Tag Archives: 5g

5G Will Transform P&C, Car Repair

Today’s technology news is dominated by articles about the promise of 5G—it was one of the top stories coming out of this year’s Consumer Electronics Show. 5G, so named because it’s the generation following today’s 4G, could bring mobile phones information 600 times faster than today’s speeds. Further, 5G will enable connections of up to 1 million devices per square kilometer. That is significantly more than the 2,000 to 10,000 devices per square kilometer that 4G allows.

The capacity for a massive increase in connected devices that respond seemingly instantly will bring about important innovations in a range of sectors, including the property & casualty and collision repair industries. As Kent Finley wrote in Wired, “There’s more to 5G than just speed; 5G technologies should also be able to serve a great many devices nearly in real time. That will be crucial as the number of internet-connected cars, environmental sensors, thermostats and other gadgets accelerates in coming years.” It’s these and other connected devices that have the greatest implications for these industries.

5G and Connected Cars

5G has the potential to be a game-changer in terms of how connected cars interact both with other vehicles and with the environment around them. In the future, 5G will enable faster, more reliable connections with cellular networks as well as “vehicle to anything (V2X)” communications—with the anything being “car-to-car and car-to-infrastructure” linkages, as Digital Trends’ Jeff Zurschmeide explains. As he put it, “Cellular and other V2X communications … (will be) critical for autonomous driving, but they can also improve your driving experience while you’re still behind the wheel. For example, systems have been tested in which vehicles are allowed access to traffic light signal information,” helping drivers, both humans soon and autonomous vehicles later, work in concert with signal timing, improving traffic flow.

5G connectivity will be essential for innovation in vehicles to make the next big leap forward, including managing the charging of electric vehicles and making autonomous ones acceptable and then routine.

See also: Why 5G Will Rock the Insurance World  

Impact on Insurers and Collision Repair Facilities

5G has significant implications for the entire auto physical damage ecosystem. As the number of sensors in vehicles increases, the data they produce may collect details of collision damage, which in aggregate can help manufacturers improve vehicle designs, carriers price coverage appropriately and collision repair facilities accomplish proper and safe repairs.

Further, the ability for vehicles to communicate with each other and the environment via 5G may signal greater safety on the road. For instance, with embedded sensors, vehicles could crowd source information about weather, road conditions and hazards and share it with other vehicles in real time. But increased vehicle complexity may also signal increased repair complexity. As Mitchell’s Jack Rozint explains, as advanced driver assistance systems become more prevalent, repair facilities “must be prepared to fix, and heed the advice of, a computer network on wheels.” This is a pattern that is likely to escalate as 5G drives the adoption of increasingly sophisticated onboard computers.

5G in Healthcare: Reverberations Across P&C

5G is expected to bring significant changes to healthcare that will reverberate across the property & casualty industry. Among the most important opportunities will be Internet of Medical Things (IOMT) devices that allow for sophisticated remote monitoring of patients. Today’s consumer wearables and even IOMT devices like heart and diabetes monitors already provide medical care providers with information and insights that they previously would not have had access to. 5G networks will have greater stability and lower latency and be much less of a drain on battery life, so they will be able to support more critical healthcare monitoring and functions. And with the data these sensor-enabled devices produce, healthcare providers can deliver more personalized care.

See also: Blockchain, Privacy and Regulation  

In fact, 5G networks will be so fast and so stable that one company, Ericcson, believes they will be able to support functions that could mean the difference between life and death like remote robotic surgery performed by a physician working on a patient via a super-precise robot. In the not-too-distant future, the surgeon could be performing a remote surgery as close as in the same building as the patient or as far as in another continent due to the speed of 5G in IOMT.

When Will 5G Get Here?

While wireless carriers are rolling out early iterations of 5G networks worldwide, it may be several more years before the systems are in that will make V2X and remote robotic surgery a broadly shared reality.

Based on the expected advances that 5G will foster and the current speed of innovation, I envision the way we live today will someday seem quaint, with today’s phones, cars and medical equipment appearing to our future selves as antiquated as a rotary phone. Maybe not tomorrow, but possibly faster than we might expect.

Why 5G Will Rock the Insurance World

The first time I logged in to the internet, I had a dial-up modem and a large desktop computer with tower, a separate keyboard and giant speakers. After the dial tone, there were  squeaks and honks as the computer took its time logging in. Then the words flashed across the screen: “You’ve Got Mail.” It was an iconic moment for me and one that millions of people around the world would experience in their own time.

Then there were cellphones. You could literally talk to anyone anywhere, as long as there was a signal and you had saved some serious money. Later, smartphones were developed and once again changed the playing field. I found myself able to download apps that I didn’t know I needed, check my bank account or the status of my Amazon package and update my status from my phone – reaching all my friends no matter their or my location.

Long gone were the days of dial-up and slow connection speeds. Now, I find myself refreshing when my phone doesn’t access the site I want after 15 seconds.

All these developments in technology and society provided the finance and insurance industry with tremendous challenges. While other industries built new revenue streams on top of the internet and digital infrastructure, a lot of insurance companies are struggling with providing the most basic digital services to their customers.

And it’s about to get worse. 5G – a new form of mobile internet – is going to accelerate things. A lot.

5G means high-speed mobile internet

There are a lot of questions surrounding 5G services: What does 5G mean? How fast is it? When will it launch? Probably the biggest question surrounding 5G services is: How will we and our customers use it? One of the most important things to know about 5G services is that it will most likely bolster economies worldwide. The website Innovator cited a report by IHS Markit and Research Group that predicts “by 2035 5G will create 22 million jobs globally, generate $3.5 trillion in direct economic activity and fuel sustainable long-term growth to global real GDP.” 5G is a game changer, just like the internet, computers, motor vehicles, and the wheel. It will change the world as we know it.

What does 5G mean? How fast is it? When will it launch? Techopedia says: “Fifth-generation wireless (5G) is a wireless networking architecture built on the 802.11ac IEEE wireless networking standard, which aims to increase data communication speeds by up to three times compared with its predecessor, 4G.” Reports vary as to how much faster 5G will be; some reports say 10x faster, and other reports indicate that it could be 20x faster or more. Much of the improvement will have to do with locations and service providers, but it’s going to be a large jump. We may have to wait a little, but this train has left the station – and it’s not coming back. While 5G operators are beginning to roll out their systems this year, most markets won’t be up and running until 2019, and more likely 2020.

See also: What Will Operations Look Like in 2028?  

For retail, that sounds far away. For the insurance industry, with long planning cycles and gigantic project portfolios, that means “tomorrow.”

How will we use 5G? Many are questioning what the purpose is of faster service, especially those who are content with 4G services. 5G goes beyond the mobile phone user. While users may see a boost in service (especially in downloads and streaming), 5G technology is going to improve how the world operates. Users will have increased connectivity. Apps for which heavy computers are now necessary could transfer tremendous amounts of data quickly, probably providing digital services we can’t imagine today.

With a smart 5G strategy, the insurance companies could expand

One special case for the insurance industry: 5G technologies are going to streamline the Internet of Things (IoT), especially for consumer usage. So, after mobile internet, smart phones and 4G changed the way customers consumed, 5G is about to change everything again. Right now, our smartphones can talk to individual devices, but with 5G technology speeds we can further streamline these smart devices and achieve breakthroughs where they speak to each other instead. Imagine if your refrigerator could tell your oven when your steak had finished defrosting, and the oven automatically started pre-heating! Imagine that an oven could warn the customer that crucial parts are overheating, and a fire is likely. Imagine that an insurer informs the customer and that he can act on the information. Imagine how the customer would fall in love with his carrier or agent after he saves the customer’s house?

In addition to general consumer usage, 5G is going to make a huge impact in industry and commercial insurance. With 5G technology, we will be able to track shipments in real time, upload information from doctors’ offices instantly and watch videos everywhere, without having to consider the bandwidth. Autonomous cars may become a broad reality, as they can generate real time data with which to operate. Drones will be able to provide better feedback and travel farther. Industry and manufacturing automation can improve with smart factories and the use of artificial intelligence. Currently, there are some factories using artificial intelligence to trouble shoot designs, and IoT technology to determine when machinery needs servicing. With 5G technology, these types of programs can be adopted by more companies and expanded to further suit the manufacturing needs. All of this has tremendous impact on calculating risk and preventing claims – the core of our industry.

With smart vehicles being so much more efficient, and safe, we can expect to see insurance rates drop, according to an article on Innovator. We can also expect to see faster transactions and approvals. With a wealth of information at our fingertips, it may only be a matter of time before purchasing a home goes from a months-long ordeal, to something that takes place in a weekend (or faster) or even maybe without a bank at all.

“5G will impact every industry – autos, healthcare, manufacturing and distribution, emergency services, just to name a few. And 5G is purposely designed so that these industries can take advantage of cellular connectivity in ways that wouldn’t have been possible before, and to scale upward as use of 5G expands” — Don Rosenberg shared this thought as part of the World Economic Forum.

Rosenberg also said 4G led to innovations like Uber and Spotify. How will 5G affect, say, Facebook’s business model? What other changes have yet to be imagined?

See also: How Digital Platform Smooths Operations  

The world is constantly changing, though some “groundbreaking” innovations do little to change it. Then something like 5G services come along and completely change the foundation of how our world operates. 5G will change us, on a worldwide level.

What to do? Don’t love your products – love your customer.

Instead of fearing the next challenge after the landline-based and mobile internet, why should we not use this as an opportunity to expand our value chain? Why shouldn’t we put ourselves between the customer and product and service providers instead of leaving this interface to the customer to the old and emerging tech giants from California and China? Why shouldn’t we provide our customers digital products and services that relieve them of friction and pain in their daily lives? Why should not we use 5G as an opportunity to get ahead and become a trusted companion in the daily life of our customers? It’s still our choice.

Top Mega-Trends With Big Implications

It used to be common to say that “technology is marching forward, improving business and society.” But today, it would be more accurate to say that technology is sprinting forward – with progress at breakneck speed and breakthroughs happening in multiple fields on a regular basis. There are so many technologies – some new, some just emerging – that is it virtually impossible to track the progress of all of them, let alone explore all their implications. This may put insurers in an uncomfortable position. Insurance is an industry based on historical data and long-term predictions. However, technologies are now inundating the world with real-time data and a change-pace so accelerated that it is difficult to make predictions. Fortunately, SMA’s new research report, The Emerging Tech Landscape: 10 Mega-Trends for 2018 and Beyond, assists by taking a big-picture view of the key developments in the tech world.

To paraphrase George Orwell’s quote from Animal Farm, “All technologies are equal, but some technologies are more equal than others.” Every technology has a role to play in the business and personal spheres. Mature technologies such as telephony and email still matter. More recent technologies like mobile and social media have become mandatory, foundational technologies and have been instrumental in transforming the world. Emerging technologies such as autonomous vehicles, the Internet of Things (IoT), wearables and many others are poised to anchor the next wave of global transformation – affecting the way we live, work and play. It is these emerging technologies that require the rapt attention from insurers now. The earlier technologies are still very important, but insurers have already built those into their business and have had lots of experience with them. But the emerging technologies now have more potential to fundamentally change the insurance industry than anything else at any other time in history. The risk landscape will change. Many new options are becoming available that will change internal operations. Customer expectations are changing, and new customer segments are coming into view.

See also: Key Insurtech Trends to Watch  

Some of the mega-trends that insurers should be monitoring and considering in terms of strategy implications are:

  • 5G and AI Form the Foundation: 5G communications networks and artificial intelligence will form the key foundations for the digital connected world in the next decade. We will need to move lots of data very fast and automate the analysis and actions surrounding that data.
  • User Interfaces Are Revolutionized: We are witnessing a dramatic expansion of how we interact with computers and the world around us in new and more natural ways. These new UI technologies affect both emerging technologies and incumbent technologies. The technologies are now rapidly maturing to mimic and capitalize on all of our senses as well as the movements of our bodies.
  • Mobility is Hot: Autonomous vehicles are enjoying a great deal of press these days. But this is only one aspect of a complex picture of the evolution of mobility. The notion of mobility encompasses many innovative technologies and approaches to moving people and goods from place to place.

These are just a few of the mega-trends that are important for insurance. Expect these and others to be dominant themes over the next few years. Taken as a whole, the change wrought by emerging technologies is likely to rock the insurance industry for the next decade. That said, insurance is still insurance, and the industry has many strengths to build on. The great challenge (and opportunity) for senior management teams is to double down on traditional insurance strengths while building a highly adaptive organization to respond to changes and prosper in the new era.

See also: 5 Trends for Employers to Watch in 2018  

Click here for more information on SMA’s recent research report, The Emerging Tech Landscape: 10 Mega-Trends for 2018 and Beyond.

Top 10 Lists From CES2018

CES (formerly known as the Consumer Electronics Show), has become the biggest tech event in the world. CES2018 was so massive that there could probably be 50 different Top 10 lists. Here are just a few of mine that I hope you will find interesting and useful.

  1. 5G and AI are the top enabling technologies for the connected world of the next decade.
  2. Voice assistants are everywhere – incorporated into every smart device possible.
  3. Everyone is talking about mobility (driverless vehicles, the sharing economy, smart cities reshaping transport).
  4. The next big user interface (UI) trend will be Augmented Reality for All (AR for All).
  5. Cutting the cord is a big trend (wireless power, untethered virtual reality (VR), wireless audio, etc.).
  6. Biometrics gain steam for security (facial recognition, fingerprint, voiceprint, iris scan, etc.).
  7. Smart Cities are gaining more visibility (they even had a special agenda and exhibit focus this year).
  8. AI is not only an enabler for the next decade, it is becoming dominant today.
  9. Specialized chips and sensors abound – for LiDAR, AI, visioning, and many other applications.
  10. Smart-home tech continues to proliferate, and winning platforms and companies are starting to emerge.

  1. BYTON vehicle: New car company with an awesome vision for a “smartphone on wheels.”
  2. Flexound: Sensation of touch added through sound waves.
  3. Bellus3D: 3D modeling of human face/head to create avatars, etc. (To see mine, click here).
  4. Aflac robotic duck: Cuddly animatronic, AI-based duck given to kids with cancer.
  5. IV-Walk: Vest to administer IV fluids and enable patients by providing more mobility.
  6. Foldimate: Automatic clothes-folding machine.
  7. LG Display’s roll-up TV: Ultra-thin 65” OLED TV display that can be rolled up.
  8. SapientX: Movie quality avatars for conversational AI.
  9. Monuma: Blockchain-based app to record and estimate the value of costly objects.
  10. Guardian by Elexa: Water monitoring system with leak detection and automatic shut-off capability.

  1. Tennibot: Autonomous tennis ball collector.
  2. Robomart: World’s first self-driving store.
  3. Phrame: Smart license plate frame.
  4. 90Fun Puppy 1: Self-driving luggage (yes, it follows you around).
  5. B-Hyve: Smart yard (monitors watering systems).
  6. Milliboo: Smart couch.
  7. Kohler: Connected, talking toilet, enabled by Alexa.
  8. Somnox: Small robot that you can cuddle and sleep with.
  9. Velco: Connected handlebars.
  10. Kuri: Robot that acts like a digital pet.

See also: Collaborating for a Better Blockchain  

What, you may ask, does this have to do with insurance? It turns out that many of these are relevant for insurance in one way or another (okay, maybe not the talking toilet). But overall, these lists give a small glimpse of the era of unprecedented innovation that is sweeping the world. The things that the insurance industry insures, the way insurers communicate with prospects and policyholders, the nature of risk and how insurers improve operations all are being affected by the trends in emerging technologies, and we are only at the beginning of the digital, connected world.

Dark Web and Other Scary Cyber Trends

We have all heard the continued drum beat regarding hacking. Anthem, Sony, Target, Home Depot, Experian and various government and military branches have all been hacked and have received their fair share of negative press. In each case, people were harmed, leaders were fired, brands were damaged and no one was really surprised.

I am not a singularly focused cybersecurity expert, but I have been up to my neck in tech for 30 years and have a knack for seeing emerging patterns and macro trends and stitching those together to synthesize consequences and outcomes. In the case of the Dark Web, none of that is good news; The emerging patterns should worry us all. As English historian (1608-1661) Thomas Fuller wrote, “Security is the mother of danger and the grandmother of destruction.”

See also: Best Practices in Cyber Security

Below is my list of the “Top 10 Scary Macro Cyberthreat Trends” –and this is still early days for them.

1. The Dark Web Pareto 

Over the last decade, the hacker population has gone from 80% aficionados/hacktivists/deep-end-of-the-pool techies and 20% professional criminals to 80% professional criminals and 20% “other.” To be clear, by “professional criminal” I mean organized criminals who are there for the money, not just to someone who broke the law.

2. “Lego-ization” of the Dark Web

Over the last few years, technology in the Dark Web has been changed from intricate, end-to-end hacks to a place where one merely assembles “legos” that are commercially available (albeit inside an anonymized criminal environment.) People don’t just buy tool kits with instructions but also the ability to buy “lego-ized” services like illicit call center agent time for more complex criminal activities such as getting access to someone’s bank account. Parts of the Dark Web look like IKEA without the assembly difficulty or the inevitable leftover parts.

3. The Dark Web embraces the capital-lite approach

Of course, the Dark Web has embraced the cloud-computing model for the reasons we see in the enterprise world. What this means to the criminal hacker or, more likely, hacker organization, is that they can now go asset-free and rent the assets they need when they need them.

For example, there are services for running a few hundred million password permutations in less than an hour for a few hundred dollars. Hackers no longer need to infect a massive amount of computers to fire up a denial-of-service hack; they can simply rent time on a botnet, a massive amount of “hijacked” computers up for sale in the Dark Web. Most companies still do not have a botwall to deflect bots.

Gameover ZeuS is a massive example of a botnet with one variant able to generate 10,000 domains a day with more than three million zombie computers — just in the U.S. Botnets are sometimes referred to as “zombie armies” (surely there’s a TV series in there somewhere.) The Bredolab botnet may have had as many as 30 million zombie computers.

See also: Demystifying “The Dark Web”

4. Clandestine versus brazen 

The bragging rights for revealing a hacking “accomplishment” was once a hallmark of this space. Over the past decade or so, that factor has greatly diminished. The criminal enterprise would like nothing more than to go unnoticed. The recent massive Experian hack only came to light after the Secret Service let Experian know some of its stuff had been found for sale in the Dark Web. Focusing on avoiding detection by adopting smarter methods, targets, distribution models and revenue capture is better business and is in line with a longer, sustainable view of profit. None of the criminal organizations have boards of directors that pressure them to hit the quarterly sales and operating income figures. A hack is not a moment in time; if a hacker can go undetected, he or she can milk the hack for years. This is worrisome.

5. The total available market has grown and is target-rich 

The target space for crime connected to an IP node has grown tremendously, and so has the value of the content. The massive increase in mobile IP addresses, the online transactions we do and IP-related things like stored value cards or mileage points makes a rich target for crime. It is 100x bigger than what it was just 10 to 15 years ago.

The target space’s growth is accelerating. After banking regulations on the minimum size of banks were relaxed in 1900, 2,000 banks were added in two years along with growth in the relatively new credit union sector. This increase in “target space” spawned bank robbers. The target space for Dark Web crime loves the increase in the target area and doesn’t mind that the “banks” are smaller. The number of people using the Web and the average amount of time spent on the Web continues to increase. I think with the advent of things like the Internet of Things, 5G, Li-Fi and a quantum leap in cloud computing capacity per unit cost, this increase will accelerate.

6. Small many versus big few 

Over the past decade, the trend in conjunction with the above items moved toward smaller “heists” but a lot more of them. Someone in Venezuela took $2 a month off my credit card for 18 months before it stopped. How many people would miss a dollar or two off a stored value card/account that has an auto-refill function like my Skype account does?

What sort of statistical controls would you put on your revenue flows (as a business) to even recognize that leakage? Of course, there are still big hacks going on, but a lot of those are just the front end of a B2B transaction that then sells off that big pool of hacked data to buyers in the criminal bazaar. Small, often and dispersed is harder to catch and more clandestine by nature.

7. Automation of the Dark Web

Timing is everything. As the Dark Web evolved into a scale-based, organized criminal environment, it leveraged modern automation from provisioning to tool sets to communications and even to billing.

Blackshades creepware is a great example of automation extending into the consumer product end. Available for $50, it has a point-and-click interface and has internalized all of the complexity and has automated hacking even for actors with very low-level tech skills. It allows the bad actor to browse files, steal data/passwords and use the camera (often relating to extortion). Blackshades infected more than 500,000 computers in more than 100 nations. A lot of the people who bought this did not have the skills to do any hacking without this kind of automation.

8. Tech getting better, faster, cheaper while talent improves

Late last year, TalkTalk, an ISP quad-play provider in the U.K., got hacked and held for ransom by four teenagers. The company estimates $90 million of cost tied to this hack, and no one really knows what the cost of the brand damage has been. There’s also a third of the company’s market cap gone, and it lost 95,000 customers. In all fairness, TalkTalk’s security was poor. The point here is that the technology in the Dark Web is getting faster, better and cheaper. At the same time, the average talent level is rising, which may not be the case in the non-criminal tech world.

There are three factors at play:

  1. Communities of collaboration and learning are becoming commonplace. Blackshades is a great example of a malicious tool with a super-low point of entry (price and tech skills) backed up by great online help and a community site.
  2. The likes of the Metropolitan Police Cyber Unit (London), the FBI, Interpol, etc. are all very effective and are continually improving organizations that stop crime and lock up cyber criminals. In some ways, this is a culling of the herd that also serves to create a positive Darwinian push on the average talent in the Dark Web.
  3. The giant upside financial opportunity to using tech skills for nefarious purposes creates a big gravitational pull that is only enhanced by recent economic and national turmoil, especially in places like Eastern Europe, Russia and Ukraine. In addition to that, state-sponsored or affiliated hackers with military-like rigor in their training can often make money moonlighting in the criminal world.

The combination of forces raising the talent level and the continued improvement of technology make for a bad combo. The Dark Web is also embracing open sourcing. Peer-to-peer bitcoin-based plays may become the next dark commerce platform.

9. The Dark Web itself

The Dark Web has evolved over the past decade or so from a foggy, barely penetrable space to a labyrinth of loosely connected actors and now to a massive, modernized bazaar thriving with commercial activity with a huge neon sign on the front door saying “Open for Business.” It is not just a bazaar, it is a huge B2B marketplace where the best criminals can resell their wares whole or in “lego-ized” pieces. Some of these criminals even offer testimonials and performance guarantees!

The Dark Web has moved from what economists call “perfect competition” to a more imperfect model trending toward oligopoly. In simpler terms, it is not a sea of malevolent individuals but, rather, the domain of organized businesses that happen to be largely illegal. These are organizations of scale that must be run like a business. This new structure will evolve, adapt and grow so much faster than the prior structure because these organizations have mission-focus and cash-flow pressures. Of course, the market forces common in a bazaar will winnow out low-value and defective products quickly, simply because word travels fast and customers vote with their wallets. 

10. The truly ugly “What’s next?” section

Like many thriving businesses, there is a tendency to move into adjacencies and nearby markets. This has already happened.

There is a lot of money in fiddling with clickstreams and online advertising flows. Bots account for about 50% of the traffic on the Internet; of those, about 60% are bad bots.

There is money to be made in transportation. One can buy fake waybills on the Dark Web to ship a crate to, say, Kiev at a fraction of the price FedEx or UPS would charge, even though the package will travel through FedEx or UPS.

Here are four emerging and even more worrisome areas that could be leveraged (in a bad way) by sophisticated, tech-savvy commercial criminal enterprises that are alive and thriving today in the Dark Web.

  • Internet of Things – It is just the beginning for the IoT. If you click here, you can read a paper on what may drive the amazing growth and where the potential is. The available talent who know how to secure devices, sensors and tags from hacks and stop those hacks from jumping five hops up a network are few and far between, and they don’t normally work in the consumer and industrial spaces that make stuff and that have decided to make an IP-enabled model. Few boards in the Fortune 500 can have an intelligent conversation about cybersecurity at any level of detail that matters. In short, over the next few years, IoT may be a giant hunting ground. For instance, what if a hacker goes through the air conditioning control system to point-of-sale devices and steals credit card info? That is a target with a big bull’s eye on it. (That is what happened to Target.)
  • Robotics – This is a little further out, and the criminal cash flow is a little harder to predict, but IP-connected robots is a space that will grow exponentially over the next decade and be at key points in manufacturing, military and medical process flows. What is the ransom for holding a bottling plant hostage? The Samsung SGR -1 (no, not a new phone) is a thermal imaging, video-sensing robot with a highly accurate laser targeting gun that can kill someone from 3,000 yards out. The Oerlikon GDF005 is a less-sophisticated antiaircraft “gunbot” that is, in part, designed to be turned on and left to shoot down drones. These things are both hackable. 
  • Biochem – What if some of the above Dark Web trends extend into this area, renting assets and expertise, point-and-click front-end designs? The bad news is that this seems to have started. 
  • The over-the-horizon worries – Nanotech, Li-Fi, AI, synthetic biology, brain computer interface (BCI) and genomics are all areas that, at some point in their evolution, will draw a critical mass of criminal Dark Web interest. The advances in these areas are at an astounding pace. They are parts of the near future, not the distant future. If you have not looked at CRISPR, google it. Things like CRISPR, coupled with progressively better economics, are going to supercharge this space. Li-Fi, coupled with 5G and the IoT (including accelerated growth in soft sensors), will create a large target space. The Open BCI maker community is growing quickly and holds enormous promise. Take a look at the Open BCI online shop and see what you could put together for $2,000 or  $10,000. The Ultracortex Mark IV is mind-blowing (not literally) and only $299.

All of this is going to get worse before it gets better. This is clearly not a fair fight. This is a target-rich environment that is growing faster than almost anyone anticipated. The bad actors are progressively getting better organized, smarter and better built for “success.” Interpol, the FBI and other law enforcement agencies do great work, but a lot of it is after-the-fact.

Enterprises need new approaches to network-centric compartmentalized security. New thinking about upstream behavioral preventative design is needed for robustly secure IoT plays.

National organizations in law enforcement and intelligence need to think through fighting a borderless, adaptive, well-funded, loosely coupled, highly motivated force like those under the Dark Web umbrella. Those national organizations probably need to play as much offense as defense. Multiple siloed police and intelligence units that are bounded geographically, organizationally, financially and culturally probably will start out with a disadvantage.

This article was originally published on SandHill.com. The story can be found here.