosure requirements, which could trigger claims in case of an inadequate response or non-compliance. In addition, companies and their boards also face the prospect of increasing litigation from environmental or climate groups, activist investors or even their own employees. Climate change litigation is increasing, with over 1,200 cases filed internationally in the last eight years, compared with just over 800 cases between 1986 and 2014. Most of these were filed in the U.S,. but there are increasing filings at international courts or tribunals: 2021 saw the highest annual number of recorded cases outside the US. Another risk is misrepresenting ESG credentials or achievements – so-called greenwashing – which can also lead to regulatory action, litigation and shareholder suits.
ESG-related information is increasingly becoming a key checkpoint for insurers when it comes to the risk assessment of a company. Those companies with strong ESG frameworks and governance will likely find insurers more willing to offer capacity.
See also: Adding ESG to Investment Practices
Litigation in the U.S.
Litigation exposures are especially high for companies domiciled or doing business in the U.S., and merger objection suits persist. While the frequency of U.S. filings has declined since 2019 and while 2022 is expected to continue this downward trend, the aggregate quantum of damages potentially at issue has skyrocketed. While there has been no general rise in alleged investor loss valuation for all cases, a few very large losses in 2022 have represented a disproportionately higher share of aggregate alleged shareholder losses than the historical averages over the past 20 years. According to Cornerstone Research, lawsuits filed against only three communications industry companies account for as much alleged investor loss as the aggregate of all securities class action lawsuits filed in 2021.
Cryptocurrency sees increasing litigation
Another new trend includes the increasing targeting of cryptocurrency companies and exchanges (10 suits filed in the first half of 2022 as compared with 11 for all of 2021, 13 in 2020 and four in 2019). This may not be surprising, given the recent roiling fluctuations in the valuation of digital currencies, which continued in November 2022 with the collapse of the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange, FTX – authorities around the world are investigating for potential breaches of securities laws – and the fact that regulatory oversight has increased.
To read the full AGCS D&O Risk Trends report, please visit: https://www.agcs.allianz.com/content/dam/onemarketing/agcs/agcs/reports/agcs-directors-and-officers-insurance-insights-2023.pdf