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A Hopeful Conversation on Climate Risk

Last week's ClimateTech Connect assembled an impressive variety of voices and laid out paths to important — if gradual — progress on climate risk.

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Neighborhood Flooding around Homes

My favorite anecdote from last week's ClimateTech Connect was a little gem of high tech meeting low tech: a sophisticated network of sensors and a woman with a rake that, together, are protecting hundreds of homes from flooding.

A panelist at the conference on mitigating the risks from climate change said flash flooding had washed away some 300 homes in a small town in the U.K. As the insurance industry helped it rebuild, the town took advantage of improvements in technology and installed sensors that monitor upstream water levels. When they reach potentially dangerous levels, an alarm sounds in the mayor's office. A clerk then grabs her rake and walks down the street, where she clears the debris that collects in a culvert, ensuring that any flood waters will quickly run off.

Few problems have such simple, happy solutions, of course, but the conference still offered some hopeful signs in a world seemingly buried under warnings of impending doom. The mere fact that hundreds of senior people from a whole variety of vantage points — big banks, home builders, municipalities, etc., as well as insurance companies — spent two days in Washington, D.C., strikes me as a good sign.

I'll share a few highlights, in the hope they provide food for thought.

A former fire chief said my second-favorite thing at the conference. I almost hesitate to share, because, in retrospect, what he said is obvious. But it had never occurred to me, and, in my defense, I hadn't heard anyone else say it despite having spent years wrestling with how to get people to understand that everyone  in a community is in the fight together when it comes to wildfire risk.

I knew that reducing the risk to my house reduced the risk to yours, and vice versa, but I didn't think strategically enough — and the former fire fighter helped me out. He said it doesn't help a community much to have a scattershot approach to hardening homes against fire. He said communities have to be systematic. That means focusing on the homes at the edge of the community closest to the wildlands that might catch fire, while worrying far less about the homes that are well inside the boundary. 

That sort of approach not only makes sense but seems more manageable. It reduces the amount of money that is needed to protect a community and takes some of the onus off individual homeowners to alter their landscaping, put mesh over vents to keep embers from getting into a home, etc. A homeowners association could undertake the hardening work on the key homes on behalf of the whole community. 

Or a community could follow the lead of Amy Berry, CEO of the nonprofit Tahoe Fund. She has raised $30 million of private capital to leverage $200 million of public funds for more than 220 projects, including five in the Tahoe area that take the sort of approach advocated by the ex-fire chief. The fund uses public resources to identify homes that could be "superspreaders," then knocks on their doors and offers to help harden their homes. (These projects are near and dear to my heart, given that I used to live just down the road from three of these projects. When I mentioned the name of the town that had our favorite pizza place, she said its name instantly.)

More broadly, the conference embodied the sort of broad conversation, reaching well beyond the insurance industry, that needs to happen. Francis Bouchard, a managing director at Marsh, has hit that theme hard at ITL, including in an interview I did with him last fall and in a webinar I conducted with him and Nancy Watkins, a principal at Milliman, in December. At ClimateTech Connect, Francis continued the theme with a fireside chat with Illya Azaroff, president of the American Institute of Architects. He represents 110,000 architects and described all he's doing to try to get them to design for resilience from the get-go. JP Morgan, which has announced a massive financing initiative related to climate change, was represented by Sarah Kapnick, its global head of climate advisory. The climate chief for Massachusetts was there, too. 

So, there was a broad array of important, interested parties even before you got to the insurance ecosystem, well represented by Nationwide, Travelers, Munich Re, etc., including a host of intriguing technology startups. There were lots of foreign accents, too, which suggests that we're getting the sort of cross-fertilization of ideas that really hard problems require. 

The only real disappointment was that the federal government didn't show, other than to describe what data sets might be available and useful, but that lack of presence was hardly a surprise, given the current administration's stance on climate change and promotion of fossil fuels.

Denise Garth, chief strategy officer at Majesco, told a story that epitomized for me just how hard we're going to have to keep pushing. A storm with huge hail hit her home in Omaha, doing $140,000 of damage, including requiring a new roof. Her insurer, a top-five carrier, promptly cut her a check, but its agent missed an opportunity of the sort we just can't miss if we're going to make the world more resilient. 

It was only when Denise started dealing with a roofing contractor that she learned that rubber roofs were available that looked like tile, shake or whatever she wanted. In the future, hail would just bounce off. She had a rubber roof installed and actually got a 20% discount from her carrier as a result. But somebody — actually, lots of somebodies — needs to do a much better job of educating agents and encouraging them to counsel customers. 

After attending last week's conference, I'm encouraged about the progress we're making on resilience, but we have a long way to go.

Cheers,

Paul

Unconnected Dots: Why We Don’t Prevent Fraud 

Fraud networks exploit multiple digital identities across accounts and websites, making digital entity resolution critical for preventing fraudulent payments.

Large purple iris around a puli and purple background with writing biometrics

Like any business, the business of fraud has a founding moment, a growth story, and sometimes an ending. We hope none of those are "happily ever after."

Every large fraud scheme with tens of millions or more started with their first dollar. Whether it is a single dollar or over hundreds of million dollars, insurance companies don't hand out cash money, they issue checks.

While the form of money dispersed nowadays may include all manner of e-payments, credits, drawdowns, gift cards even, or other mechanisms, typically our follow-the-money gumshoeing types go from account to account to follow the flow. But in a world where any business can have multiple accounts, and any business can have multiple business names with multiple accounts, isn't it time to resolve "who is the who" we are making payments to?

Some of these shards of identity are our own fault and not fraud at all – let's presume that is the case for most of our unconnected data.

Let's just put that in the story book bucket of honest mistakes and rotten data control. That is the state of data entry into free text fields across multiple systems and applications. We know we don't know "who is who" just by watching our daily data work and all the errors and uncertainty of our work processes. (See, "What Would You Do With $1 Trillion?")

We are starting to get a handle on run of the mill missing and misspent money with entity resolution breakthroughs. These breakthroughs come on a use case basis. Government programs, healthcare, life insurance, property and casualty insurance are trillions upon trillions of annual dollars transacting as you read this. And we are making progress.

This is happening with ending annuities being paid to the deceased, with accurately managing eligibility for assistance, with escheat funds being repatriated, with customers having all their products, services, and subscriptions beginning to connect to their own lifetime value profiles, and with marketing able to see clearly if that customer has multiple carriers, an all-in-one solution provider, or is missing a product that prudent advice would warrant. File this under "doing the right things better."

Where we struggle more, and where we are getting increasingly exploited, we will open as a new file called "stop paying the wrong things."

Sometimes, it's an overpayment no one asks to have returned, which is not really that wrong or crooked, right? Then there's paying out to the revenue maximizer padding a bill or receipt. That grows into over-treatment, unnecessary tests, excess calibrations, and perhaps prescriptions, equipment, or other services that maybe were never delivered.

Then comes the extra volume where we move from the misrepresented, wasted, and abused, into full on fabricated, fictitious, and fraudulent. (See, "Entity Resolution Transforms Risk Management.") Here the story of "look what happened when nobody could catch me once" starts to scale into webs, schemes, and networks and the theme swings to "look what is happening when nobody catches me ever…." But for every great business, legal or illegal, there's always someone wanting more.

The easiest way to make more, and make it faster, is franchising. The next is to expand territory. And after that, cook the books - but that raises the risk of getting caught.

This last hitch can be mitigated by making it seem like one business is many – just misspell the name and address often. If that seems risky in a brick-and-mortar way, then open multiple accounts and even have multiple emails, heck, multiple websites. Thus, simply taking advantage of existing weaknesses in companies not deploying effective entity resolution can mitigate the risk of getting caught while stealing.

Those willing to really reach for the stars, however, can expand even more and faster – multiple cities, multiple countries, with or without a physical presence, sometimes going all online. The likelihood of having a ghost claim from an invisible entity that receives real money is a growing reality, especially when it is so easy to not see the invisible parts of our work processes that include email, web domains, and the inscrutable IP addresses behind those. (Read up on that here, "Your Invisible Neighbors and You," and here, "Are You Fraud-Friendly?")

Making payments to invisible entities makes it impossible to connect the dots between what we really owe to whom and what we end up paying to "who knows who?"

The only way to make progress is to add digital entity resolution to our gumshoe efforts. And to really make a dent, reveal all the invisible dots on a map (See, "Uncovering Hidden Fraud Networks.")

We can predict and prevent a payment when we can tell before issuing a quote, binding a policy, entering a vendor, setting up a claim, putting up a reserve, or paying anything that the email or website we are seeing online is either suspicious or concretely a bad actor. Just look it up – that can be as easy as connecting to a "hot list," an operational graph of continuing fraud cases, or even a simple map showing bad actor rooftops, and locations around the world.

The visible web is where business happens. The dark web is for dirty business.

While we obviously should ignore anything from the dark web while we work, just like we should not work with known bad actors, there are many invisible players hiding in the visible web.

The first are the ones we just don't track because our systems don't have a place for emails and websites. The second are the ones more deeply invisible because we have no digital entity resolution process running. And the third are hiding in the subnets of the Internet where we would need a deep infrastructure level technographical trace to see "who is really who".

When your digital business intelligence uses an approach that includes the ultimate domain family tree of "who is that at my digital door" and "who am I transacting with digitally," then you can erase invisibility and connect the unconnected dots right in front of you.

An email that really comes from North Korea, simply does not belong in your run of the mill financial transactions. The same for an active network actor in a transnational criminal organization. Anyone on the "hard" sanctions list. And include the regular old fraud schemes and schemers, too, who are adding e-stealing to their repertoire.

The digital footprint capabilities that create attribution of websites, web servers, and web services linked to who we are transacting with fall under digital entity resolution.

Adding digital entity resolution to your existing framework, or even better, improving entity and digital entity simultaneously while also putting accurate mapping analytics under your investigative yarn balls and link analysis engines is what it takes to connect the unconnected dots we have today that cause us to make payment errors to fraudsters and criminals.

By painting in the invisibilities of our real-world transactions and transactors, we can enable our online and offline activities to predict, prevent, and more quickly mitigate fraud.

Get Ready for a Long, Hot Summer and Fall

What could be the strongest El Niño in 140 years may cause record temperatures and contribute to cyclones, convective storms, droughts and wildfires.

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Yellow Sun and Sky with a Thermometer Showing High Temperatures

Writing a newsletter on a morning when the president of the United States threatens that "a whole civilization will die tonight" strikes me as a fool's errand. Whatever I write will quickly pale in comparison with what happens -- or, I hope, doesn't happen -- in Iran in the next 24 hours. 

So I'll keep it short this week, just pointing out something I've been tracking for a while: that a "super" El Niño has become increasingly likely. An El Niño increases surface temperatures in the ocean, leading to higher temperatures worldwide and exacerbating just about all the sorts of natural disasters that have been producing record claims for property/casualty insurers (with the notable exception of Atlantic hurricanes). And the El Niño that's now forming looks like it will produce a far greater increase in ocean temperatures than normally occurs -- perhaps the greatest in 140 years. 

I'll take a quick look at the likely effects -- and at why U.S. insurers need to be even more careful than usual about their public statements and handling of claims, given that the insurance industry is an easy target for politicians looking for scapegoats in an election year.

Then we can all get back to our doom scrolling. 

A Washington Post article does a thorough job of laying out the risks of the El Niño that is forming. It says a "super" El Niño is one in which a key part of the Pacific Ocean sees surface temperatures increase by more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.8 degrees Fahrenheit) above average. The El Niño now taking shape could see the temperature rise 2.8 degrees Celsius (5.04 degrees Fahrenheit) above average, breaking the record set in 2015.

The result, the article says, could be: 

  • "Reduced hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean and possible drought in the Caribbean islands. Increased hurricane and typhoon risk in the Pacific Ocean....
  • "Potential drought in central and northern India....
  • "Above-average summer temperatures and humidity in the Western United States, possibly coming with unusual downpours, which may reach into the Plains and extend severe thunderstorm season.
  • "Developing droughts in portions of Central Africa, Australia, Indonesia, the Philippines, some South Pacific islands, Central America and northern Brazil, particularly later in the year. Flooding downpours in Peru and Ecuador, parts of northern and eastern Africa, the Middle East and near the equator in the Pacific.
  • :Higher frequency of heat waves across large parts of South America, the southern United States, Africa, Europe, parts of the Middle East, India and eventually Australia.
  • "New global temperature records — especially in 2027 — probably breaking records set in 2024."

These threats come as high temperatures and low precipitation have created drought conditions across more than half the continental U.S. The problem is especially severe in the West, where devastating wildfires have become all too common. 

So, while the lack of a landfalling hurricane in the U.S. last year meant insured losses from natural catastrophes were below the average for the past decade, claims could well soar this year.

Natural disasters always draw complaints about insurers. Everybody wants the recovery to be fast and smooth -- in situations where it's almost impossible for anything to happen fast or smoothly. Politicians, always looking for a way to position themselves on the side of voters, will home in on problems and publicly scold insurers -- a week ago, President Trump made a social post calling State Farm "absolutely horrible" for its handling of the Los Angeles fires early last year, and we can expect a lot more sniping at insurers from all sides in the run-up to the fraught mid-term elections this November. 

So everyone in the industry needs to be on high alert as the El Niño develops, helping people make their homes and properties more resilient and then, when the inevitable losses occur, acting as swiftly and empathetically as possible to help people recover.

In the meantime, let's all hope and pray for a sane resolution to the man-made disaster taking place in the Middle East.

Cheers,

Paul

The Leadership Gap We’re Misreading

When performance outpaces achievement, high-achieving women recalibrate. That's a problem for all of us.

Black and white photo taken at a low angle of a gap in rocks with a staircase across them

The race to fill senior leadership roles—and to do it faster, more competitively, and with greater diversity—has become a defining challenge for CEOs and CHROs. Across industries, organizations report a limited pipeline of "ready-now" talent, particularly at the highest levels. This raises an important question about whether the gap is one of supply or of visibility.

At the same time, women's advancement into senior leadership continues to lag despite years of focused initiatives and investments. Recent Women in the Workplace research from McKinsey and LeanIn.org attributes part of this to a shift in ambition.

But what if the issue isn't ambition at all? What if the signal is being misread?

What the Data Shows and What It Doesn't

For more than a decade, McKinsey's annual research has shaped the national conversation on women's advancement, offering critical visibility into representation and career progression. The data reveal a consistent pattern: Women enter the workforce in strong numbers, advance early, and then experience slower progression at senior levels. In fact, recent reports have sparked a broader discussion on whether gender parity will be reached in 50 years and whether there is an ambition gap.

Yet this survey research data tells only part of the story. It maps where women are and the movement, but it does not fully illuminate the experience of leadership once they arrive. That deeper understanding requires a different lens—one that brings into focus how advancement actually unfolds.

What the Experience Reveals

As part of the research for SelfPowerment: The Inner Shift for High-Achieving Women Who Want More Than Just Success, a qualitative study was conducted with 52 senior women leaders and 10 male executives across industries in the United States, including meaningful representation from the insurance sector across property & casualty and life & annuities.

Rather than focusing on representation alone, this research examined lived leadership experience—how careers begin and evolve, and ultimately how advancement unfolds once performance has already been proven.

What emerged is a pattern that is widely experienced yet rarely articulated. High-achieving women are consistently delivering at the highest levels. They are leading enterprise transformation, running complex organizations, and driving the outcomes companies rely on for both growth and performance.

And yet, many describe a subtle but consistent shift. Performance continues while advancement slows. What surfaces is not a question of capability; it is one of visibility.

As outlined in the SelfPowerment white paper, "What No One talks About—But Women Know," this dynamic forms what is defined as the Invisible Advancement Cycle—a repeatable pattern in which leaders become indispensable to execution while authority, sponsorship, and progression fail to keep pace.

The Misinterpretation of Ambition

From the outside, this dynamic often presents as disengagement. Over time, some women step back from pursuing the next role and become more selective in the opportunities they consider. In some cases, they choose to leave the organization altogether.

This shift is frequently interpreted as a decline in ambition. A closer examination of the lived experience reveals something far more grounded: When sustained high performance no longer consistently leads to advancement with greater influence or authority, leaders recalibrate how they engage. They become more intentional about the roles they accept, seeking opportunities where responsibility is matched with decision-making authority, where visibility translates into influence, and where increased scope aligns with how they define success.

Ambition remains. But it evolves, becoming more focused, more deliberate.

Where Alignment Changes Everything

One of the most important insights from the research is this: Not all women stayed in this invisible advancement cycle. Those who were able to sustain both influence and fulfillment did so because they had made a shift. They moved from endurance to alignment.

These women took ownership of their careers rather than wait for validation. They set clear, strategic boundaries around roles that expanded responsibility without corresponding authority. They repositioned their leadership from execution alone to enterprise-level impact, and they defined success on their own terms—beyond title or traditional progression.

This is the foundation of SelfPowerment—a return to purpose and a renewed ownership of one's career on one's own terms. It reflects a fundamental shift from, "Will they choose me?" to "Do I choose this?"

Alignment changes how women engage—with greater clarity, confidence, and conscious choice.

Why This Matters to CEOs and CHROs

This realignment extends beyond a women's issue; it is an enterprise leadership imperative. When this alignment pattern persists, organizations begin to absorb hidden costs that often go unrecognized until they become systemic.

Leadership capacity becomes underleveraged as the leaders closest to execution—those who understand how strategy truly operates—remain outside core decision-making circles. Succession pipelines narrow over time, with organizations looking externally for leadership while proven internal talent remains underused. At the same time, dependence concentrates within a small group of high-performing leaders who carry disproportionate responsibility for outcomes.

As alignment erodes, experienced leaders begin to step back or disengage, and gaps emerge between an organization's stated commitments to leadership development and the reality of lived experience.

As the research makes clear, these are not abstract dynamics—they are operational, financial, and strategic in their impact.

The "Operational Leader" Blind Spot

One of the most consistent insights across industries is how leadership continues to be evaluated. Strategy is often defined through vision, narrative, and positioning, while execution—where strategy becomes real—is frequently categorized as operational, tactical, or supportive.

In today's environment, however, execution is where complexity resides. Leaders who integrate technology and operations, guide transformation, and deliver enterprise outcomes often hold the deepest understanding of how the business truly functions. But when execution is undervalued in advancement decisions, organizations inadvertently overlook the very leaders they depend on most.

A More Accurate Question

Rather than asking whether ambition is shifting, organizations are better served by examining how leadership is defined and rewarded. This invites a more precise set of questions: whether visibility is being equated with leadership, whether performance is being recognized or simply relied upon, and whether the leaders most critical to outcomes are also those advancing into positions of influence.

When the answers begin to diverge, the issue becomes clear. It is not ambition that is changing. What is changing is the alignment between performance, authority, and advancement.

A Call to Action

This moment presents a powerful opportunity for both organizations and the leaders within them.

For CEOs and CHROs, the imperative is to make the invisible visible. This begins with a deeper examination of how advancement decisions are truly made, by elevating execution leadership into core strategic conversations, and by ensuring that authority aligns with demonstrated impact rather than perception alone.

For women leaders, the opportunity is equally significant. Recognizing this pattern creates the ability to respond to it thoughtfully. When something has felt misaligned despite continued success, it often reflects a structural dynamic rather than a personal one. Alignment—SelfPowerment—becomes the pathway forward, enabling leadership with greater clarity, confidence, and conscious choice.

The Leadership Shift Ahead

The next decade will require a more integrated model of leadership—one that values not only vision but also execution; not only strategy but also translation into outcomes; and not only performance but also alignment.

In many organizations, this leadership already exists. The capability is present, the experience is proven, and the impact is measurable.

The question is not whether the talent is there.

The question is whether it is fully seen—and whether women are fully choosing it.

You can preorder the book here:. You can download the white paper here.


Deb Smallwood

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Deb Smallwood

Deb Smallwood is the founder and CEO of SelfPowerment.

She spent four decades in corporate leadership across the insurance industry, operating at the intersection of business, technology, and organizational transformation. Her leadership inflection point led her to research the experiences of more than 50 high-achieving women and 10 men leaders. This formed the foundation of her book, SelfPowerment: The Inner Shift for High-Achieving Women Who Want More Than Just Success. The work introduces a research-informed framework that redefines success from within and invites women to shift the question from, “Will they choose me?” to “Do I choose them?”

Insurance Distributors Should Buy Carriers

Large insurance distributors are poised to acquire carriers as AI and private equity remove traditional barriers.

Photo of Men Working in a Warehouse

Independent agents continue to drive premium growth for carriers, with 60% of life insurance sales and increasing annuity sales (46% through IA/IMO/Independent BD) coming from third-party distribution (TPD), according to LIMRA.

The implication is clear: The future of insurance will be driven by independent distribution. So far, the focus has been on how carriers can control expenses related to third-party sales and get better selecting strategic partnerships. While that is important, there is a secondary implication that may be more important than the carrier focus:

How can distributors develop better partnerships with carriers?

The solution? Distributors should seek to acquire carriers and develop fit-for-purpose products and capabilities. We have seen this already occur in the P&C/specialty space, where MGAs/MGUs have acquired carrier shells. For example, At-Bay, a cyber insurance MGA, acquired an excess & surplus insurer to issue its own cyber and tech E&O insurance. Controlling the full value chain allowed the distributor the ability to accelerate product development and strengthen its commitment to its distribution channels. Life and annuity carriers could follow a similar model.

Why hasn't this worked before?

In the past, distributor-driven acquisitions of carriers have not been a match, for several reasons:

  • Capital and regulatory intensity – Independent distributors like IMOs are known for being light on capital and are built explicitly for sales and overrides. Carriers are built completely differently – RBC requirements and capital reserves are not only necessary, but encouraged to develop stronger ratings from credit agencies.
  • Scale threshold – Because of the capital and investment required, small to mid-size distributors have no chance to successfully acquire a carrier and leverage it for a fit-for-purpose distribution model. High fixed costs mean that in a highly fragmented distribution landscape, only the largest platforms could attempt this strategy.
  • Execution risk & operational complexity – Even if an independent distributor has the capital and scale, carriers bring capabilities that are non-native to independent distributors – claims, actuarial, and investment capabilities all require net new talent and systems to support.
  • Optionality and flexibility – Independent distributors pride themselves on having access to a wide-range of products in their toolkit. This "best-in-breed" approach is part of why independent channels have taken market share from captive channels. Owning an insurer potentially jeopardizes that optionality.
  • Risk mismatch – Distribution is a very different business than being an insurance carrier. Distributors are built for sales volume – overrides, commissions, and fees are all geared toward "more is better". Carriers are built on loss ratios, investments, and product profitability.
Why this is the time to act

All of these reasons have historically provided plausible rationale for why distributors have focused more on consolidation than achieving a "full stack" solution. But significant shifts in the market make this a time for the right distributor to break the mold.

  1. AI leveraged for neo-insurers – AI has made certain processes more scalable than ever before. The next frontier of AI development through agentic AI will be developing AI-native op models that move capabilities from human-centric to AI-centric. For distributors seeking to become full-stack, this means that the typical FTE-heavy carrier model no longer applies. Indeed, distributors can drive the AI-native carrier onslaught by leveraging AI to provide carrier capabilities within a distributor-centric operating model. Underwriting, claims, servicing, wholesaling functions and many others can now be designed around the distributor's goals and tech platform.
  2. Customer preference for holistic financial solutions – The share of US investors seeking holistic financial solutions (insurance & investment products) has grown from 29% in 2018 to 52% in 2023 (McKinsey). An Orion 2025 Investor Survey highlights that 78% of investors whose advisor does not currently offer holistic financial planning say they want it. Only 23% of advisors even offer insurance, suggesting a significant awareness gap and opportunity for distributors
  3. Heavy PE investment in the insurance market – Capital and investment requirements are significantly less of a concern for private equity investors, who have significant dry powder. This has caused several to go after distributors and/or carriers. These same investors can address a significant hurdle for distributors while diversifying their returns from both distribution and the carrier.
  4. Moat development – In an increasingly competitive market, where large distributors are consistently seeking to grow through inorganic acquisition/consolidation, there are fewer ways to differentiate. One way that some firms have sought to do this is through carrier/distributor partnerships to create products for specific distributors. Distribution-owned carriers take this to its logical conclusion – owning products becomes a key differentiator versus other large distributors.
  5. Innovation and speed-to-market – One of the complaints from distributors is how slowly carriers bring products and capabilities to market. Carriers owned by distributors avoid this – instead of long-feedback loops, distributors can leverage their insights to quickly meet the market where it is. Riders that might take 12-18 months from idea to rollout can be done much more quickly.
The way forward for distributors

Distributors that want to move forward have concrete steps to take on their journey to acquiring a carrier.

  • First, distributors have to make sure that they can successfully acquire and run a carrier. That includes:
  • Having sufficient scale as a distributor
  • Having capital or access to capital necessary to support a carrier
  • The ability to execute and successfully integrate a carrier into the distributor's platform

None of this can be overstated – the difference in creating an oddly formed captive model and a forward thinking distribution-led carrier will come down to execution and integration capabilities. This limits the possible audience to large distributors or those backed by significant capital.

If a distributor has both the means and the willingness to accept the risk, there are three concrete next steps.

1. Understand how the distributor wants to do business

The key emphasis for product fit-for-distribution is that distribution drives capabilities and decision-making. That means starting with how the distributor wants to leverage the carrier to better enable their sales and growth. For example, does the distributor want to accurately price the risk (e.g., leverage APS and medical exams) or do they favor speed of decisioning (e.g., leveraging simplified or accelerated underwriting) to lower cycle time?

There will be trade-offs for sure, but making these types of strategic decisions will directly influence how the carrier delivers key capabilities in support of the distributor (i.e., the operating model).

One additional consideration: what will the product development strategy be? Distributors could choose anything from niche products missing in the market to a full product suite and make them distributor-exclusive or allow others to sell them. Distributors should initially focus on addressing gaps in the market with exclusive products, but keep an eye on when they may have a product that makes sense to sell to others,

2. Develop an operating model that is fit for purpose

Once distributors have made key strategic decisions, it is time to convert that strategy from a what to a how. There are three key levers distributors should consider: AI, outsourcing, internal personnel.

Any distributor developing a carrier should do so in an AI 3.0 mindset – assume that the processes and capabilities should be built with AI at the forefront and human interaction only inserted where AI is incapable of performing the task today. This provides a lean organization that positions itself well in the future: as AI continues to develop this will position the carrier (and the distributor) the next stage of AI-driven operating models.

With AI and automation at the forefront of how the carrier operates, distributors can continue to develop capabilities by outsourcing and internal hiring. There are several considerations, but distributors should consider what talent should be in-house. For example, claims may not be a critical experience to the distributor and could be outsourced to a TPA, while product development may be a capability to retain.

3. Integrate and iterate to continue to improve

In a distribution-centric model, there should be a focus on establishing a proprietary data loop to drive sales.

Full ownership provides clean, first-party data on distribution behavior and claims, which can feed back into product/actuarial/pricing decisions faster than any carrier partnership allow.

To enable that, distributors need to integrate all carrier technology with the distributors existing platform – this will ensure that insights are seen end-to-end that improve the distributors ability to sell.

What comes next?

As distributors develop strategy over the next 5-10 years, they should expect to see independent distribution as a primary value driver, increased competition for advisor talent within independent channels, and an increased focus on customer centricity. The combination of those things suggest that distributor who innovate and can best serve the customer will be winners in the market.

The way to do that is simple, but not easy – leverage carrier capabilities to provide a true, distribution-led product development process. Large distributors and their investors must take immediate steps to leverage their scale to be a first in the market. Fast action will provide them with a first-mover advantage, and position them well as the market transitions. The first scaled distributor or PE-backed platform to execute this strategy will own the next decade of independent distribution.


Chris Taylor

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Chris Taylor

Chris Taylor is a director within Alvarez & Marsal’s insurance practice.

He focuses on M&A, performance improvement, and restructuring/turnaround. He brings over a decade of experience in the insurance industry, both as a consultant and in-house with carriers.

AI as a Tool or AI as a Product?

The gap between $20 ChatGPT and six-figure AI vendors lies in integration, repeatability and operational complexity personal tools can't address.

An artist's illustration of AI

Someone on your team just demoed how ChatGPT or Copilot can extract data from a medical report in seconds. Now leadership wants to know why you're paying a vendor six figures for document processing when the same AI is available for $20 a month.

It's a reasonable question. Personal AI tools and operational AI systems solve fundamentally different problems, even when the underlying technology looks identical.

When an adjuster pastes a claim's medical records into ChatGPT to prep for a call, that's a one-time task. They provide context, review outputs, fix what needs fixing. The AI just makes them faster at work they were already doing.

When AI processes hundreds of documents a day as part of an operational workflow, a person isn't shepherding each one through. The AI becomes one component inside a larger system that needs to work reliably at scale.

The problem is these two use cases get treated as interchangeable. Organizations sometimes spend months building infrastructure for tasks an employee could handle with ChatGPT. Other times, someone proposes using ChatGPT for a process that actually requires serious engineering. Both mistakes come from not recognizing when a task requires a product. The telltale signs are integration, operational complexity, and repeatability.

Integration

ChatGPT works with whatever you paste into it. It can't reach into your claims system, query your policy database, or update a file on its own. In production, the AI sits in the middle of a pipeline. Data has to get in, and data has to get out

On the input side, documents arrive through fax servers, email integrations, and carrier portals. On the output side, extracted data has to be written to the system of record and validated against what's already in the claim file, and exceptions need to be flagged and routed. Without the integration work on either side of the AI, the system can't function in production.

Operational Complexity

When someone uses ChatGPT to extract data from a document, they're the orchestration layer. They decide what to paste in, what to ask for, what order to work through it. If something looks wrong, they adjust and try again. That works when you're processing one document at a time.

At scale, software has to do that job instead. Documents need to be normalized into a usable format. Illegible or corrupted files need to be handled. Outputs need to be validated, exceptions routed, and results connected to downstream systems. When something fails halfway through, the system needs to know where it stopped, what succeeded, and how to recover.

There's also the question of proof. When a claim gets litigated or an auditor asks how a decision was made, "the AI said so" isn't an answer. You need to show exactly where in the document a value came from and why it was interpreted that way. Personal AI tools are black boxes. Enterprise systems build in traceability because insurance requires it.

Finally there is the file size. A single claim file can run 10,000 pages. You can't paste that into ChatGPT. Personal AI tools have input limits that make documents like these impossible to process in a single pass. At that point, you're not using a tool. You need a product.

Repeatability

Personal AI tools are inherently variable. Ask ChatGPT the same question twice and you'll get different answers. When drafting a strategy document, this can actually help. Running the same prompt multiple times gives you different angles to choose from.

At operational scale, variability becomes a liability. A diagnosis code extracted one way in the morning might come out differently in the afternoon. Tags get applied inconsistently. Provider names normalize differently across batches. A claim that gets flagged high-priority on Monday might score as routine on Tuesday. These inconsistencies create problems throughout downstream processes.

When outputs are unreliable, users lose trust. They start checking everything manually, which defeats the purpose. Enterprise implementations address this through standardization: controlled prompts, validated extraction logic, versioned models, systematic testing. When something changes, you know what changed and why. When something breaks, you can trace it back. This infrastructure is what makes production systems require real investment, but it's also what makes them suitable for production.

When You Don't Need a Product

But the opposite mistake is also common. Not everything needs a product. If the task is infrequent and doesn't need to connect to anything, a person with ChatGPT can be the right answer.

A couple of times a year, a supervisor prepares for a mediation on a complex claim. They need to review the medical records, understand the treatment history, and build their argument. Someone sees that and thinks: we should build a tool for this. However, ChatGPT can help them work through it directly, surface key details, summarize sections. That's a tool making someone better at their job, not a workflow that needs to be automated.

The same applies outside of claims. Quarterly management presentations. Strategy preparation for a renewal. Evaluating a vendor. One-off policy research. These happen a few times a year, the output goes into a document or slide deck, and nobody needs the data anywhere else. Building automation around them solves a problem that doesn't exist.

The person doing the work already has what they need. They have the data, they understand the context, they'll review and edit whatever the AI produces. The value of personal AI tools is that they require no infrastructure. Let people use the tools directly, get useful output, and move on. Trying to systematize that just adds overhead without adding value.

Different Problems, Different Approaches

Personal productivity works because a human handles everything around the AI. They provide context, review outputs, catch errors, make decisions. For these use cases, give people access to AI tools and get out of their way.

Operational automation requires software to do what the human does in the personal productivity scenario. Integration with existing systems. Repeatable outputs. An application layer that makes the AI's work usable by others. That's a product.

The underlying AI might be identical in both cases. The difference is what surrounds it. If the task requires integration with other systems, that's a product problem. If it requires orchestration across large or complex inputs, that's a product problem. If it requires consistent, auditable outputs, that's a product problem. The more of these that apply, the further you are from something a person with ChatGPT can handle. If none of them apply, you probably don't need a product at all. Give someone the tool and let them work.

Document ingestion is one example. However, the same pattern holds for triage, fraud detection, subrogation, anywhere AI moves from assisting one person to running inside a workflow. The question isn't whether AI can do the task. It's whether you need a tool or a product. Get that wrong and you'll spend six months discovering why the vendor charges what they do, or build a system for something that just needed a person with ChatGPT.

How to Put People First in Your AI Rollout

"We made a deliberate decision to treat employee confidence as the primary KPI of our AI transformation."

A Woman Presenting in Front of a Room of Employees

When it comes to AI in the insurance industry, 2026 is shaping up to be a defining year. Adoption is accelerating, investment is increasing, and nearly two-thirds of independent agents say they're optimistic that AI can support their work.

But putting generative AI to work inside an independent agency, MGA, or carrier doesn't happen with the flip of a switch. Successful AI implementation takes an operational shift through disciplined execution, clear governance, and a defined path to measurable benefits. Most importantly, it requires investment in your most valuable resource: your people.

That was our guiding principle when we implemented enterprise AI tools at Vertafore. In 2025, we set out to equip ourselves and our teams to use AI in the best way possible. Our goal was to learn how to make ourselves, teams, and products better for the end customer.

To accomplish that, we committed to pausing business as usual for a full week as a company to give our global team time to immerse themselves in AI confidently, responsibly, and creatively. We made a deliberate decision to treat employee confidence as the primary KPI of our AI transformation, and we measured it before and after implementation.

Before expanding access, we concentrated on three priorities: mindset, training, and governance. Here's what happened and takeaways for businesses that want to find success with AI.

Employee confidence sets the foundation

Understandably, some employees fear that companies want to use AI to replace their human workforce. That may be the case in some organizations, but many businesses—including Vertafore—see AI as a tool to help make work more manageable, improve efficiency, and create space for higher-value thinking and better customer service.

The key to managing employee fears is transparency and communication. We addressed employee concerns early and reinforced our intent to use AI to support our human teams, not replace them. That's especially true in a relationship-driven industry like insurance, where judgment and accountability cannot be outsourced to a model.

We reinforced that human oversight remains central, established clear security guardrails, and created structured opportunities for employees to ask hard questions and understand expectations. This included a simple framework: asking "Should I?" instead of "Can I?" Employees were encouraged to consider who benefits, who could be harmed, and whether AI was truly the best fit for a given scenario. The framework reinforced that AI supports professional judgment rather than replacing it.

To measure the impact, we surveyed employees before and after our immersion week. We didn't focus only on productivity metrics or efficiency gains. We measured employee confidence. We positioned AI as a productivity multiplier and asked one core question: How do I make myself, my team, and our products better for the end customer?

The results speak for themselves: confidence rose 13% and those that were "not confident" dropped 11%. Employees who saw AI as a "go-to collaborator" doubled and expected daily or near-daily use rose 27%. Among people managers, confidence using AI rose 23%, with 80% saying they're confident with helping their teams use AI responsibly.

Create space to learn

To help employees build real skills, we made a deliberate choice to set aside dedicated time for learning.

Instead of squeezing experimentation between daily responsibilities, teams were given bandwidth to explore AI. Leaders set up time for employees to test ideas, collaborate across teams, and explore ways to apply AI to their specific roles. And as an organization, we created full-company sessions to dive into AI questions and hear from experts on their lessons learned from putting this technology to work.

Prioritizing learning in this way accelerated adoption. Our teams spent time getting to know the AI tools in the best way possible: by seeking solutions to the challenges and opportunities they encounter every day. Not every idea and trial made it out of the gate. And that's okay. But many of our teams built the foundation for real AI applications.

Internally, our learning and development team created a custom GPT to help employees and managers build individual development plans that support career growth. The tool guides users through identifying where to start, developing skills within their current role, or preparing for a move into another internal role. By following prompts and exploring development ideas, employees can create clear, actionable plans while discovering recommended resources such as LinkedIn Learning and other company tools.

How to measure what matters

If employee confidence with AI increases, it stands to reason that successful adoption will follow. With that in mind, we treated the mindset shift as the first KPI. From there, we narrowed our focus.

Rather than attempting to transform the entire organization at once, we identified one to two areas where return on investment (ROI) could be clearly measured within a defined timeframe. Functions such as customer support often provide the clearest early signals because call times and quality improvements are easier to quantify.

For each use case, we established a clear hypothesis to answer:

  • Where will AI create value?
  • What outcomes should we see within the first 90 days?

Within customer support, for example, we used AI to refine knowledge base articles so representatives can quickly access the most up-to-date product information during calls. Measurable outcomes include reduced time spent searching for information, faster turnaround between calls, and higher customer satisfaction.

Another area we tracked was product development, with defined objectives around output volume and delivery timelines. We've established targets to measure progress and ensure consistent improvement over time. Peer experts also led office hours that created a safe space to test ideas, ask questions, and build confidence.

By focusing on a specific department, establishing clear goals, and tracking quantifiable metrics, such as time saved, communication volume, and call response time, you can better determine the next steps for scaling AI across your teams.

Lessons learned

Our early efforts drove real engagement, but they also exposed some opportunities. Not every team benefited in the same way, and not every employee felt ready to apply what they'd learned. That tension helped clarify what actually drives progress. Here are the lessons we took forward:

  1. AI adoption isn't one-size-fits-all. Teams across the organization have very different AI use cases and skill levels. All-company sessions, such as discussions with external business leaders, offered useful perspectives but did not give employees the role-specific guidance they needed to apply AI in their daily work.
  2. Progress doesn't happen at the same pace. Some individuals jumped in quickly, while others needed more context and support. Moving forward required patience, targeted enablement, and learning experiences tailored to where people actually were rather than where we expected them to be.
  3. AI success starts with mindset, not mandates. Tools alone don't drive transformation. Confidence does. When employees understand the "why" and feel equipped to experiment, adoption follows. That's where change management becomes a true advantage. Organizations that invest in building understanding and trust are best positioned to turn AI from a tool into a differentiator.
A clear path forward

AI transformation begins with people. We learned that dedicating focused time for learning helps employees step away from daily work and fully engage in building new skills.

Pairing that time with privacy and security training ensured employees explored AI tools while understanding the company's protocols for responsible use. When employees understand the purpose, feel supported as they learn, and trust the guardrails in place, AI stops being an abstract initiative and becomes part of how the business operates. In insurance, where judgment and relationships matter, that human foundation is everything.

Invest in your people first. The technology will follow.

AI Transforms Actuarial Reporting

Insurers are achieving 30% efficiency gains as AI shifts actuarial work from production tasks to interpretation and governance.

Red and Green Candlestick Chart

Life and health insurers today face a complex balancing act. Product portfolios continue to grow in sophistication, regulations intensify, and financial reporting teams are under unprecedented pressure to produce fast, accurate, and explainable results. At the same time, operational costs and talent pressures remain stubbornly high.

Against this backdrop, artificial intelligence has rapidly moved from a talking point to a transformational force. AI is often described as "a fast, confident, tireless, occasionally wrong junior analyst" -- and while that may raise a smile, it also reflects a reality: AI is powerful, imperfect, and increasingly expected to transform all workflows.

So, what is AI actually doing in actuarial and financial reporting today? And what might its emergence mean for the people and processes behind the numbers?

How AI is helping to drive efficiency

Over the past decade, AI technologies have evolved from simple statistical models to advanced foundation models, reasoning engines and now AI "agents". This progression is no longer theoretical; insurers are already applying standard tools to accelerate routine work and reduce operational burden, boosting team efficiency by about 30%. The AI agents are increasingly contributing to human efficiency, leveraging advanced software capabilities or functioning as actuarial accelerators to execute specific tasks as needed.

One area where this is particularly visible is model documentation and code translation. For example, tools have been developed that convert actuarial code into clear, natural language documentation, saving around 75% of the effort on much-hated essential activities. Similarly, AI tools that translate open-source code and Excel spreadsheets, as well as building from specifications, can reduce the overall implementation costs by a similar proportion.

We see insurers similarly deploying AI to support data validation and cleansing; bulk document parsing; trend and variance analysis; narrative drafting and financial report preparation workflows; in addition to the more prevalent customer service triage.

Individually, these use cases offer incremental gains. But when stitched together -- and especially when used within agentic architectures -- the effect compounds quickly. Many insurers now see 20–30% efficiency improvements in reporting cycles where AI has been embedded purposefully.

AI vs humans: Augment or replace?

Fears that AI will replace actuarial or financial reporting talent are understandable but, for now, overstated. Judgment, accountability, regulatory interpretation and interpersonal communication remain fundamentally human responsibilities.

However, the nature of early career and mid career work is changing. Traditionally, analysts built expertise through repeated exposure to data preparation and production tasks. As AI increasingly replaces this work, entry level roles will shift rapidly toward interpretation, scenario analysis and communication of results.

This transition brings three major consequences:

Organizational design will change: Continuing the trend seen with automation in recent years, teams built around large production functions will shrink. Fewer people will be needed to generate numbers; more will be needed to challenge, interpret, narrate and govern them.

Skills portfolios must expand: AI literacy will become as fundamental as spreadsheet literacy once was. Those who thrive will be those who can use AI as a collaborator rather than a novelty tool.

Recruitment patterns will shift: Graduate hiring pipelines may narrow in the short term as automation removes the need for large analyst cohorts. Yet regulators retain their requirements for responsibility, with a strong onus on senior management for validation of AI assisted outputs. This will drive a new generation of graduates who learn their trade through challenging rather than doing.

Crucially, the greatest barrier for most teams today is not technology, it is thinking too small. Asking AI simply to fix known errors in a dataset misses the opportunity to validate the data for unexpected issues or even to redesign the end to end process. Creativity and vision will differentiate the winners from the followers.

Human oversight still matters in AI

Even though actuarial work rarely involves personal data with its associated bias and confidentiality risks, financial reporting sits within one of the most tightly regulated environments in the corporate world. Model governance frameworks, audit trails and sign off processes leave little room for opaque or unexplained AI behavior.

Therefore, AI outputs must be reviewed by accountable humans; controls must evolve to include prompt governance, explanation frameworks, and AI specific testing; and corporate governance teams should be partners, not gatekeepers.

Modern AI systems can already perform coding tasks, run high level checks, generate draft commentary and review processes for operational weaknesses. But they must operate under human supervision, much like training and checking the work of a new colleague.

The rise of agentic AI

The next leap in capability comes from agentic AI - systems that can plan tasks, execute multi step workflows, interact with IT systems and use tools semi-autonomously.

For financial reporting teams, this is achieved through a combination of flexible AI questions combined with robust models and reporting processes. Together it could mean real time answers to "what if?" questions; dashboards that update themselves when the market moves; automated change testing and reconciliation workflows; and reduced delays from specialist technical teams

However, these gains bring governance challenges. Today's AI often looks "magical," which can undermine trust. One promising mitigation is neurosymbolic AI, combining machine learning-based pattern recognition with explicit rules - making outputs more explainable and auditable.

AI is moving from passive assistant to active coworker. It has the potential to add huge value in complementing humans. The question for insurers is no longer if this technology will transform reporting, but how quickly they can adapt.


Mark Brown

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Mark Brown

Mark Brown is global proposition lead of life financial modeling at insurance consulting and technology with WTW.

What the Insurtech Wave Missed

Fragmented producer data threatens to collapse AI ambitions unless the insurance industry addresses foundational infrastructure issues now.

An artist’s illustration of artificial intelligence (AI).

The first wave of the insurtech revolution has crested, and we are getting a clearer picture of the hits and misses. In the last decade or so, the industry has seen massive strides in digital distribution, API connectivity, embedded insurance, and agency management system modernization.

What did we miss? A lot. And our misses are piling atop one another, slowly creating a precarious house of cards. 

The Insurtech Problem

Specifically, producer data quality, ownership, integration, and digitization have been largely ignored as companies race to integrate the latest and greatest tech. We've modernized quoting, underwriting, and customer-facing tools, but the producer data layer that powers distribution has yet to be addressed.

Currently, there is no single "source of truth" for producer identity, hierarchy, or compliance. Fragmented data lies scattered across carriers, MGAs, state records, and compliance systems. The reality of this information chaos is outdated records, manual input processes, duplicate and incomplete records, and severe compliance risk.

Why the First Wave of Insurtech Didn't Fix It

You may ask how a multibillion-dollar industry that the entire country relies on seemingly overlooked these critical issues. The answer lies in the complexity of the insurance industry.

The initial capital injection the industry saw followed revenue, not corporate infrastructure. We know from watching elections play out that infrastructure isn't an exciting topic, and it doesn't make for an enticing pitch to the electorate or the C-suite. Furthermore, organizations already suffered from decades of operational disorganization with highly complex layers. Remember, this isn't a sleek front-end problem, but a back office foundational issue.

Perhaps most importantly, the industry has failed to establish any clarity of data ownership. There is no standardization of which pieces are owned by carriers vs. agencies vs. MGAs. The results have led to fragmented chaos.

Understanding the Business Impact

Many organizations are loath to admit these issues have resulted in hits to revenue from multiple angles. Profit loss occurs from producers not being in compliance with state laws, commission errors, slow onboarding of new producers, data bottlenecks, and distribution channel conflicts.

The industry as a whole is exposed to compliance and regulatory risk. Companies spend large amounts of money trying to mitigate inconsistent licensing verification while navigating the minute compliance laws of 50 different states. Even with a seasoned compliance team, companies of all sizes are opening themselves up to grueling audits and costly fines.

The industry as a whole suffers from distribution inefficiency manifesting itself through slow carrier onboarding and appointment, manual credentialing processes, repetitive manual data entry across multiple systems, and cumbersome systems that either don't interact with each other or do so very poorly.

These issues are ultimately compounded through analytic errors. Across the board, we see inaccurate production reporting resulting in organizations that are unable to properly measure producer performance. In many cases, leadership is operating off of incorrect or skewed information, potentially leaving millions, or billions, on the table.

AI is Poised to Exacerbate the Issue

Every industry conference and corporate event is abuzz with AI adoption. How can it be harnessed? How will your company use it? Who will be the AI winners? The truth is we are all set up to lose.

AI models are only as good as the information that feeds it. Distribution analytics rely on accurate producer hierarchies, meaning that automated commission systems will surely crack under inconsistent data. AI promising fraud detection and compliance screening is doomed to fail without consistent accurate data. Under these circumstances AI will most likely present hallucinations and bad outputs placing companies at greater risk.

The Answer Exists, But Adoption is Needed

There is good news. We know what the industry must do to reduce risk and prevent AI collapse. Organizations need a standardized producer identity layer to ensure successful AI adoption. Defined accountability in the industry would go a long way, and it is something we need to address, but for now companies must implement their own systems.

These solutions exist and many in the industry are confronting the issue head on. But it would be foolish to chase after the AI boom without shoring up your foundations.


Ido Deutsch

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Ido Deutsch

Ido Deutsch is chief revenue officer at Producerflow, which modernizes and streamlines producer onboarding and licensing.

While studying for his MBA at UC-Berkeley, he teamed up with Luis Pino to build Agentero and led go-to-market functions. Deutsch built Producerflow from within Agentero, and it became its own startup in 2025.

 

AI Transforms Workers Comp for Brokers

AI enables overwhelmed workers' comp brokers to shift from transactional quoting to strategic risk advisory relationships that employers increasingly demand.

Construction Site at Sunset with Workers on Scaffolding

For employers, one of the main concerns with a workplace injury is claims costs running out of control. For insurance brokers, the primary risk of a workers' comp claim not being managed correctly is losing a policyholder. While many brokers can quote workers' comp, few offer the strategy and insights that actually help employers rein in costs and reduce risk.

That has to change, and it can because of AI.

BROKERS AS STRATEGIC PARTNERS

Workers' compensation brokers are experiencing a dynamic shift away from the simplicity and speed of merely "quoting and bidding" to win and keep business. Policyholder expectations of their relationships with brokers have shifted. To stay competitive, successful brokers must differentiate themselves and connect with employers as true risk advisors.

It used to be that brokers only needed to check in with policyholders at renewal time. Employers used to make policy purchasing decisions based solely on rates, but that's no longer the case. Today, employers expect their brokers to serve as true partners, communicating transparently while adding experience, strategy, and insights. To retain customers, brokers must help them improve workplace safety, manage escalating workers' comp claim costs, and reduce overall premiums.

As stated in the Brown & Brown 2026 Employer Health and Benefits Strategy Survey: "Employers want brokers who don't just find a lower premium, but who audit pharmacy management, evaluate stop-loss designs, and flag high-cost claims before they escalate." The 2025 ZyWave Broker Survey reveals that 69% of employers are now prioritizing a more strategic, advisory-based relationship with their insurance broker over a transactional relationship.

However, that's a tall order when brokers are struggling to keep pace with the sheer volume of workers' comp claims they must help their clients navigate. According to the 2025-2026 Workers' Compensation Industry Insights Survey, 56% of claims professionals admitted they have "too many claims" to manage effectively—a 15-point increase over the previous year's survey.

AI: A FORCE MULTIPLIER FOR OVERWHELMED BROKERS

This is where artificial intelligence (AI), in the form of predictive analytics and insurance workflow automation, can provide vital support for brokers, helping them be more efficient and deliver the level of strategic service employers demand.

AI can be a force multiplier for brokers by automating processes and streamlining insurance workflows. With AI accelerating processes and flagging risks, workers' comp brokers can focus on better claims outcomes. The days of brokers existing as quoting and bidding machines are over. Brokers who do not adapt to using analytics and risk mitigation strategies will eventually melt away.

Here are five ways that AI has transformed workers' comp:

  1. Underwriting. Using AI-driven predictive models can help identify the best fit with specific workers' comp programs based on industry, company size, claims history, and other factors. Predictive analytics match each insured with the most impactful services—such as wearable tech, return-to-work programs, or early claims resolution—based on their loss history and risk profile. This tech-enabled approach ensures that operational resources are aligned with account-level risk, directly supporting both retention and loss ratio improvement.
  2. Injury prevention. AI can analyze real-time data to detect patterns faster than humans. AI quickly analyzes real-time safety data (from wearables, IoT devices, computer vision) and loss run reports (three years is a good benchmark) to identify injury frequency and severity. This helps brokers guide clients to focus on common injuries like slips, strains, and sprains that heavily affect their experience modification rate and premiums. These patterns inform a customized prevention strategy that moves the broker-client relationship beyond generic checklists to address specific workplace risks.
  3. Automated claims workflows. The faster claims close, the less they cost. AI significantly reduces the time and cost of workers' compensation claims by automating workflows from First Notice of Loss (FNOL) to closure. By instantly collecting and entering data, AI cuts processing time from weeks to minutes. It integrates daily data, such as adjuster notes, and provides "next best action" guidance, ensuring employers are informed and costs are controlled. This proactive approach allows brokers to deliver personalized, exceptional client service.
  4. Return-to-work. Most employers' return-to-work (RTW) programs are static documents that rarely get used. Brokers can use AI to provide dynamic, tech-enabled RTW playbooks that add real value. AI continuously monitors data (e.g., doctor updates) that previously got lost, leading to unnecessarily prolonged claim payments for workers who could have returned sooner. This efficiency differentiates brokers, allowing them to confidently state that their workers' comp program is superior. AI-guided RTW streamlines the workflow, enabling adjusters to better manage cases and expedite employees' returns to a temporary light-duty role.
  5. Fraud detection. While most workers' comp claims are legitimate, 1-2% involve fraud. Late reporting and manual processes make it easier for dishonest claims to slip through the cracks by allowing injuries to be exaggerated or falsified. Time-sensitive reporting guided by automation helps preserve evidence and ensures accurate witness statements while details are fresh.

The integration of AI is fundamentally transforming workers' compensation claims management. By enhancing everything from underwriting and injury prevention to claims processing, return-to-work programs, and fraud detection, AI provides brokers with a powerful toolkit to reduce client costs, improve operational efficiency, and deliver a truly differentiated, value-driven service experience.

THE HUMAN ELEMENT

Ultimately, while AI offers powerful tools to recognize patterns and automate quantitative tasks in workers' compensation, the most successful brokers will strategically leverage this technology to free up time for vital human interaction. The core of effective claims management remains the human element: the ability to offer empathy, operate with honesty and transparency, and prioritize the client's best interests—intangible skills that technology can support but never replace. The future of workers' comp hinges on a successful partnership between AI efficiency and human consultation.


Adam Price

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Adam Price

Adam Price is chief executive officer of Kinetic, a tech-first MGA focused on workers’ compensation insurance for safety-critical industries.