Download

US Auto Insurance Faces Affordability Crisis

Rising claims severity and affordability pressures create a perfect storm forcing auto insurers to rethink traditional models by 2026.

Serene Roadway Through Lush Green Foliage

Auto insurance in the United States is under immense pressure. As 2026 approaches, auto insurers face a perfect storm of rising repair costs, increased claims severity, inflationary pressures, and shifting consumer expectations. Many consumers are questioning the value of their policies, while insurers are struggling to maintain profitability.

This evolving crisis presents both a challenge and an opportunity—one that requires bold innovation, operational agility, and a renewed focus on customer-centric strategies.

The Cost of Claims is Surging

One of the most pressing issues affecting auto insurance in 2026 is the rising severity of claims. This is not just a short-term spike—it's a structural shift.

Key contributors include:

  • Advanced vehicle technology: Modern cars now feature complex sensors, cameras, and electric systems that are expensive to repair or replace.
  • Labor and parts inflation: Supply chain disruptions and skilled labor shortages have driven up repair costs dramatically.
  • Medical inflation: Healthcare costs tied to bodily injury claims continue to outpace general inflation.
  • Litigation and legal trends: Increased legal involvement in personal injury claims has led to higher settlements and longer claim durations.

As a result, insurers are paying significantly more per claim—even as the frequency of claims remains stable or slightly declines.

Affordability Is Reaching a Breaking Point

As insurers attempt to recoup losses, premium hikes have become unavoidable. For many American drivers, especially those in urban areas or lower-income brackets, auto insurance is becoming unaffordable.

By 2026:

  • The average auto premium has risen by over 20% since 2023.
  • States like California, Florida, and Michigan report even steeper increases due to regulatory restrictions or localized risk.
  • Many consumers are shopping around more frequently, increasing policy churn and straining insurer retention efforts.

The core problem: The gap between cost and perceived value is widening. Consumers are paying more, but don't feel better protected or supported.

Technology-Driven Solutions

To address affordability and fairness, insurers are turning to usage-based insurance (UBI) powered by telematics. These programs base premiums on driving behavior—such as speed, braking, and mileage—rather than traditional demographic factors alone.

Benefits of UBI include:

  • Lower premiums for safe or low-mileage drivers
  • Enhanced pricing accuracy and risk segmentation
  • Greater transparency and engagement for customers

However, adoption has been uneven. Privacy concerns, lack of customer awareness, and inconsistent user experiences have slowed broader acceptance.

In 2026, the opportunity lies in making UBI the default for personal auto policies—combined with stronger education, clearer benefits, and seamless onboarding.

Another key solution lies in AI-driven claims automation, which improves efficiency and customer satisfaction while lowering costs.

By 2026, leading insurers are:

  • Using computer vision to assess vehicle damage from photos in minutes
  • Automating first notice of loss (FNOL) through mobile apps and virtual assistants
  • Implementing fraud detection algorithms to flag suspicious claims
  • Streamlining repair approvals and payments through connected platforms

The result is faster resolutions, lower operational costs, and better experiences. However, the human touch remains vital in complex or emotionally charged situations—highlighting the need for a balanced, hybrid model.

Regulatory Pressures and Market Disparities

Auto insurance affordability is also a regulatory issue. Several state governments are imposing tighter oversight on rate filings and premium increases, attempting to protect consumers from excessive pricing.

Challenges include:

  • Balancing insurer solvency with consumer protection
  • Inconsistent regulation across states, creating fragmented market dynamics
  • Political pressure to curb rising premiums during economic downturns

Regulators and insurers must work together to create sustainable pricing models, promote innovation, and ensure equitable access—especially for high-risk or underserved drivers.

Climate Change and the Future of Mobility

Climate change is now a factor in auto insurance. In 2026, the rise in extreme weather events—from floods to wildfires—has increased vehicle damage claims.

Insurers are responding by:

  • Adjusting risk models to include geographic climate data
  • Offering weather-linked alerts and early warnings to policyholders
  • Revising underwriting criteria in high-risk areas

While the focus has traditionally been on property and catastrophe insurance, auto insurers must now account for environmental volatility as a growing risk driver.

Emerging trends in mobility are also reshaping the risk landscape:

  • Electric vehicles (EVs), while environmentally friendly, are costlier to insure due to expensive battery systems and limited repair networks.
  • Autonomous driving technologies have not yet delivered the expected reduction in accidents, and liability questions remain unresolved.
  • Car-sharing and subscription models are complicating ownership-based insurance frameworks.

Insurers in 2026 must adapt their products to match new patterns of vehicle use—offering flexible, modular, and pay-as-you-go options that align with the future of mobility.

Restoring Trust and Rebuilding Value

At its core, the crisis in auto insurance is about trust. Consumers feel they're paying more for less. Insurers, meanwhile, are battling rising costs, regulatory scrutiny, and customer churn.

To succeed in 2026, insurers must:

  • Invest in transparency: Clear communication about pricing, claims, and policy changes
  • Improve digital experiences: Easy-to-use apps, quick claims processes, and responsive service
  • Embrace innovation responsibly: Use technology to enhance—not replace—human-centered care
  • Prioritize fairness: Personalize pricing while protecting vulnerable customer groups

By redefining their value proposition, insurers can move from being seen as a financial burden to becoming trusted partners in mobility safety and risk management.

Conclusion

In 2026, the rising cost of claims, growing affordability concerns, and changing mobility trends will present serious challenges—but also a chance to rethink the system from the ground up.

The insurers who emerge stronger will be those who embrace digital transformation, personalize their offerings, improve transparency, and work collaboratively with regulators and consumers alike.

In this time of disruption, innovation is not a choice—it is a necessity. 

Insurers Face an AI Talent Gap

Talent shortages, not technology limitations, threaten insurance modernization; 62% of CEOs say workforce gaps are hindering growth.

Low Angle Shot of The Grotius Towers at the Hague

Insurers are racing to modernize their operations, yet the greatest constraint isn't the technology itself. It's whether teams are prepared to use it. According to KPMG, 62% of insurance CEOs believe talent gaps could hinder growth over the next three years. Automation, data tools, and AI only move the needle when employees understand how to work with them, make informed decisions, and adapt to new ways of delivering value.

That's why workforce development has become central to every corporate transformation effort. Carriers can't rely on hiring alone. To grow sustainably, insurers must inspire and engage existing employees to grow into the roles today's advanced technologies require. How to do this? Focus on strengthening digital confidence, designing clearer pathways for career advancement, and creating a culture of learning.

Building digital confidence

Modernizing the underwriting, claims, and operations functions begins with preparing employees for the new responsibilities and capabilities that come with AI, analytics, and automation. These technologies are reshaping how insurers operate, but they only deliver value when employees feel equipped to use them effectively.

In underwriting, for example, AI can complete a first pass on risk assessments, while analytics highlight patterns across portfolios, but underwriters still need the knowledge to interpret those insights and determine how they influence pricing and policy structure. Claims teams face similar changes. Image-recognition tools, natural-language systems, and fraud-detection models can streamline intake and flag anomalies, yet adjusters must develop the ability to read alerts, investigate exceptions, and focus on cases that call for negotiation or empathy.

Operations teams are moving from executing individual tasks to overseeing automated pipelines. Renewals, notifications, compliance checks, and payment routing now run in the background, which means employees need both the skills and assurance to monitor workflows, troubleshoot issues, and work with data or IT teams to refine rules. This shift from doing to overseeing requires a new kind of capability. One built on understanding systems, not just completing tasks.

All of this makes workforce development essential. Employees need learning opportunities that include guided practice, coaching, and real-world examples to boost their confidence and ability to use these tools to best help the business overall.

Designing clearer paths for career advancement

The confidence employees develop with AI and digital skill-building only translates into business value when it connects to career growth. Insurers need structured career and education pathways that prepare their talent for critical roles.

A strong approach is to create role-specific learning tracks to make it clear to employees what they need to know. Programs that focus on AI, business acumen, and strategic thinking help employees build the exact competencies needed for senior underwriting roles, claims management positions, or operations leadership. For example: an underwriting analyst who completes a structured program in AI-driven risk assessment and predictive modeling positions themselves for advancement into roles that shape pricing strategy and portfolio management.

These programs work best when they combine university rigor with practical application. Employees learn foundational concepts, then immediately apply them to real business challenges in their departments. Cohort-based learning supports better learning outcomes too, creating room for peer collaboration and support. More employees will enroll in the development, and more will finish, when they are part of a group doing it together. When designed well, these learning experiences can deliver capability building at a pace fast enough to address urgent needs, while thorough enough to prepare people for genuine responsibility.

Creating a learning ecosystem

Structured education programs can be important for addressing AI-related talent gaps, but they work best when supported by a broader learning ecosystem. Hiring employees is expensive, and insurers often get more value from developing the people they already have across all levels of the organization. The first step is acknowledging that learning isn't a perk. It's a foundational business strategy that helps teams adapt to modern tools and workflows.

Position learning as part of a larger culture of growth. Mentorship programs, internal mobility pathways, and clear recognition for the development of new skills or earned credentials show employees that the organization values them and their long-term development. When people see that their effort leads to new opportunities, learning becomes something they pursue willingly rather than something assigned to them.

Making modernization work

The pace of digital adoption inside many carriers today reminds us that insurance isn't as slow to evolve as some might think. As companies integrate AI, automation, and new data tools, success depends on whether employees feel prepared to use those tools in meaningful ways. Technology can accelerate decisions and streamline workflows, but people translate those advances into better service, stronger risk assessment, and more efficient operations.

Investing in workforce development is the key to these modernization efforts. Existing teams already understand the business, the market pressures, and the needs of policyholders. When they have access to learning programs that help them grow into new responsibilities, insurers strengthen talent retention and avoid costly rehiring. A workforce equipped to adapt moves ahead with the industry, while building a stronger foundation for the future.

3 AI Imperatives for Insurers in 2026

While AI revolutionizes insurance processes, human-centered implementation determines which insurers will thrive.

Human Responsibility for AI

As the insurance industry enters 2026, AI is no longer a futuristic concept; it's embedded in underwriting, claims, fraud detection, and customer engagement. Yet, as technology accelerates, the real differentiator for insurers will not be how advanced their algorithms are, but how effectively they keep people at the center of innovation.

The Core Insight: AI Isn't the Strategy—Human Experience Is

For years, insurers have focused on digitization and automation to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Those gains are now table stakes. The next frontier is strategic integration of AI that enhances—not replaces—the human experience. Policyholders expect empathy, transparency, and tailored solutions. AI can deliver these outcomes only if deployed thoughtfully and with ethical rigor.

Why People-First Matters in an AI-Driven World

Insurance is fundamentally about trust. Customers rely on insurers during moments of vulnerability—after an accident, a health crisis, or a natural disaster. If AI-driven decisions feel opaque or impersonal, trust erodes. Conversely, when technology empowers human judgment and improves responsiveness, it strengthens relationships and loyalty.

Consider claim processing: AI can triage and flag anomalies in seconds, but the final conversation with a policyholder should reflect empathy and clarity. Similarly, predictive analytics can identify coverage gaps, but agents must translate those insights into meaningful advice.

Three imperatives for insurers in 2026

1. Reframe AI as an enabler, not a replacement

AI should augment human expertise, not eliminate it. Automation can handle repetitive tasks—document verification, fraud scoring, risk modeling—but complex decisions require human oversight. This hybrid approach ensures accountability and preserves the human touch that customers value.

AI-driven underwriting systems for small commercial policies now routinely process the majority of submissions autonomously, with underwriters stepping in to review edge cases and maintain direct communication with brokers. This approach has led to faster turnaround times while still preserving essential human judgment.

2. Invest in ethical and explainable AI

Regulatory scrutiny is intensifying, and consumers demand fairness. Black-box algorithms won't cut it. Insurers must prioritize models that are transparent, auditable, and bias-tested. Explainable AI isn't just a compliance requirement, it's a trust-building tool.

Action Steps:

  • Establish governance frameworks for AI deployment.
  • Conduct regular bias audits across demographic and geographic data.
  • Provide clear explanations of automated decisions to customers and regulators.

3. Design for empathy at scale

Personalization is more than product recommendations—it's about anticipating needs and communicating with care. AI-driven insights should empower agents and brokers to deliver proactive, humanized interactions.

Example: Predictive analytics can flag life events—such as home purchases or family changes—that trigger coverage needs. Instead of sending generic emails, insurers can equip agents with scripts and resources for empathetic outreach.

Emerging opportunities
  • Generative AI for customer engagement: Chatbots and virtual assistants can handle routine inquiries, freeing agents for complex conversations. But tone and transparency matter—customers should always know when they're interacting with AI.
  • AI in risk prevention: Beyond claims, AI can help policyholders avoid losses altogether. Think IoT-enabled sensors for property monitoring or telematics for safer driving. These tools create value by reducing risk and enhancing customer experience.
The bottom line

The winners in 2026 won't be those with the most advanced tech stack, but those who marry innovation with empathy. AI can transform risk management and operational efficiency, but only if insurers remember that trust—not technology—is the ultimate differentiator.

As we look ahead, the mandate is clear: build systems that serve people first. In doing so, insurers will not only harness the power of AI but also reinforce the human values that define the industry.


Anna Kooi

Profile picture for user AnnaKooi

Anna Kooi

Anna Kooi leads Wipfli’s financial services practice. 

She has almost 25 years of experience in serving a variety of public and private clients in the financial services industry, ranging from startups to the Fortune 10.


Greg Foster

Profile picture for user GregFoster

Greg Foster

Greg Foster is a partner and co-leader of Wipfli's insurance industry practice. 

He has over 35 years of practice in public accounting. Prior to joining Wipfli, Foster led PKM’s audit practice for three years.

Efficiency vs. Effectiveness: How AI Is Reshaping Standard and Specialty Insurance

An exploration of AI’s evolving impact on speed, accuracy, and decision quality in modern insurance

people using ai

Insurance has always been about adapting to uncertainty, but the pace of change sets today’s risk landscape apart. Economic volatility, behavioral shifts, geopolitical tensions and technological disruptions now evolve in real time. Insurers aren’t just assessing risk anymore — they’re trying to keep up with it.

That’s where artificial intelligence steps in. More than just a technology investment, AI is a response system; it can help carriers adapt at the speed of risk itself.

However, AI’s impact isn’t uniform across all lines. How AI adds value depends on whether an organization’s goal is efficiency or effectiveness.

Personal Lines and Small Commercial: Boosting speed and accuracy

In personal lines and small commercial, volume is king. Profitability is highly dependent on a number of factors including speed, accuracy and consistency across thousands of transactions each day. For these carriers, AI delivers measurable results by streamlining operations. By automating repetitive tasks and enhancing decision consistency, AI enables personal lines insurers to boost throughput, cut costs and elevate service levels without compromising accuracy.

A U.S.-based digital insurer recently deployed AI across policy issuance, claims and customer service. The results were dramatic:

  • Policy turnaround times dropped by more than half, allowing near-instant processing.
  • AI-led fraud detection improved claims accuracy while accelerating payouts.
  • Chatbots reduced call wait times by 70%, freeing up human agents for more complex needs.

These changes didn’t just boost efficiency — they reshaped the customer experience. AI helped the insurer achieve scale without sacrificing precision, turning standardization into a strategic advantage.

Large Commercial and Specialty Lines: Sharpening human expertise

Unlike low-complexity, fast-issue lines, large commercial and specialty insurance operate not on speed but rather on insight. Whether it’s large property, marine, energy or cyber risk, each policy is unique, high-stakes and data-intensive.

An Australian specialty insurer integrated AI into its workflow, reducing underwriting cycle times by 35%, improving pricing accuracy across multi-jurisdictional portfolios and accelerating regulatory reporting with automated compliance tracking.

Rather than replacing human expertise, AI sharpened it, aggregating disparate data, modeling complex scenarios and providing context-aware recommendations. The result was not simply faster decisions but smarter ones, making complex risk more manageable and measurable.

The new equation: Efficiency + effectiveness

The real transformation in insurance won’t come from choosing between efficiency and effectiveness. It will come from knowing when to lead with each and support with the other.

  • Efficiency ensures scale, speed and consistency.
  • Effectiveness ensures sound judgment in complex, high-stakes decisions.
  • AI’s true potential lies in bridging the two, creating systems that adapt to both.

As governance and compliance frameworks evolve, insurers must ensure that AI-driven acceleration doesn’t outpace accountability. The leaders of tomorrow will be those that use AI to enhance human decision-making.

The future of insurance is adaptive

The next generation of insurance will be defined by who enables smarter decisions. Personal lines and small commercial will continue to harness AI for operational leverage. Specialty and large commercial insurers, including brokers and MGAs, will rely on it for analytical depth and precision. But the real winners will be those who blend both approaches, creating hybrid models that can flex between speed and sophistication as the situation demands.

The goal isn’t just faster insurance: It’s smarter insurance built on systems that think, learn and evolve alongside the risks they’re designed to protect.

Partnering for intelligent ops

For insurers seeking to harness AI without overhauling their internal infrastructure, Cogneesol offers a scalable bridge between innovation and implementation. Our insurance solutions support everything from underwriting and policy administration to claims and analytics. By combining data, automation and industry expertise, Cogneesol helps insurers reduce operational friction, enhance compliance and turn digital transformation into measurable performance gains.

About the author

Ilya Filipov is a strategy-driven insurance and technology executive specializing in growth, partnerships, and operational transformation across the P&C and legal ecosystems. As Head of North America at Cogneesol, he leads go-to-market, alliance development, and client success for brokers, MGAs, carriers, TPAs, and law firms — helping them modernize operations through AI-enabled intake, back-office automation, system integration, and scalable BPaaS solutions.

With more than 15 years of experience spanning carriers, insurtechs, and distribution networks — including leadership roles at Total Expert, Talkdesk, and Westfield — he brings deep expertise in product strategy, commercial partnerships, revenue operations, and complex service delivery. Filipov is known for simplifying operational chaos, architecting data-driven transformation, and building durable growth engines for mid-market and enterprise clients.

 

For more thought leadership from the Cogneesol team, please visit our blog at Cogneesol Blog – For an Ecosystem of Digital Transformation

 

Sponsored by Cogneesol


Cogneesol

Profile picture for user Cogneesol

Cogneesol

Cogneesol's mission is to help client organizations re-imagine and re-invent every aspect of their business processes.  We seek to achieve this through exceptional, ethical, transparent, and sustainable business services and practices. 

[insert headline here]

[insert dek here]
[insert body here]

Fire Prevention Passes the Tipping Point

Fire prevention technology now demonstrates a clear ROI for insurers, saving $81 annually per home while preventing devastating losses.

Future of Risk Conversation

 

bob marshall

Robert Marshall is the founder and CEO of Whisker Labs. Whisker Labs, a spinout of Earth Networks, delivers next-generation home energy intelligence technology to realize the full potential of the connected home.

In 1992, Marshall co-founded AWS Convergence Technologies, the company that would become Earth Networks, by pioneering the networking of weather sensors and cameras using the internet. By developing groundbreaking technology to find "signals" — valuable, meaningful intelligence — in big-data "noise," Marshall improves people's lives and protects their livelihoods.

He has appeared on CNN, BBC World News and ABC Nightly News and has been quoted in major news outlets that include the New York Times, the Washington Post, Nature and Scientific American.


Paul Carroll

One of my goals for the Predict & Prevent movement is that it will be able to lay out a clear economic argument, showing that the savings are greater than the cost of the investment in prevention. You and the Insurance Information Institute, the Triple-I, recently reported on a study that found significant savings from installing your Ting devices in homes. Would you start us off by telling us what you found?

Bob Marshall

We document that Ting prevents 0.39 electrical fire claims per 1,000 home-years. If you multiply that by the severity, which has gone up considerably over recent years, then you get to $81 per year per home in savings from Ting. 

That's obviously greater than the cost of a Ting, and that's why insurers love the idea. Not only does it protect their customers and create a great experience and good engagement, but it delivers a clear ROI, paying for itself and beyond.

Paul Carroll

And the benefits are actually greater than the cost savings on fire damage, right? Preventing a fire keeps a family out of danger and saves them from a huge amount of hassle and dislocation.

Bob Marshall

A fire is often devastating for the family. You could lose pets, you could lose lives, the whole thing.

The savings on the insurance side are higher than what's calculated there, too. There is also the cost to the agents, who often have to work with families every week for a year or more to try to itemize all the losses and damage from a catastrophic fire and help them recover. 

The best claim is one that never happens. To the extent we can prevent fires, it's good for everybody.

Paul Carroll

You’ve said that people who install a Ting may become more open to other Predict & Prevent initiatives. I'll share a Triple-I blog on the topic, but would you briefly explain how that works?

Bob Marshall

Homeowners have an innate fear of fire, so when a carrier partner offers them Ting, they're very motivated to say, “Yes. I want that.”

We've worked really hard to deliver a simple and seamless experience for the homeowner. You just plug the Ting into the wall. Setup takes two minutes. Then we deliver valuable information every week with summary reports, power outage notifications, and other beneficial insights.

If you lead with Ting and the homeowner opts in and has a great experience, then when you follow with, say, water, they're much more likely to say, "Hey, I like this fire thing the carrier offered me. I think I'll do the water thing, as well."

Paul Carroll

What’s the latest on the number of homes you’re in?

Bob Marshall

We currently have over 1 million active homes in our network. We're consistently adding 40,000 to 50,000 homes per month, so we're growing very rapidly.

The ROI report was super important for us. Gathering enough data to document results is never easy when you're dealing with low-frequency perils such as fire and even water damage. You have to have a lot of data to properly document the loss prevention, but we have that now. We overcame a number of obstacles with that research and paper to make the results really clearly documented, which is awesome.

Paul Carroll

If you do the math, based on the current number of homes you serve and the prevention of .39 fire claims per 1,000 homes, you’re preventing some 400 fires a year. And the number will only grow as you expand your reach.

The last time we talked, a few months ago, 30 carriers were working with you to provide Tings to their customers. Where do you stand now?

Bob Marshall

I think we're at 34 now, and obviously going up. At this point, it's pretty clear most every carrier is going to work with us because Ting is proven to work. 

We're trying to make the experience more seamless and easier for the carrier, because partnering and distributing loss-prevention devices isn’t something they naturally do. And I think we're pretty much there. 

Paul Carroll

I assume it’s important for insurers that you automatically verify that a Ting is plugged into a wall socket and active, not just sitting in a box, unopened. I know home insurers struggle to not just know that an owner has a security system but that it’s activated.

Bob Marshall

Yes, absolutely. The way we structure our partnerships with carriers, Whisker Labs doesn't get paid if the Ting is not installed and active. We're structured in a way where we're 100% aligned.

Paul Carroll

What progress have you made in your international expansion efforts, and what challenges are you encountering given the different electrical standards globally?

Bob Marshall

We are working on opportunities to expand outside North America, though I can't talk about it too much. I think I'll have more to say on that in the coming months.

The electrical problems and fires are worse in many parts of the world. The electric codes are not as rigid. The buildings are older. The homes are older. The wiring is older. The voltage is higher, which creates more potential for the arcing that can cause fires.

The opportunity for us to prevent fires is even higher outside North America than it is here.

Paul Carroll

How does your technology help monitor electricity quality, particularly for data centers and other situations where reliable power is critical? I’ve read that increased demand is degrading quality.

Bob Marshall

We are doing a ton of work in that regard. Bloomberg actually did a comprehensive analysis a few months ago using our Ting data along with a database of data centers. What's clear is that the power quality for homes in the vicinity of data centers is materially worse.

With bad power quality, your large appliances like air conditioners, water heaters, refrigerators—anything with a motor—their energy efficiency is materially reduced. Air conditioners are half of the energy used in a home. If you reduce their energy efficiency by 15% or 20%, that's a material cost to the homeowner that is hidden. We also see that other power-quality problems—outages, power surges, brownouts—happen much more often where the grid is stressed in the vicinity of data centers. Our preliminary analysis suggests that costs to homeowners from poor power quality can be up to $1,000 per year. 

It's not exclusively near data centers. In general, with the grid becoming more stressed because of the demands and complexity, we're seeing a decrease in the power quality that is very clear and unambiguous.

Paul Carroll

Your network of sensors is proving to be useful in pinpointing grid problems that could lead to wildfires, such as the Lahaina and Eaton Fire disasters. What progress have you made in delivering this critical information to utilities ahead of time rather than retroactively?

Bob Marshall

We are working extraordinarily hard on solving the problem, and we are making some progress.

One key issue is trying to pinpoint the exact source of any given fault that could cause a wildfire. We can do that reasonably well, though we still have work to do. 

When you look at cases like Lahaina and Eaton, our data shows that the entire grid was under incredible stress and was experiencing a high frequency of faults for many hours in advance of the wildfire ignitions. Faults occur when tree limbs touch a wire or wires touch each other, and each incident can produce a spark that ignites a wildfire. Most don't, or we'd have wildfires everywhere.

What our data could help utilities with very quickly is seeing when their grid is stressed and making better decisions about shutting off the power. If you shut the power off, there's no energy to create the spark that causes the fire.

For some of these devastating wildfires, the only solution is to prevent the spark, because when you have 70 mile-an-hour winds and dry brush, there's no way to stop a fire once it starts. There's no amount of water or firefighters that can contain it. But that's a tough decision to turn off power to any community, and utilities have for decades focused on keeping power on essentially at all costs.

Paul Carroll

Any closing thoughts on the industry’s move toward a Predict & Prevent model?

Bob Marshall

We're excited, and we really appreciate that The Institutes, Triple-I, and the insurance sector are embracing the Predict & Prevent future.

I think that vision is so key, and the direction that you all have helped establish is truly taking hold. We're pleased to be able to make our contribution to it and hopefully help drive it forward.

Paul Carroll

Thanks, Bob. I always feel more encouraged after we talk. 


Insurance Thought Leadership

Profile picture for user Insurance Thought Leadership

Insurance Thought Leadership

Insurance Thought Leadership (ITL) delivers engaging, informative articles from our global network of thought leaders and decision makers. Their insights are transforming the insurance and risk management marketplace through knowledge sharing, big ideas on a wide variety of topics, and lessons learned through real-life applications of innovative technology.

We also connect our network of authors and readers in ways that help them uncover opportunities and that lead to innovation and strategic advantage.

Embedded Insurance Nears Tipping Point

Market growth for embedded insurance exceeds expectations, with auto insurance driving $1.1 trillion projection by 2033.

Road with blurry red and white lights indicating cars driving under lights under a dark night sky

Almost exactly one year ago, we published our thought leadership article "Embedded Insurance: Major Disruptor Can Bridge Huge Coverage Gap."

We pointed out that embedded insurance isn't new and that the wide-ranging, "at point of sale" opportunity is significant. Purchasing life insurance at the airport before flight departure was a perfect example of "version 1.0" of embedded insurance. We also shared a Forrester forecast that "the embedded insurance market is expected to grow from $156.06 billion of gross written premiums in 2024 to more than $700 billion by 2029, a CAGR of 35%."

It now appears that its growth is even greater than expected. 

The embedded insurance market is now forecast to reach $1.1 trillion in global gross written premiums (GWP) by 2033, representing about 15% of the total GWP.

"Embedded insurance is becoming a growth engine for global financial services, a trajectory which reflects a customer- and technology-driven reshaping of how protection is bought, sold, and experienced," according to the latest Open and Embedded Insurance Observatory Report.

The report says the opportunity does not belong to banks and fintechs alone. Competition from adjacent industries is intensifying. Regulatory attention is beginning to focus on these models, which will require flexibility. Legacy IT systems are still a limitation for many incumbents, while data privacy and trust remain mission-critical.

A continuously evolving segment is auto insurance, added at point-of-sale together with a car purchase or lease. Although not a new concept, real-time insurance quotes are new and ease of adding or switching easily fits alongside financing and other add-on offers — all right at the dealership before driving off the lot. Numerous and growing insurer/car brand alliances, whether with or without driving data sharing, have popped up throughout the automotive industry. Such household purchases are major life moments, with an opportunity to switch insurers, hence the constant attention.

Embedded auto insurance

Of the many categories of embedded insurance, auto insurance represents an ideal opportunity and the most effective and frictionless delivery model. Consumers seek simplicity and one-stop purchase experiences, and their loyalty to auto insurers is eroding quickly in the face of continuing premium increases. Auto insurance is now a commodity, and switching is more frequent than ever.

According to Polly's Q2 2025 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report, the connection between insurance engagement and dealership profitability grew even stronger. Dealers who introduced insurance quotes into the sales process saw an average 20% lift in finance and insurance (F&I) gross profit — an extra $313 per deal.

When customers went a step further and purchased a policy, the effect was even greater. Those deals delivered a 31% lift in F&I gross, or $501 more per transaction.

The takeaway is clear: Whether a customer simply views quotes or binds coverage, insurance engagement is one of the most reliable levers for increasing dealership profit. It creates trust, keeps deals moving forward, and consistently raises the ceiling on F&I performance.

Technology-enabling embedded insurance

Insurtechs and integrations are the primary enablers and drivers of embedded insurance. This partnership benefits both customers and businesses by offering convenience, new revenue streams, and personalized coverage options powered by technology.

Selected insurtech companies specialize in enabling embedded insurance solutions for various industries:

  • Cover Genius: Designs embedded insurance platforms for large brands like eBay, offering diverse coverage from shipping protection to rental car insurance.
  • Clearcover: Has an embedded insurance strategy that includes partnerships with companies like Experian to offer bindable quotes to consumers when they are shopping for auto insurance.
  • Roamly: Offers software tools and a platform that allows non-traditional insurers and other businesses, like car dealerships and marketplaces, to embed insurance into their workflows using APIs.
  • Extend: Focuses on modernizing warranties and protection plans for e-commerce retailers.
  • Wakim: Provides white-label, usage-based liability coverage for the gig economy and equipment rental.
  • Zego: Uses application programming interface (API) technology to offer flexible commercial insurance to platforms such as Uber and Deliveroo, providing "pay-as-you-go" coverage for drivers.
  • Bolttech: Provides a platform to embed tailored insurance products directly into existing customer journeys, from car dealerships to fintech apps.
  • Matic: Offers an embedded insurance platform for financial institutions, allowing partners to offer competitive auto insurance options at the point of sale, particularly through partnerships with mortgage lenders.
  • Tint Embedded Insurance: Helps brands embed insurance directly into their platforms, aiming to increase conversion rates and profitability by making insurance a feature, not a standalone product.
  • Openkoda: Provides an open-source framework for building and deploying custom insurance applications, including embedded forms for quoting and policy sign-ups, with a focus on speed and control.
Auto insurance focus

Polly enables embedded auto insurance by integrating its digital insurance marketplace into the car-buying process at dealerships, allowing customers to compare quotes from multiple insurance carriers and purchase coverage at the point of sale. This seamless integration uses technology to connect the dealership's existing software with the insurance marketplace, so customers can get instant quotes and choose the best policy without leaving the dealership or going through a separate, time-consuming process. 

Embedded auto insurance partnerships

Carvana and Root

Carvana and Root have a partnership where Carvana sells auto insurance, underwritten by Root, to its customers during the online car purchase process. Customers can get an insurance quote and bind a policy from Root directly through the Carvana checkout, streamlining the process of getting their new car covered. While Carvana is the seller, the actual insurance policy is with Root Insurance.

Stellantis and bolt

Stellantis has partnered with bolt, an insurtech company, to provide embedded auto insurance for its Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, Ram, Fiat, and Alfa Romeo customers in North America. The partnership aims to simplify and personalize the insurance purchasing process by allowing customers to buy insurance directly through Stellantis brand websites and apps, with future plans for usage-based options using telematics data.

OEM role in embedded auto insurance

While auto manufacturers (OEMs) do not directly sell auto insurance at their dealerships, many major insurance companies partner with dealerships to offer insurance options on-site, and some financial services arms of OEMs offer insurance-related products.

OEMs like Tesla and Volvo are changing the game, making insurance part of the car ownership experience itself.

Insurance companies that partner with dealerships include Travelers, Zurich, and Ally, with some having a strong history in the auto industry. Dealerships often facilitate insurance by having agents or brokers available to help customers with insurance needs at the point of sale.

  • Partnerships with insurance companies: Dealerships frequently partner with major insurance providers like Travelers, Zurich, and others to make insurance purchasing convenient for buyers.
  • OEM financial services: The financial arms of some manufacturers, like Ally, have established insurance divisions specifically for the automotive sector, including dealerships.
  • On-site agents: Dealerships often have insurance agents or brokers on-site to help customers who don't have current insurance or are unhappy with their existing provider.
Other noteworthy embedded models/partnerships
  • Liberty Mutual partners with Jaguar Land Rover North America to provide tailored auto insurance solutions for Jaguar vehicle owners in the U.S. during the car buying process
  • Tesla comes with built-in insurance features
  • Toyota Auto Insurance is underwritten by Toggle, a digital and embedded insurance company that is part of Farmers Insurance
  • INSHUR formed a partnership with ride-sharing service Uber in 2018 to embed insurance directly into Uber's platform, providing on-demand drivers with streamlined, personalized insurance coverage that adapts to driving schedules
  • Turo, a peer-to-peer car-sharing platform, collaborates with Liberty Mutual to offer embedded insurance for its users
  • Chubb just announced the debut of a new AI-powered optimization engine within Chubb Studio, the company's global technology platform for embedded insurance distribution partnerships. Sean Ringsted, chief digital business officer at Chubb, said the new tool lets digital distribution partners enhance engagement, improve conversion, and support financial resilience with relevant insurance protection. 
Looking ahead

Implementing embedded insurance distribution channels is not a trivial undertaking, and there will be several technical, regulatory, business, and cultural obstacles, so you need to get started.

Whether you are an insurer, insurtech, agent, broker, MGA, retailer, wholesaler, or anywhere else in the insurance ecosystem and supply chain, you must invest now in learning how your business can participate in the embedded economy of the future.


Stephen Applebaum

Profile picture for user StephenApplebaum

Stephen Applebaum

Stephen Applebaum, managing partner, Insurance Solutions Group, is a subject matter expert and thought leader providing consulting, advisory, research and strategic M&A services to participants across the entire North American property/casualty insurance ecosystem.


Alan Demers

Profile picture for user AlanDemers

Alan Demers

Alan Demers is founder of InsurTech Consulting, with 30 years of P&C insurance claims experience, providing consultative services focused on innovating claims.

You Think Sensors Are Ubiquitous Now...

A story about Monarch butterflies shows that sensors keep getting smaller, cheaper and more powerful--available for any use you can possibly imagine. 

Image
monarch

This week's newsletter is really just an excuse for me to share a cool story about sensors so tiny that they're being used to track the migration of hundreds of individual Monarch butterflies as they travel from Canada to winter in Mexico.

I've been banging the drum about the importance of ever-shrinking sensors since at least 2013, when Chunka Mui and I published "The New Killer Apps" and listed ubiquitous sensors as one of our six technology megatrends to exploit. I've been fascinated by Monarch butterflies since coming upon a traffic jam on a country road in Mexico in the '90s, stepping out of my car and realizing that the "leaves" on trees up the hill were actually millions of Monarch butterflies. So I just couldn't pass up this week's story of Monarchs being outfitted with sensors that include a solar panel, a battery, a radio, and an antenna--while weighing six-hundredths of a gram.

Oh, and there are plenty of implications for insurers, where ever cheaper, ever more powerful, ever smaller sensors are already enabling the move to a Predict & Prevent model and where, as the butterfly story shows, there is still loads of room for progress. 

An article in the New York Times says about 400 butterflies have been fitted with the sensors and tracked, via a phone app, as they made their way south. Some were tracked for as long as nine weeks as they headed south to the winter colonies where they and their ancestors were born. One was tracked as it blew out to sea from Cape May, NJ, to the Bahamas and then flew west to Florida. As you might imagine, only about one in four survives the arduous journey. 

Even at 60 milligrams, the sensors add 12-15% to a Monarch's body weight, and they aren't cheap; they cost $200 apiece. But Moore's Law has been taking care of size and cost issues for electronics for some 60 years now and let the inventors get the sensors to the point where they're practical. The inventors also took advantage of the billions of Bluetooth devices that are already out there: If a Monarch flew within 300 feet of a Bluetooth-enabled device, the device would pick up the butterfly's radio signal and share its location with the tracking app.

Moore's Law and the spread of "mesh" networks like the one Bluetooth allows the butterfly sensors to access will continue to benefit the Monarch trackers--and insurers that choose to take advantage.

Telematics in auto insurance shows what can happen as technology moves down the size and cost curves. When Progressive pioneered its Snapshot program in 2008, the company quickly gained market share, but success was limited by the fact that Progressive had to pay for dongles and that drivers would then have to figure out how to insert them under their dashboards. When motion sensors became cheap enough that they were routinely embedded in smartphones, Progressive rolled out an app that not only had almost zero marginal cost but that was super-convenient for drivers. Its market share soared from fourth among U.S. auto insurers in 2015 to second this year. Its combined ratio in 2024 was more than six percentage points below the industry average. 

While other uses in insurance haven't had the same sort of dramatic success, some are getting there and enabling the move to Predict & Prevent. 

Whisker Labs's Ting device, which plugs into a wall socket, has now demonstrated that it prevents so many home fires that more than 30 insurers are giving the device to customers for free. Water leak sensors keep shrinking in size and increasing in capability, to the point that some insurers are at least experimenting with giving them away to policyholders. Nauto's windshield cameras -- one pointed at the road, one at the driver, with AI monitoring and warning the driver of impending danger -- is reducing accidents by 60-70%-plus in truck fleets. Roost sells batteries for smoke detectors that contain sensors and communication capabilities so they can send an alert to your phone and let you know of a problem when you aren't home. Home security systems now let you just affix inexpensive sensors to windows and doors that can communicate wirelessly to you or a monitoring company, without all the wiring that used to be required.  

FitBit, Oura and other fitness trackers are riding the sensor cost/size curves to keep adding capabilities. My first FitBit, which I bought maybe 10 or 12 years ago, just tracked my heart rate and my time sleeping. My Oura ring now tells me about my heart rate, my heart rate variability (which I didn't even know was a thing until Oura told me about it), my blood oxygen level, body temperature and more. Separate devices can track blood sugar, blood pressure, etc., and many of those sensors will find their way into the devices we wear on our fingers or wrists, much as motion sensors and so many other capabilities have been absorbed into our smart phones. That's just how technology works: Everything gets cheaper and gets absorbed into a dominant platform.

Insurers will also be able to benefit from the sort of "mesh" approach that the Monarch butterfly trackers use. The basic idea is that a device doesn't need to communicate directly with its host. It can just "mesh" with another device, which can then connect with the host or can even just keep passing along information to other devices (in this case, using Bluetooth) before reaching one that can connect with the host. 

Bluetooth is available to insurers that want to collect a signal from a sensor in a home, in an office, in a factory, in a car, on a person, or whatever. Amazon also offers a mesh network called Sidewalk, based on Echo and Ring devices. If you have enough power to get a signal to one of the hundreds of millions of those devices, you can collect that information. There are surely other mesh networks available, too, if not on the Amazon or Bluetooth scale.

Cost and size will still be an issue for some potential uses of sensors by insurers, but today's issues won't be tomorrow's. Moore's Law will keep shrinking devices and slashing costs, so if you can see a plausible case for use of a sensor, you need to be thinking about what the capabilities and costs will be like a few years from now and, perhaps, start experimenting today.

The real issue is just one of creativity for the insurance industry: What information can we imagine gathering via sensor that will let us prevent or at least minimize a loss, so we can protect people and limit claims?

If we can track a single butterfly from New Jersey to the Bahamas to Florida, what can't we do?

Cheers,

Paul 

 

Beyond Legacy: Building the Infrastructure for Intelligent Insurance

Future-ready insurers start with a modern core. Here’s how.

city ai

Guide | Beyond Legacy Tech: A Modernization Guide for the AI Era

The insurance industry is at a crossroads. While many carriers are exploring AI, few have achieved true transformation. Nearly two-thirds remain stuck in pilot projects, held back by outdated, siloed systems that fragment data and slow innovation.

In this new guide from Origami Risk, discover why modernization—not experimentation—is the foundation for AI success. Learn how modern, cloud-based SaaS platforms enable insurers to move faster, scale smarter, and compete in an era defined by intelligence.

Download the guide to uncover:

  1. Why AI adoption has stalled, and how to break free from legacy drag
  2. How modern, multi-tenant SaaS platforms accelerate AI deployment
  3. A side-by-side look at build-versus-buy modernization paths
  4. Tested frameworks to align technology, finance, and operations stakeholders
  5. Strategies to turn modernization into a growth engine for underwriting, claims, and customer experience

AI is no longer a pet project—it’s the next stage of insurance evolution. But only those who modernize their core systems will harness its full potential.

Don’t let legacy tech hold you back.

Download the Guide Now  

 

Sponsored by: Origami Risk


ITL Partner: Origami Risk

Profile picture for user OrigamiRisk

ITL Partner: Origami Risk

Origami Risk delivers single-platform SaaS solutions that help organizations best navigate the complexities of risk, insurance, compliance, and safety management.

Founded by industry veterans who recognized the need for risk management technology that was more configurable, intuitive, and scalable, Origami continues to add to its innovative product offerings for managing both insurable and uninsurable risk; facilitating compliance; improving safety; and helping insurers, MGAs, TPAs, and brokers provide enhanced services that drive results.

A singular focus on client success underlies Origami’s approach to developing, implementing, and supporting our award-winning software solutions.

For more information, visit origamirisk.com 

Additional Resources

ABM Industries

With over 100,000 employees serving approximately 20,000 clients across more than 15 industries, ABM Industries embarked on an ambitious, long-term transformation initiative, Vision 2020, to unify operations and drive consistent excellence across the organization.  

Read More

Webinar Recap: Leveraging Integrated Risk Management for Strategic Advantage

The roles of risk and safety managers have become increasingly pivotal to their enterprises' success. To address the multifaceted challenges posed by interconnected risks that span traditional departmental boundaries, many organizations are turning to Integrated Risk Management (IRM) as a holistic approach to managing risk, safety, and compliance. 

Read More

The MPL Insurance Talent Crisis: A Race Against Time

Managing Medical Professional Liability (MPL) policies has never been more complex — or more critical. With increasing regulatory demands, growing operational costs, and the ongoing talent drain, your team is expected to do more with less.  

Read More

MGA Market Dominance: How to Get & Stay Ahead in 2025

Discover key insights and actionable strategies to outpace competitors and achieve lasting success in the ever-changing MGA market. The insurance industry is transforming rapidly, and MGAs are at the forefront of this change. Adapting to evolving technologies, shifting customer needs, and complex regulatory demands is essential for staying competitive.

Read More

How Agentic AI Redefines Claims Processing

Rising claim errors drive insurers toward agentic AI systems that accelerate resolution while preserving essential human oversight.

An artist's illustration of AI

According to Experian's State of Claims 2025 report, more than half of insurers (54%) say claim errors are increasing, and nearly seven in ten (68%) find submitting clean claims more challenging than they did a year ago. As costs rise and customer expectations grow, insurers are realizing that traditional automation – while once sufficient – can no longer keep pace with the complexity of modern claims.

We are now entering the era of agentic AI: intelligent, goal-driven systems that work collaboratively to interpret data, make decisions, and adapt in changing conditions. When combined with intelligent orchestration, agentic AI allows insurers to accelerate claims resolution, improve accuracy, and deliver transparency at every step of the process.

Digital Insurance Workflows: Accelerating Resolution

Claims handling has long been one of the most resource-intensive areas of insurance operations. Agentic AI changes that dynamic. Instead of relying on static workflows or human-led review queues, autonomous agents can continuously gather and assess data from multiple sources—emails, repair estimates, photos, and videos—and validate coverage in real time.

An AI agent can instantly classify the complexity and exposure of a claim, cross-reference it with policy details, and even calculate settlement recommendations based on prior decisions. Straightforward claims can be resolved automatically within hours, while complex or high-risk cases are routed directly to human adjusters with a full, auditable summary of every AI-driven action.

This creates a system where human expertise is amplified, not replaced—allowing adjusters to focus their time on empathy, judgment, and nuanced decision-making.

The Power of Automating Insurance Claims

The claims process is pivotal to the customer journey. Bottlenecks lead to frustration, slow resolutions, and lost trust. Insurers that leverage agentic AI demonstrate operational excellence while simplifying tracking, providing visibility, and improving efficiency.

Contrary to concerns about AI replacing jobs, this is a collaborative model: AI handles repetitive or time-sensitive tasks, and humans focus on strategic decisions and customer engagement. This collaboration benefits both employees and clients.

Accuracy Isn't Optional

Accuracy is mandatory in insurance. Errors or inconsistencies undermine both compliance and customer confidence. Agentic AI enforces consistent, compliant processing while minimizing human error and leakage.

Fraud detection is another area where AI excels. By cross-referencing claims with historical data, public records, and behavioral patterns, agentic AI identifies anomalies before payouts are made. These systems don't just detect fraud—they prevent it, learning from emerging patterns and adapting continuously.

Keeping Teams Involved

Human adjusters remain central to automated workflows. Human-in-the-loop strategies empower staff to validate complex claims, oversee governance, and ensure customer satisfaction.

Autonomous agents automatically route large losses, liability disputes, or high-risk flags to the human team with a complete, aggregated summary of every AI-driven action. Every step is logged and auditable, giving supervisors and regulators full transparency while ensuring confidence in autonomous workflows.

Being Present And Forward-Thinking

When adopted strategically, agentic AI transforms claims from a cost center into a competitive differentiator. Insurers gain speed, scalability, and compliance—while delivering higher customer satisfaction.

The next step for leaders is identifying high-impact, low-complexity workflows to pilot and refine. The insurers who take that step now will define what "intelligent insurance" means for the industry over the next decade.


Agim Emruli

Profile picture for user AgimEmruli

Agim Emruli

Agim Emruli is the chief executive officer of Flowable

He leads the development and growth of the open source Intelligent Business Automation platform. He also oversees Mimacom, a global software development and consulting company with a focus on agile methodologies and web services.